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中国黄金国际(02099):半年报点评:Q2业绩环比明显提升,铜金组合充分释放业绩弹性
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-18 13:05
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][6][36]. Core Views - The company achieved a significant revenue increase of 178% year-on-year, reaching $580 million in the first half of the year, and turned a profit with a net income of $200 million [10][4]. - The Q2 revenue showed a 12% quarter-on-quarter growth, with net profit increasing by 35% from Q1 to Q2, driven by rising gold prices, increased copper sales, and cost optimization [10][4]. - The company is expected to exceed its annual production guidance for both gold and copper, with strong production performance in the first half of the year [12][34]. Financial Performance - The company reported gold production of 2.74 tons and copper production of 34,900 tons in the first half of the year, with Q1/Q2 production figures indicating stable output [12][10]. - The unit production cost for gold was $1,619 per ounce, while the copper unit production cost was $3.29 per pound, showing significant cost optimization in Q2 [2][16]. - The forecast for 2025-2027 indicates revenue growth rates of 47.4%, 1.3%, and 10.2%, respectively, with net profit growth rates of 528.9%, 3.1%, and 12.1% [4][5][34]. Production and Cost Data - The company’s core products include gold and copper, with production guidance for 2025 indicating stable output levels [34][12]. - The Longshanhao gold mine is nearing the end of its lifespan, while the Jiama copper-gold polymetallic mine is expected to resume operations in mid-2024, enhancing production capacity [3][29]. Valuation - The report suggests a valuation target of 12-13 times earnings for 2025, translating to a stock price range of HKD 92.90 to HKD 100.64, indicating an upside potential of approximately 18%-28% from the current price [4][36].