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金信期货日刊-20251113
Jin Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-13 00:47
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The short - term rise of the soybean oil futures 2601 contract is a rebound, but the medium - term outlook is bearish. Investors should adopt a "short - term long, long - term short" strategy [2][3]. - The A - share market is expected to experience short - term high - level fluctuations [7]. - Gold shows signs of rising again and can be bought on dips [12]. - Iron ore may enter a technical bearish trend and shorting on rebounds is recommended [14][15]. - Glass is viewed as oscillating bearishly [17][18]. - There are short - term long opportunities in methanol [20]. - The pulp futures market shows an oscillating rebound trend [24]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Hot Focus - On November 12, the soybean oil futures 2601 contract closed at 8266 yuan/ton, up 36 yuan or 0.44% from the previous trading day. The rise is due to the emotional repair of the oil and fat sector and downstream replenishment demand. However, the medium - term bearish pattern remains unchanged [3]. Technical Analysis - Stock Index Futures - The three major A - share indexes opened lower and fluctuated downward in the morning. The Shanghai Composite Index ended with a doji star. The market is expected to have short - term high - level oscillations [7][8]. Technical Analysis - Gold - After a period of adjustment, gold shows signs of rising again, and low - buying for long positions is advisable [12]. Technical Analysis - Iron Ore - With the commissioning of the Simandou project, the supply is expected to be more abundant. The demand side is weak except for exports, and it may enter a technical bearish trend [14][15]. Technical Analysis - Glass - The daily melting volume of glass changes little, and the inventory has decreased this week. The future drivers depend on policy - side stimulus and anti - involution policies. It is viewed as oscillating bearishly [17][18]. Technical Analysis - Methanol - This week, the methanol port inventory has accumulated in the East China region and slightly decreased in the South China region. There are short - term long opportunities [20]. Technical Analysis - Pulp - In October, the pulp import volume decreased month - on - month, and the domestic port inventory is in a destocking trend. The supply is still abundant, and the futures market shows an oscillating rebound trend [24].