Core Viewpoint - The "anti-involution" policy is gaining traction in the market, aimed at addressing the overcapacity issues in traditional industries and enhancing profitability for industrial enterprises [1][2]. Group 1: Historical Context - In the previous round of supply-side reforms, key sectors such as steel, coal, and building materials were prioritized, resulting in significant price increases: coal sector rose by 18.03%, steel by 20.04%, and building materials by 29.96% from February 2016 to December 2017 [2][4]. Group 2: Current Industry Focus - **Photovoltaics**: The industry is undergoing self-regulation with major companies committing to a 30% production cut starting July, which may stabilize prices and improve profitability [5][6]. - **Building Materials**: A coalition of 33 major construction firms has initiated a campaign against excessive competition, with the China Cement Association advocating for high-quality development and price increases to combat rising costs [9]. - **Coal**: The supply-side reform focuses on reducing production capacity, which is expected to boost coal prices and profits. The coal sector is also benefiting from high dividend yields, with the index showing over 6% yield as of mid-2025 [10]. - **Steel**: The steel industry faces challenges from declining demand and increased export pressure. However, if government policies are implemented to control production, profitability may improve as prices are already at historical lows [11]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - **Photovoltaics ETF**: The potential for recovery in the photovoltaic sector presents an investment opportunity [9]. - **Building Materials ETF**: The largest market scale ETF in the building materials sector is highlighted as a key investment [9]. - **Coal ETF**: The only coal ETF in the market is noted for its growing scale and high dividend potential [10]. - **Steel ETF**: The unique steel ETF in the market is also mentioned as an investment opportunity [12].

Group 1 - The coal industry is benefiting from technological breakthroughs and policy regulation, with significant developments in mining technology and a focus on improving product quality while phasing out outdated production capacity [1] - Recent increases in coal demand and high oil-coal price differentials have been noted, with domestic power plants experiencing higher daily consumption and rising coal prices [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission has emphasized the need to control production and improve quality, while the Central Financial Committee has called for the regulation of low-price competition among enterprises [1] Group 2 - The coal ETF (515220) is the only ETF tracking the coal industry, covering leading companies across various segments such as thermal coal, coking coal, and coal chemicals, and is recognized as a high-dividend defensive investment tool [2] - The ETF has a scale of 4.63 billion yuan and is becoming a "cash cow" in the market, reflecting strong industry representation [2]

浙商证券表示，近日煤炭需求增加，油煤价差仍在高位。国内电厂日耗提升，煤价上涨，关注反内卷政 策对供给侧影响。国内政策方面，煤炭协会发倡议要求，控制产量，提高质量；中央财经委员会第六次 会议强调，要依法依规治理企业低价无序竞争，推动落后产能有序退出。基本面方面，国内煤炭价格反 弹，澳洲动力煤价格上涨；社会库存整体水平稳定。当前日耗将显著提升，电厂仍有补库需求。焦炭产 能可能因环保因素产能利用率下降，焦炭板块业绩可能边际改善。 煤炭ETF（代码：515220）是全市场唯一煤炭ETF，跟踪的是中证煤炭指数（代码：399998），该指数 由中证指数有限公司编制，从A股市场中选取涉及煤炭开采、煤炭加工及销售等业务的上市公司证券作 为指数样本，以反映煤炭行业相关上市公司证券的整体表现。作为具有明显行业特征和周期性的指数， 中证煤炭指数能够较好地体现煤炭板块在资本市场中的运行态势。 没有股票账户的投资者可关注国泰中证煤炭ETF联接C（008280），国泰中证煤炭ETF联接A （008279）。 注：指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变 动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及 ...

每经编辑｜彭水萍 7月2日，煤炭板块震荡上涨，煤炭ETF（515220）盘中持续拉升，最终收涨1.8%。近五日煤炭ETF持续吸金，共流入 超1亿元。短期来看，近期动力煤及焦煤期现价格出现了企稳迹象，社会面去库逐渐展开，叠加夏季用电高峰临近，对 煤炭行业近端业绩提供支撑。中长期来看，一系列政策的发布有助于改善市场对宏观经济的预期，从需求侧对煤炭价 格形成支撑。近日随着煤价下跌，煤炭板块有所回调，煤炭股息率进一步提升，中证煤炭指数（399998）当前股息率 6%，位于历史近70%分位数，具有较大的股息吸引力。 中长期来看，近日广州、西安等地进一步加码房地产业相关政策有助于改善市场对宏观经济的预期，从需求侧对煤炭 价格形成支撑。近日，广州、西安等地进一步加码房地产业相关政策，旨在促进房地产市场平稳健康发展。在基建投 资和工业复苏背景下，煤炭需求存在恢复空间，市场对煤炭行业的预期向好。同时，中美贸易关系的缓和有望增强出 口侧的需求和韧性，市场之前对关税的担忧或逐步消散，从而支撑煤炭价格及上市公司业绩。 预期层面，受多方面因素影响，进口煤量或延续高位回落态势。贸易保护、关税政策、出口价格政策变化、产业链需 求等因素影响 ...

Group 1 - The current global energy landscape is undergoing a significant transformation, with coal potentially remaining in a golden era due to policy directions and energy security demands [1] - Coal supply is tight due to strict capacity control under dual carbon policies, increased safety and environmental regulations, and regional supply differentiation, particularly as eastern resources diminish and mining in Shanxi stabilizes [1] - The increasing difficulty of coal mining and heightened safety standards may lead to a new normal of underproduction, highlighting the scarcity of resources [1] Group 2 - Coal's status as a primary energy source is unlikely to change in the short term, with strong demand resilience driven by continuous growth in electricity generation [1] - The coal price is expected to maintain a fluctuating pattern, with coal companies showing strong profit sustainability and improved cash flow following balance sheet optimization [1] - The coal ETF (code: 515220) is the only coal ETF in the market, tracking the CSI Coal Index (code: 399998), which reflects the overall performance of listed companies involved in coal mining, processing, and sales [1]

每日经济新闻 国海证券指出，动力煤方面，煤炭供需面旺季迎来好转，截至6月20日港口煤价609元/吨，实现自6 月5日以来十余日持稳，坑口价格开启上探（山西、内蒙古、陕西坑口价格周环比分别提升11.00元/吨、 2.00元/吨、10.00元/吨）。生产端主产区安监和环保检查下部分煤矿减产或停产检修，但整体供应平 稳，三西地区样本煤矿产能利用率环比上升0.09pct。需求端电厂日耗提升，沿海与内地电厂日耗周环比 分别上升6.0/29.2万吨，电厂库存处于同比较低状态，为后市旺季补库提供利好。非电需求中化工耗煤 高位且继续环比提升1.41pct，冶金淡季呈现韧性。炼焦煤方面，本周供应继续收缩，样本煤矿产能利用 率环比下降1.03pct，主因山西、内蒙地区环保检查影响；需求端铁水日均产量回升，焦企原料采购带动 成交好转。焦炭方面，供给端因环保督察及焦企主动减产，产能利用率环比降低0.36pct至75.41%；需 求端铁水产量提升但钢厂控量采购，预计短期维持震荡趋势。整体来看，煤炭行业供应端约束逻辑未 变，头部企业呈现"高盈利、高现金流、高壁垒、高分红、高安全边际"特征。 煤炭ETF（515220）跟踪的是中证煤炭指数 ...

Group 1 - The coal industry is experiencing "high profitability, high cash flow, and high dividends" with the coal ETF (515220) rising over 1% [1] - In May, coal supply and demand conditions gradually improved, with industrial raw coal production reaching 400 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.2% [1] - Daily average production remained low at 13.01 million tons, while coal imports decreased by 18% year-on-year, indicating ongoing import constraints [1] Group 2 - On the demand side, industrial thermal power generation increased by 1.2% in May, reversing the decline seen in April [1] - Hydropower generation saw a larger decline of 14.3%, while the growth rate of renewable energy generation slowed down, indicating improved coal power demand [1] - As of June 13, the port price of thermal coal stabilized at 609 yuan per ton, with expectations of a price rebound due to increased summer demand [1] Group 3 - The coal ETF (code: 515220) is the only coal ETF in the market, tracking the CSI Coal Index (code: 399998), which reflects the overall performance of listed companies involved in coal mining, processing, and sales [1] - The CSI Coal Index is designed to represent the operational status of the coal sector in the capital market, showcasing its distinct industry characteristics and cyclicality [1]

煤炭ETF（515220）跟踪的是中证煤炭指数（399998），该指数由中证指数有限公司编制，从A股市场 中选取涉及煤炭开采、煤炭贸易及相关设备制造等业务的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映煤炭行业 相关上市公司证券的整体表现。中证煤炭指数具有明显的行业集中特征，能够较好地体现煤炭板块的市 场走势。 煤炭ETF（515220）昨日净流入近0.6亿，供需改善支撑板块预期。 消息面上，6月12日新疆煤炭产业70年发展成果显示，其开采方式已实现从人拉肩扛到无人化转型，产 能突破5亿吨，消费用途从传统燃料扩展至化工原料领域。6月11日加拿大统计局数据显示，3月该国煤 炭产量环比增长41.6%至381.6万吨，1-3月累计产量1019.8万吨。此外，中国煤炭工业协会宣布将于7月 10日-11日举办夏季全国煤炭交易会，主题聚焦资源高效配置与供需动态平衡。 国海证券指出，5月煤炭供需面逐步好转。供给端，5月规上工业原煤产量4.0亿吨，同比增长4.2%，增 速较4月提升0.4个百分点，但日均产量1301万吨仍处年内低位；进口煤同比缩量18%，降幅扩大1个百 分点。需求端，规上工业火电同比增速由4月的-2.3%转为5月的+1.2 ...

每经编辑｜叶峰 6月17日，煤炭板块表现相对较好，煤炭ETF（515220）收涨0.81%，依旧受到市场资金的青睐。 从产量情况来看，据国家统计局数据，5月规上工业原煤产量4.0亿吨，同比增长4.2%，增速比4月份加快0.4个百分点；日均产量1301万吨。1-5月份，规上 工业原煤产量19.9亿吨，同比增长6.0%。5月原煤产量维持稳定。 从进口情况来看，根据海关总局数据，5月中国进口煤炭总量为3604万吨，较去年同期的4381.6万吨减少777.6万吨，同比下降17.7%；较4月份的3782.5万 吨减少178.5万吨，环比下降4.7%。5月进口煤持续减量，煤炭供给收缩。 从价格端来看，在供需关系逐步改善以及迎峰度夏的催化下，国内煤价呈现企稳的态势，6月16日秦皇岛港5500大卡动力煤平仓价609元/吨，环比上周持 平，较6月初下跌1元/吨。 数据来源：Wind 从下游需求来看，近期下游降雨天气较多，水电发力明显，火电厂日耗提升有限，但按往年迎峰度夏节奏，6月下旬至9月中旬，沿海八省电厂日耗仍有较 大的提升空间。此外，根据国家气象局，今年5月全国平均气温17.1℃，同比偏高0.9℃，华中地区中北部、西南地区 ...

Market Overview - The market showed a mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up by 1.26 points, a 0.04% increase, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 19.8 points, a 0.19% decrease [1] - The trading volume in both markets decreased by approximately 140 billion compared to the previous day, with around 2,600 stocks experiencing gains and losses [1] Industry Performance - The coal sector experienced a rebound, with the coal ETF (515220) rising by 0.41% after reaching a peak increase of 1.12% [3] - Recent trends indicate stabilization in the prices of thermal coal and coking coal, supported by the approaching summer electricity peak [5][6] - The coal industry is expected to see marginal performance recovery due to improved market expectations and demand-side support from the easing of tariff risks following the recent US-China talks [6][7] Policy and Economic Outlook - The recent US-China summit call has injected new momentum into trade discussions, alleviating short-term concerns over tariff escalations [2] - The Chinese government aims for a GDP growth of around 5% this year, with an increase in local government special bonds to 4.4 trillion yuan, which is expected to boost infrastructure investment and industrial recovery [6] Investment Opportunities - The coal sector's dividend yield is currently at a historical high, making it attractive for long-term investors [7] - The innovation drug sector, particularly the AI-driven pharmaceutical development, shows potential for growth, with the innovation drug ETF (517110) outperforming the industry index by over 17% this year [9][13] - The approval of multiple innovative drugs is expected to enhance industry sentiment and support company performance, making related ETFs worth considering for investment [13]