新三板策略专题报告 2025 年 12 月 28 日 新三板隐形冠军涌现：聚焦车联网等细分行业，关注雅迅智联、一诺生物等 ——新三板掘金周报第三期 北交所研究团队 诸海滨（分析师） zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 新三板筑牢"塔基"与北交所共同服务中小企业 本周（2025.12.22~2025.12.28，下同），新增 10 家挂牌公司。营收均值 7.32 亿元， 中值 6.99 亿元；净利润均值 4752.95 万元，中值 4093.99 万元。 1、雅迅智联(874947.NQ)：全栈式端云一体化车联网软件与零部件供应商。直接 持股比例 5%以上股东包括先进制造产投、雅信盛投资、金创战新、金龙汽车、 中兵国调等。截至 2025 年 5 月 12 日取得发明专利 463 项，国外发明专利 10 项， 主笔制定了《汽车整车信息安全技术要求》等国家强制标准。2024 年营收 8.01 亿元，归母净利润 4203 万元。 2、青蛙泵业(874926.NQ)：井用潜水泵"隐形冠军"。"青蛙"牌井用潜水泵产品 在 2019 至 2024 年已连续 6 年全国销量排名第一； ...

Group 1 - The chemical cyclical industry is expected to see favorable market conditions in 2026, with significant inflows into the Tianhong Chemical ETF (159133) exceeding 11 million yuan in the past 10 days, indicating strong interest in leading companies in the sector [1] - As of December 15, the Tianhong Chemical ETF (159133) has seen a growth of 4.55 million yuan in scale and an increase of 7.5 million shares over the past two weeks, demonstrating substantial growth [1] - The Tianhong Chemical ETF (159133) has attracted a total of 11.58 million yuan in the last 10 trading days, highlighting its appeal to investors [1] Group 2 - China has established itself as the world's largest producer and exporter of pesticides, with raw material production accounting for nearly 70% of the global market and exports making up almost 90% of domestic production [2] - Between 2020 and 2024, China has created 32 out of 62 new pesticides recognized by ISO, representing 51.61% of the total, solidifying its position as a key player in global pesticide innovation [2] Group 3 - Methanol imports this month are significantly below expectations, with only 600,000 tons arriving in the first two weeks, and total imports projected to be under 1.4 million tons for December [3] - Domestic supply pressures have eased as port inventories have decreased by 200,000 tons from their peak, despite a decline in spot prices [3] - Anticipated reductions in production and imports in the first quarter of next year are expected to stabilize and potentially rebound methanol prices [3] Group 4 - According to Everbright Securities, the chemical cyclical industry is poised for an improved supply-demand balance in 2026, driven by macroeconomic recovery and policy advancements [4] - The demand for new chemical materials is expected to remain strong, particularly in sectors such as AI, OLED, and robotics [4] - Recommendations include focusing on leading companies in sectors like phosphate chemicals, potassium fertilizers, agriculture, MDI, titanium dioxide, and lithium battery materials, as well as those with technological advantages in semiconductor and OLED materials [4]

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration among Asahi Kasei, Mitsui Chemicals, and Mitsubishi Chemical aims to establish a limited liability partnership, Setouchi Ethylene LLP, focusing on carbon reduction technologies and capacity optimization in ethylene production facilities in western Japan, with a goal of achieving a green transition by 2030 [2][5]. Group 1: Ethylene Production and Carbon Emissions - Ethylene is one of the largest chemical products globally, with its production process accounting for 1.8% of global industrial emissions, primarily due to high-temperature energy consumption in steam cracking furnaces [5]. - Japan, as the third-largest ethylene producer, has an annual capacity of approximately 10 million tons, but its carbon intensity is 20%-30% higher than that of Europe and the U.S. [5]. - The Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) plans to achieve a 40% reduction in emissions from the chemical industry by 2030, making the stability, greening, and efficiency optimization of ethylene production crucial for the development of downstream engineering plastics [5]. Group 2: Strategies for Green Transition - The three companies have been discussing specific measures to promote carbon neutrality in ethylene production facilities since last year, focusing on transitioning raw materials from traditional petroleum resources to biomass-based materials and introducing low-carbon fuels [6]. - They plan to optimize production frameworks, including potential capacity reductions for more efficient resource utilization, and have agreed that forming the LLP is the best way to deepen cooperation and accelerate their goals [6]. - Asahi Kasei has developed a "lignin cracking technology" that can convert paper waste and other biomass into ethylene feedstock, which can replace some petroleum-based raw materials. Pilot data shows that with a biomass ratio of 20%, carbon emissions can be reduced by 35%, and costs are 15% lower than traditional bioethanol routes [6]. Group 3: Differences Between Bio-based Olefins and Traditional Ethylene - Bio-based ethylene opens a new pathway for ethylene production, sourced from renewable biomass resources such as agricultural and forestry waste, through a series of biological and chemical conversion processes [7]. - The carbon emissions from bio-based ethylene production are significantly lower, with CO2 emissions ranging from 0.8 to 1.2 kg CO2 per kg of product, representing a 60% reduction compared to petrochemical routes [7]. - However, challenges remain in terms of cost competitiveness, with raw material costs accounting for 60%-70% of total costs, and higher energy consumption compared to petrochemical processes [7]. Group 4: Industry Movements and Innovations - Major companies like Braskem, BASF, and New Energy Blue are pursuing bio-based ethylene as a key focus area in the context of low-carbon sustainability [7]. - Braskem, the sixth-largest petrochemical company globally, has been producing bio-based polyethylene since 2010 and is expanding its bio-based ethylene production capacity in Brazil [8]. - In China, Sinopec has made significant strides in bio-based polyethylene, successfully launching its first bio-based product in September 2024, with an initial production of 2,500 tons [10].