对于"十五五"期间汽车年销量有望突破4000万台的判断，崔东树从三方面阐述了增长动力。其一，汽车 普及将向中西部地区及小城县乡市场纵深推进。随着这些区域经济发展水平提升、基础设施不断完善， 汽车消费需求持续释放，未来其汽车普及速度有望超过北京、上海等核心大城市，成为拉动销量增长的 重要力量。其二，电动化转型将缩短汽车保有周期。相较于传统发动机车型约18年的使用寿命，新能源 汽车所依赖的芯片和电池有效寿命周期预计在10年左右，这意味着在汽车保有量相对稳定的情况下，新 能源汽车的更新换代需求将显著增加，进而推动整体销量提升。其三，中国汽车在海外市场的份额将逐 步扩大。近年来，中国汽车产业在技术研发、产品质量、品牌建设等方面取得长足进步，新能源汽车更 是凭借先发优势在全球市场崭露头角，未来随着国际化布局不断深化，海外市场对中国汽车销量的贡献 度将进一步提高。 尽管当前部分人士对中国汽车未来年销量达到4000万台的预期持怀疑态度，但崔东树强调，国际市场仍 有巨大潜力待挖掘，同时国内市场在汽车普及增量方面也存在较大空间，随着相关利好因素持续释放， 这一目标具备实现的可能性。（纯钧） 【环球网科技综合报道】9月25日消息 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the evolving attitudes of different generations towards car ownership in China, highlighting a shift from traditional brand loyalty to a focus on personal preferences and emotional value among younger consumers [6][14][19]. Group 1: Market Trends - The automotive market in China is entering a new cycle, with an increase in younger consumers purchasing cars primarily for enjoyment rather than practicality [5][28]. - The number of cars owned in China has significantly increased, with the total reaching 3.52 billion by 2025, indicating a growing trend towards car ownership [26][28]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Younger consumers, such as those in their twenties and thirties, prioritize personal interests and emotional satisfaction over brand prestige when choosing vehicles [19][21]. - There is a notable generational divide in car preferences, with older generations favoring established brands and luxury vehicles, while younger buyers are more open to new and less traditional options [14][15][19]. Group 3: Cultural Shifts - The article suggests that the current generation views cars similarly to technology products, focusing on features and personal enjoyment rather than traditional status symbols [19][21]. - The emergence of a distinct automotive culture in China is highlighted, as younger consumers engage in social activities centered around their vehicles, reflecting a shift in how cars are perceived in society [28].