注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 考，不构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险 等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 每日经济新闻 广发证券指出，从供需来看，一方面年末安监较严，部分完成年度生产目标的煤矿将逐步减产，另 一方面12月-1月季节性需求将进一步增长，预计煤价有望逐步企稳回升。同时，各环节库存仍低于去年 同期，后续补库需求将对煤价形成支撑，26年煤价中枢上行确定性强。国内供需方面，10月用电量超预 期，火电需求再度回正，煤炭进口量环比下降；国际方面，25年前10月煤炭贸易量同比下降3.6%，印 尼、澳洲等国出口量下降。行业政策方面，26年长协政策落地，四季度安全监管趋严，产量持续受限。 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 作为市场唯一一只煤炭ETF，煤炭ETF（515220）跟踪中证煤炭指数（399998），规模超100亿 元，煤炭板块股息率较高，截至三季度末，近12个月股息率超5.3%，在无风险利率下行的背景下配置 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Buy" [4] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector has experienced a high-level retreat in the first two months of 2025, underperforming the market by 11.8 percentage points. As of March 18, the coal sector has declined by 10.0%, ranking last among all industry indices [4][14] - Domestic coal prices have been weak since the beginning of the year, but have stabilized since March. The average price of thermal coal in Qinhuangdao port is 678 RMB/ton, down 11.4% from the end of 2024 [4][29] - The report suggests that coal prices have a support level at the bottom, and the sector's valuation and dividend advantages are becoming more pronounced [4][38] Summary by Sections 1. Coal Sector Review - The coal sector has underperformed the market, with a cumulative decline of 10.0% as of March 18, 2025, and a ranking of 30 out of 30 among industry indices [4][14] - The sector's performance in the first two months saw thermal coal down 15.5%, coking coal down 11.4%, and coke up 1.4% [4][14] 2. Coal Market Review - Electricity consumption growth has slowed to 1.3% in the first two months, while non-electric demand has improved. Coal imports have also slowed to a growth rate of 1.8% [4][29] - Domestic coal prices have been weak, with thermal coal and coking coal prices declining since the beginning of the year but stabilizing in March [4][29] - International coal prices have dropped by 10-20% since the beginning of the year, with significant declines in high-calorific thermal coal [4][43] 3. Recent Market Dynamics - Port thermal coal prices have slightly decreased, while prices at production sites have generally increased. The report anticipates a gradual recovery in demand due to inventory reductions at power plants [4][38] 4. Industry Perspective - The report indicates that coal prices are expected to stabilize and gradually recover due to a rebound in industrial demand and a slowdown in production growth [4][38] - Key companies highlighted include Shaanxi Coal and China Shenhua, which are expected to maintain stable profitability and high dividends [4][38] 5. Key Companies - The report identifies several companies with strong dividends and stable earnings, including Shaanxi Coal, China Shenhua, and others with lower valuations and potential for growth [4][5]