九丰能源（605090.SH） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 10 月 30 日 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：孙颖 | | 营业收入（百万元） | | 26,566 | 22,047 | 20,363 | 22,262 | 23,736 | | | | 增长率 yoy% | | 11% | -17% | -8% | 9% | 7% | | 执业证书编号：S0740519070002 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | | 1,306 | 1,684 | 1,601 | 1,812 | 2,087 | | Email：sunying@zts.com.cn | | 增长率 yoy% | | 20% | 29% | -5% | 13% | 15% | | | | 每股收益（元） | | 2.08 | 2.61 | 2.30 | ...

Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen Gas Group Co., Ltd. is issuing convertible bonds to unspecified objects, maintaining a stable credit rating of AAA, supported by strong regional market position and backing from the Shenzhen State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [4][6][11]. Financial Overview - Total assets reached 442.70 billion in 2023, with total liabilities at 269.98 billion, and total debt at 165.65 billion [7]. - Operating revenue for 2023 was 309.29 billion, with a net profit of 16.42 billion [7]. - The EBITDA for 2023 was 37.53 billion, with a cash flow from operating activities of 25.43 billion [7]. Business Performance - The company has a strong regional market position as the sole operator of pipeline gas in Shenzhen, with gas sales volume increasing by 1.27% in 2024 [13][14]. - The gas procurement volume increased by 7.84% in 2024, with a procurement average price decrease of 7.40% [14]. - The company’s gas sales revenue showed a slight increase in 2024, despite a decline in liquid petroleum gas sales due to the "bottle-to-pipe" project [14][24]. Industry Context - The natural gas market is expected to maintain a stable outlook in 2024, with a balanced supply and demand situation supporting profitability for urban gas companies [10][11]. - The photovoltaic industry is facing challenges with supply-demand imbalances, leading to price declines and increased competition, impacting the performance of the company's subsidiary, Swick [10][19]. Strategic Direction - The company aims to optimize its layout and innovate, focusing on a dual business model of gas and clean energy, with plans for high-quality transformation and growth [12][21]. - The company is actively expanding its gas wholesale business and has plans for new projects in the clean energy sector [15][21]. Credit Rating and Monitoring - The credit rating of AAA is maintained based on the company's strong market position and support from the Shenzhen State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [4][5]. - Regular monitoring and tracking of the company's credit status will continue throughout the bond's lifespan [3][4].