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成材:月度宏观数据偏弱,钢价弱势运行-20251021
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-10-21 02:39
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoint of the Report - The steel price is operating at a low level and faces short - term downward pressure [3] Group 3: Summary by Related Content Steel Production Data - In September 2025, China's crude steel production was 73.49 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 4.6%; pig iron production was 66.05 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 2.4%; steel production was 124.21 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 5.1%. From January to September, China's crude steel production was 746.25 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 2.9%; pig iron production was 645.86 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 1.1%; steel production was 1.10385 billion tons, a year - on - year increase of 5.4% [2] Real Estate Data - From January to September, the national real estate development investment was 677.06 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 13.9%; residential investment was 520.46 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.9%. The construction area of real estate development enterprises was 6.4858 billion square meters, a year - on - year decrease of 9.4%; residential construction area was 4.52165 billion square meters, a decrease of 9.7%. The new construction area was 453.99 million square meters, a decrease of 18.9%; residential new construction area was 332.73 million square meters, a decrease of 18.3%. The completed area was 311.29 million square meters, a decrease of 15.3%; residential completed area was 222.28 million square meters, a decrease of 17.1% [2] Market Performance and Influencing Factors - The finished steel price rose first and then fell. After rising on Friday night and Monday morning, it gradually declined and gave back most of the day's gains at the close. The overall macro - economic data released today was weak, especially the limited improvement in the real estate sector. Overseas trade frictions also had a negative impact on China's steel exports. Attention should be paid to Sino - US economic and trade consultations and domestic important meetings [2] Later Concerns - Macro policies and downstream demand conditions should be concerned [3]