智通财经特约撰稿 郭兵云 2025年岁末，孟加拉国再度面临政治风暴。 12月18日深夜，激进组织"革命阵线"（Inqilab Mancha，也称Inquilab Mancha）的发言人沙里夫·奥斯曼· 哈迪（Sharif Osman Hadi）在新加坡医院不治身亡。作为2024年"7月事件"的关键人物，哈迪的死亡引 发了全国性抗议，抗议者袭击了媒体机构和文化场所，社会裂痕进一步加深。 当地时间 2025年12月20日，孟加拉国达卡，数十万人聚集在国民议会南广场，参加沙里夫·奥斯曼·哈迪的葬礼。 视觉中国 图 这起事件暴露了孟加拉国转型期的脆弱性和地缘政治的复杂性。从谢赫·哈西娜（Sheikh Hasina）政府 倒台到穆罕默德·尤努斯（Muhammad Yunus）临时政府，再到即将来临的2026年2月选举，孟加拉国再 次笼罩在阴谋论和地缘政治博弈的迷雾中。 哈迪之死 伊斯兰激进组织如伊斯兰大会党（Jamaat Shibir）也遭到怀疑。哈迪虽是伊斯兰主义者，但他的世俗改 革议程与伊斯兰大会党的极端理念冲突。伊斯兰大会党可能视哈迪为竞争对手，尤其在达卡8选区，该 党已推出重量级候选人。伊斯兰大会党与尤努斯政府 ...

【环球时报驻美国特约记者 萧达 环球时报驻巴西特派记者 时元皓 王逸】当地时间22日，美国总统特朗普再次向委内瑞拉总统马杜罗施压，他公开宣称"马 杜罗下台是明智的选择"，因为美国海军力量正在对委内瑞拉的石油实施封锁。几小时后，马杜罗在委国家电视台对全国发表讲话称，特朗普"最好把精力放 在美国而不是威胁委内瑞拉，他应该多关注自己国家的经济和社会问题，如果他管理好自己的国家事务，美国会在全球更好地发展"。应委内瑞拉的要求， 联合国安理会23日举行紧急会议。在此之前，马杜罗22日发表了致世界各国领导人的公开信，呼吁世界各国共同应对美国的军事威胁与"海盗行径"。多国也 纷纷谴责美国把能源当作战争武器和政治胁迫工具，违反国际法和侵犯人权。巴西总统卢拉日前警告，"对委内瑞拉进行武装干预将是西半球的人道主义灾 难，并将为世界开创危险的先例"。俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫22日与委内瑞拉外长希尔通电话时表示，俄方"重申在当前形势下对委内瑞拉领导层和人民的全面支 持与声援"，双方将在联合国等国际平台协调行动，以维护国家主权和不干涉内政原则。 特朗普公开威胁要马杜罗 " 下台 " 据路透社报道，当地时间22日，特朗普在佛罗里达州举行的新闻 ...

特朗普都劝不住，柬埔寨和泰国为什么"往死里打"？｜国际识局 而泰国军方则给出相反说法，称出动战斗机是为回应柬方进攻，强调柬方袭击已致泰国1名士兵死亡、4 名士兵受伤。 冲突持续升级引发两国大规模居民撤离，数十万人流离失所。 中新网12月16日电(冯小妍)近日，泰国与柬埔寨边境地区冲突再度升级，双方武装力量持续交火，造成 数十万民众流离失所。尽管美国总统特朗普高调介入调停，并公开敦促双方停火，但边境局势并未因此 缓和。 资料图：特朗普。 本轮冲突的爆发并非偶然，背后牵扯多重因素，其根源究竟是什么？宣称"结束了八场战争"的特朗普， 此次再度出面调停，为何未能让柬泰边境恢复平静？ 冲突再次爆发 柬泰各执一词 12月7日起，泰国和柬埔寨边境地区再次爆发激烈冲突，多地炮火连天，双方互相指责对方"先开火"。 柬埔寨参议院主席洪森8日称，泰国军队对柬方发动袭击，柬方必须采取报复行动的红线已经划定。柬 国防部发言人表示，泰国士兵连续第二天向柬武装部队开火，但柬方并未还击。 资料图：当地时间12月9日，柬埔寨和泰国边境发生冲突后，居民们撤离家园，驾车沿街行驶。 资料图：当地时间12月9日，柬埔寨和泰国边境发生冲突后，居民们撤离 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent escalation of conflict between Thailand and Cambodia along their border is rooted in historical territorial disputes and has been exacerbated by recent political events, leading to a significant deterioration in bilateral relations [2][4]. Historical Context - The core issue of the conflict lies in the long-standing border and territorial disputes, particularly regarding the ownership of the Preah Vihear Temple and its surrounding areas, which have been a contentious point for over a century [2][3]. - The 1904 border treaty and subsequent 1907 map drawn by French officials have led to differing interpretations and disputes over the border, culminating in a 1962 ruling by the International Court of Justice that awarded the temple to Cambodia but left surrounding areas ambiguous [3]. Recent Political Events - The "recording scandal" involving former Thai Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-o-cha and Cambodian Senate President Hun Sen has intensified tensions, with accusations of weakness and betrayal of national interests leading to Prayuth's suspension from office [4][5]. - The internal political dynamics in Thailand, particularly the rise of military influence and the polarization between pro- and anti-government factions, have further complicated the situation [5]. Economic and Diplomatic Implications - Despite the ongoing military tensions, the likelihood of a full-scale war is low due to the intertwined economic relations, including significant border trade and the presence of Cambodian workers in Thailand [7]. - ASEAN's role as a stabilizing force is crucial, as both countries are bound by the Treaty of Amity and Cooperation, which encourages peaceful resolution of disputes [7]. - International actors, including China and the United Nations, are expected to play a mediating role to prevent escalation and encourage dialogue [7]. Future Outlook - The immediate future may see continued tensions and small-scale military confrontations, but there is potential for de-escalation through international mediation and a return to diplomatic negotiations [6][8]. - Both governments are urged to restore communication channels and manage nationalist sentiments to create a conducive environment for peace talks [8].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the escalation of military confrontation between Thailand and Cambodia, marking the most severe conflict in over a decade, with both sides accusing each other of initiating hostilities [1][2][3] - The conflict has resulted in significant casualties, with reports indicating over 20 Thai civilians killed, and both nations emphasizing their actions as self-defense [1][2] - The Thai government is currently focused on bilateral dialogue with Cambodia, rejecting third-party mediation despite expressions of willingness from other nations to assist [1][2][3] Group 2 - The historical context of the conflict is rooted in territorial disputes over an 800-kilometer border, dating back to colonial-era maps that have led to ongoing disagreements [4][5] - Recent political turmoil in Thailand, including the suspension of Prime Minister Pita Limjaroenrat and the fallout from the "recording scandal," has exacerbated tensions and complicated diplomatic relations [6][8][9] - The military capabilities of both nations are highlighted, with Thailand possessing a larger active military force, yet Cambodia's military has shown resilience and adaptability in the challenging terrain [11][12][13] Group 3 - The involvement of regional leaders, such as Malaysia's Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, indicates a potential for diplomatic intervention, although the effectiveness of ASEAN in mediating the conflict remains uncertain [14][15] - The articles suggest that personal relationships between political leaders, particularly between Thaksin Shinawatra and Hun Sen, play a significant role in the dynamics of the conflict [7][10][16] - The potential for a peaceful resolution is acknowledged, with both nations recognizing the detrimental effects of prolonged conflict on their development and regional stability [12][14][15]