沪深300增强

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牛市思维,下周关注哪些行业?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-17 14:06
Market Overview - The market continues to operate in an upward trend, with the core observation variable being whether the market's profit-making effect can be sustained. As long as the profit-making effect remains positive, mid-term incremental capital is expected to continue entering the market [1][2][7] - The current WIND All A trend line is around 5625 points, with a profit-making effect value of 3.73%, which is significantly positive. It is recommended to hold positions patiently and maintain a high allocation until the profit-making effect turns negative [1][2][7] Industry Allocation - From a mid-term perspective, the industry allocation continues to recommend sectors that are experiencing a turnaround, specifically Hong Kong stocks in innovative pharmaceuticals and securities. The upward trend is still ongoing. Additionally, sectors benefiting from policy support, such as photovoltaics, coal, and non-ferrous metals, are expected to maintain an upward trajectory [3][7] - The TWO BETA model continues to recommend the technology sector, with a focus on military and computing power [2][3][7] Performance Metrics - The Davis Double Strategy has achieved a cumulative absolute return of 41.19% this year, exceeding the benchmark by 26.47%. This week, the strategy outperformed the benchmark by 1.62% [8][22] - The net profit gap strategy has achieved a cumulative absolute return of 42.83% this year, with a benchmark excess return of 28.11% [12][16] - The enhanced CSI 300 strategy has achieved an excess return of 19.88% relative to the CSI 300 index this year, with a weekly excess return of 0.01% [17][20]
上行趋势不改,行业如何轮动?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-10 22:51
来源:量化先行者 1.市场继续运行在上行趋势格局,核心观察变量在于市场赚钱效应能否持续,只要赚钱效应为正,增量资金有望持续入场。当前WIND全A趋势线位于 5540点附近,赚钱效应值为2.30%,显著为正,在赚钱效应转负之前,建议耐心持有,保持高仓位; 2.戴维斯双击本周超额基准1.32%,本年累计绝对收益33.83%;沪深300增强本周超额基准1.77%,本年累计超额收益19.41%;净利润断层本周超额基 准-0.26%,本年累计绝对收益37.50%。 上行趋势不改,行业如何轮动? 市场整体(wind全A指数):上行趋势 仓位建议:80% 市场大势:择时体系信号显示,均线距离6.92%,距离绝对值显著大于3%,市场继续运行在上行趋势格局。市场进入上行趋势,核心观察变量在于市场赚 钱效应能否持续,只要赚钱效应为正,中期增量资金有望持续入场。短期而言,中美关税是否最终继续延期有望在下周落地,若如期延续,市场风险偏好 有望上行;当前WIND全A趋势线位于5540点附近,赚钱效应值为2.30%,显著为正,在赚钱效应转负之前,建议耐心持有,保持高仓位。 行业配置:中期角度行业配置继续推荐困境反转型板块,推荐港股创新药 ...
戴维斯双击本周超额基准3.76%
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-03 04:43
金融工程 | 金工定期报告 金融工程 证券研究报告 戴维斯双击本周超额基准 3.76% 戴维斯双击策略 今年以来,策略累计绝对收益 29.82%,超额中证 500 指数 21.30%,本周策 略超额中证 500 指数 3.76%。本期组合于 2025-05-06 日开盘调仓,截至 2025-08-01 日,本期组合超额基准指数 7.50%。 净利润断层策略 净利润断层策略是基本面与技术面共振双击下的选股模式,其核心有两点: "净利润",指通常意义上的业绩超预期;"断层",指盈余公告后的首个交 易日股价出现向上跳空,该跳空通常代表市场对盈余报告的认可程度。 策略在 2010 年至今取得了年化 29.83%的收益,年化超额基准 27.67%。本 年组合累计绝对收益 35.44%,超额基准指数 26.93%,本周超额收益 0.43%。 沪深 300 增强组合 根据对优秀基金的归因,投资者的偏好可以分为:GARP 型,成长型以及 价值型。GARP 型投资者希望以相对低的价格买入盈利能力强、成长潜力 稳定的公司。以 PB 与 ROE 的分位数之差构建 PBROE 因子,寻找估值低并 且盈利能力强的股票;以 PE 与增速 ...