特朗普都劝不住，柬埔寨和泰国为什么"往死里打"？｜国际识局 而泰国军方则给出相反说法，称出动战斗机是为回应柬方进攻，强调柬方袭击已致泰国1名士兵死亡、4 名士兵受伤。 冲突持续升级引发两国大规模居民撤离，数十万人流离失所。 中新网12月16日电(冯小妍)近日，泰国与柬埔寨边境地区冲突再度升级，双方武装力量持续交火，造成 数十万民众流离失所。尽管美国总统特朗普高调介入调停，并公开敦促双方停火，但边境局势并未因此 缓和。 资料图：特朗普。 本轮冲突的爆发并非偶然，背后牵扯多重因素，其根源究竟是什么？宣称"结束了八场战争"的特朗普， 此次再度出面调停，为何未能让柬泰边境恢复平静？ 冲突再次爆发 柬泰各执一词 12月7日起，泰国和柬埔寨边境地区再次爆发激烈冲突，多地炮火连天，双方互相指责对方"先开火"。 柬埔寨参议院主席洪森8日称，泰国军队对柬方发动袭击，柬方必须采取报复行动的红线已经划定。柬 国防部发言人表示，泰国士兵连续第二天向柬武装部队开火，但柬方并未还击。 资料图：当地时间12月9日，柬埔寨和泰国边境发生冲突后，居民们撤离家园，驾车沿街行驶。 资料图：当地时间12月9日，柬埔寨和泰国边境发生冲突后，居民们撤离 ...

新华社曼谷/金边12月9日电 柬埔寨与泰国的边境冲突9日仍在持续。据泰国陆军当天消息，冲突已造成 3名泰国士兵死亡。柬埔寨国防部当天早些时候表示，冲突已造成7名柬埔寨平民死亡，另有20人受伤。 泰国：柬方使用火箭炮 泰国陆军第二军区9日在社交媒体上发表声明说，柬方于当天早上6时起使用BM-21火箭炮向边境多地射 击，泰国按照交战规则作出回应。泰国陆军第一军区同日报告说，当天凌晨1时50分左右，两枚柬埔寨 炮弹击中泰国沙缴府边境地区两栋民居，因当地民众已撤离，暂无人员伤亡报告。 柬埔寨国防部发言人马莉淑洁达9日在新闻发布会上说，7日下午至9日上午，泰国军队使用重型武器、 F-16战斗机和毒气袭击了柬埔寨军事阵地和平民。她表示，此轮边境冲突已造成7名柬埔寨平民死亡， 另有20人受伤。 为何战火重燃 泰国和柬埔寨边境地区7日起突发激烈冲突，多地响起密集炮火。双方均指责对方"先开火"。而不足两 月前，泰柬刚刚签署和平联合声明。分析人士认为，冲突背后牵涉地雷争议、国内政治压力及地区安全 形势。 另据泰国媒体报道，泰柬边境新一轮冲突导致泰国边境省份超过800所学校和多家医院暂时关闭。 柬埔寨：冲突致平民死亡 柬埔寨参议院 ...

Group 1 - The core issue of the border conflict between Thailand and Cambodia remains unresolved despite the recent ceasefire agreement, which has been described as shaky and ineffective [1][3] - The recent escalation of violence has resulted in significant casualties, with 43 people reported dead and 300,000 displaced during a five-day conflict in July, marking the most severe armed confrontation in a decade [1] - The ceasefire agreement, signed under the supervision of Malaysia, was threatened by ongoing hostilities, including accusations from Thailand that Cambodia has laid new landmines [1][2] Group 2 - The historical roots of the border dispute date back to maps drawn during the French colonial period, leading to conflicting territorial claims over several temples along the border [2] - Thai officials have indicated that the ceasefire agreement is effectively over, with the Thai Prime Minister stating that the efforts for peace have ended [3] - The Thai Foreign Ministry clarified that the country has only suspended the execution of the ceasefire agreement and has not formally withdrawn from it [3]

Core Viewpoint - The geopolitical landscape in Asia is shifting dramatically, particularly in the context of China-India relations, influenced by trade tensions initiated by the Trump administration's tariffs on Indian goods [1] Group 1: China-India Relations - Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi's visit to India marks a significant diplomatic engagement, aimed at preparing for the upcoming 24th special representative meeting on the China-India border issue and Prime Minister Modi's visit to China for the SCO summit [1] - The bilateral trade between China and India reached $78.2 billion in the first seven months of the year, reflecting a 14.6% year-on-year increase, with India becoming China's largest pharmaceutical import partner along the Belt and Road [1] Group 2: Border Issues and Security - The atmosphere during the talks was tense, with India's National Security Advisor asserting that trust must be established on the border before discussing cooperation, citing Modi's statement that "without security, there can be no cooperation" [3] - A breakthrough was achieved with ten agreements, including the establishment of a new general-level dialogue mechanism for border discussions and the reopening of three long-closed border trade markets [5] Group 3: India's Strategic Concerns - India announced a significant defense initiative called "Miao Jian Shen Lun Task," aimed at creating a comprehensive air defense network over the next decade to protect critical infrastructure, particularly against perceived threats from Pakistan [7] - The initiative reflects India's strategic anxiety, especially after recent military confrontations with Pakistan, and includes plans to enhance missile capabilities [7] Group 4: Regional Dynamics - Modi's upcoming visit to China is set against a backdrop of regional shifts, including Bangladesh's decision to engage Chinese companies for a $3 billion river project, which raises concerns for India regarding its influence in the region [8] - The interactions between China and India are occurring amid broader geopolitical tensions, including U.S. tariffs and military posturing in South Asia, highlighting the complexity of their relationship [10]

Core Viewpoint - The recent escalation of conflict between Thailand and Cambodia along their border is rooted in historical territorial disputes and has been exacerbated by recent political events, leading to a significant deterioration in bilateral relations [2][4]. Historical Context - The core issue of the conflict lies in the long-standing border and territorial disputes, particularly regarding the ownership of the Preah Vihear Temple and its surrounding areas, which have been a contentious point for over a century [2][3]. - The 1904 border treaty and subsequent 1907 map drawn by French officials have led to differing interpretations and disputes over the border, culminating in a 1962 ruling by the International Court of Justice that awarded the temple to Cambodia but left surrounding areas ambiguous [3]. Recent Political Events - The "recording scandal" involving former Thai Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-o-cha and Cambodian Senate President Hun Sen has intensified tensions, with accusations of weakness and betrayal of national interests leading to Prayuth's suspension from office [4][5]. - The internal political dynamics in Thailand, particularly the rise of military influence and the polarization between pro- and anti-government factions, have further complicated the situation [5]. Economic and Diplomatic Implications - Despite the ongoing military tensions, the likelihood of a full-scale war is low due to the intertwined economic relations, including significant border trade and the presence of Cambodian workers in Thailand [7]. - ASEAN's role as a stabilizing force is crucial, as both countries are bound by the Treaty of Amity and Cooperation, which encourages peaceful resolution of disputes [7]. - International actors, including China and the United Nations, are expected to play a mediating role to prevent escalation and encourage dialogue [7]. Future Outlook - The immediate future may see continued tensions and small-scale military confrontations, but there is potential for de-escalation through international mediation and a return to diplomatic negotiations [6][8]. - Both governments are urged to restore communication channels and manage nationalist sentiments to create a conducive environment for peace talks [8].

Core Points - The ongoing conflict between Thailand and Cambodia has escalated significantly since May 2023, with both countries experiencing military confrontations along their shared border [1][2][5] - The conflict has resulted in civilian casualties, with reports indicating over 20 Thai civilians and 13 Cambodian civilians have died due to the clashes [1][6] - The underlying issues of the conflict are not only territorial disputes but also intertwined with the political and economic challenges faced by both nations [1][11] Summary by Sections Escalation of Conflict - The situation between Thailand and Cambodia has been deteriorating since May 2023, with military confrontations occurring frequently [2][11] - A series of incidents, including a landmine explosion injuring Thai soldiers, has intensified the conflict [2][3] Diplomatic Relations - Thailand has downgraded its diplomatic relations with Cambodia, recalling its ambassador and expelling Cambodian diplomats [5][11] - Cambodia has responded by lowering its diplomatic status with Thailand and recalling most of its diplomatic staff [5][11] Military Actions - Both countries have accused each other of initiating hostilities, with Thailand deploying F-16 fighter jets and Cambodia claiming to have been attacked by Thai artillery [6][11] - Reports indicate that both sides have increased military presence along the border, leading to further tensions [7][11] Historical Context - The border dispute has historical roots, dating back to colonial times, with significant disagreements over the ownership of the Preah Vihear Temple area [8][10] - Previous rulings by the International Court of Justice have not resolved the territorial disputes, leading to ongoing tensions [10][11] Political Implications - The current conflict is seen as a reflection of domestic political pressures in both countries, with leaders seeking to bolster their legitimacy amid rising nationalism [11][12] - Analysts suggest that both governments may be using the conflict to divert attention from internal issues, such as economic challenges and political instability [12][15] International Response - The situation has drawn concern from other ASEAN countries, with calls for dialogue and peaceful resolution [12][13] - The United Nations Security Council is set to hold an emergency meeting to discuss the escalating tensions between the two nations [16]

Group 1 - The conflict between Cambodia and Thailand at the border has escalated, resulting in casualties on both sides, with Cambodia reporting one civilian death and five injuries, while Thailand reports over 60 casualties, including 15 fatalities [1][2] - Over 10,000 residents from the Cambodian border area have been evacuated due to the ongoing violence, and hundreds of schools have been closed [1] - Cambodia's Deputy Prime Minister has reiterated the country's commitment to a peaceful resolution of the border dispute, while condemning Thailand's military actions as violations of international law [1] Group 2 - Thailand's disaster management agency has reported the relocation of nearly 80,000 residents from border provinces due to the conflict, and the Thai tourism authority has advised tourists to avoid the border area [2] - The Thai Deputy Prime Minister has accused Cambodia of initiating military aggression and violating humanitarian principles, calling for international condemnation of Cambodia's actions [2]

Core Viewpoint - Cambodia is actively engaging with multiple countries, including the US and China, to address the escalating border tensions with Thailand, emphasizing its commitment to a peaceful resolution of the dispute [1] Group 1: Diplomatic Engagement - Cambodian Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Prak Sokhonn convened diplomats and military attachés from various countries to discuss the border situation [1] - The meeting included representatives from the US and China, highlighting the international interest in the regional stability [1] Group 2: Border Conflict - On July 24 and 25, clashes occurred in the border region between Cambodia and Thailand, with both sides accusing each other of violating international law [1] - The United Nations Security Council is scheduled to hold a closed-door meeting on the border conflict on July 25, indicating the potential for international diplomatic intervention [1]

Group 1 - Thailand's Deputy Prime Minister Puthan announced a downgrade in diplomatic relations with Cambodia, recalling the Thai ambassador and expelling the Cambodian ambassador [1] - Five Thai soldiers were injured by landmines on the Thai-Cambodian border, prompting the Thai government to close all border checkpoints under the jurisdiction of the Second Army Area [3] - The Thai military condemned the landmine incident as a violation of international humanitarian principles and accused the Cambodian government of responsibility [3] Group 2 - The landmine incidents are escalating border disputes between Thailand and Cambodia, with previous conflicts occurring in May and June [4] - Puthan emphasized that the landmines were newly planted, contradicting claims that Thai soldiers had entered Cambodian territory without authorization [3][4] - The Thai Ministry of Foreign Affairs condemned the landmine planting as a clear violation of Thailand's sovereignty and international agreements [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Thai Prime Minister, Petongtan, has been suspended by the Constitutional Court following a petition for impeachment related to alleged constitutional violations and ethical breaches in a conversation with Cambodia's Senate President, Hun Sen [1] Group 1: Political Developments - The Constitutional Court of Thailand has accepted the impeachment petition against Prime Minister Petongtan and has suspended her from office as of July 1 [1] - The impeachment petition was submitted by the President of the Thai Senate on June 20, citing concerns over a conversation between Petongtan and Hun Sen that allegedly violated constitutional norms [1] - The conversation in question involved Petongtan requesting Hun Sen's assistance in easing tensions at the Thai-Cambodian border, which have escalated due to recent disputes [1] Group 2: Public Response - Petongtan publicly accepted the court's decision and apologized to the Thai public for any distress caused by the situation [1] - She emphasized her commitment to continue working for the country despite the suspension [1]