Core Viewpoint - The recent 25 basis points interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve marks the beginning of a global liquidity turning point, indicating a shift towards a more accommodative monetary policy environment [3][6]. Group 1: Market Reactions - The Fed's rate cut is seen as a "preventive cut," with expectations of two more cuts within the year, leading to a decline in dollar asset yields and an influx of international capital into emerging markets, particularly benefiting A-shares [3][4]. - Historical data shows that since 2005, A-shares have only a 38.9% chance of short-term gains following Fed rate cuts, but this probability increases to 38.9% over a 90-day period, suggesting initial market volatility before a potential medium to long-term bullish trend [3][4]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Three main investment themes have emerged: 1. **Technology Growth (Semiconductors, AI Computing)**: Lower financing costs from rate cuts favor high R&D sectors, with foreign capital already increasing positions in leading firms like SMIC and North Huachuang [3][4]. 2. **Interest Rate Sensitive Sectors (Brokerage, Innovative Pharmaceuticals)**: Brokerages benefit from improved liquidity, while innovative pharmaceutical companies see reduced financing costs and enhanced valuation flexibility [3][4]. 3. **Core Consumer Assets**: High-dividend stocks like Moutai and Midea are becoming preferred choices for foreign investors due to stable earnings and high dividends, with historical data indicating a potential 46% increase in consumer stocks during rate cut cycles [4][5]. Group 3: Strategic Insights - The trend of foreign capital returning to China is confirmed, with active foreign investment showing net inflows, and major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley expressing bullish sentiments towards A-shares [5]. - The policy space for the Chinese central bank has opened up, allowing for potential future rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions, which could lead to improved corporate financing conditions and profitability [5][6]. - A suggested strategy includes maintaining a 50% base position and a 30% flexible allocation, with specific buy and sell points based on market movements, emphasizing a focus on technology leaders and defensive sectors [5][6].

Market Overview - On the last trading day of May, the A-share market experienced a weak fluctuation with a decline in both volume and price, led by technology stocks, resulting in nearly 4,200 stocks closing lower [1][2] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.47% to 3,347.49 points, while the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.96% to 1,993.19 points, with total trading volume decreasing to 1.16 trillion yuan [2][3] Sector Performance - The agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector led the gains, with stocks like Juxing Agriculture and Xiangjia Co. hitting the daily limit [5] - Defensive sectors such as banking and pharmaceuticals also showed slight gains, while technology stocks faced significant declines, with many sectors experiencing drops of nearly 2% [6][7] Individual Stock Movements - A total of 1,116 stocks rose, with 53 hitting the daily limit, while 4,163 stocks fell, including 19 hitting the lower limit [3] - Notable declines were observed in technology-related sectors, including a 3.29% drop in the reducer sector and a 3.14% drop in molten salt energy storage [9] Investor Sentiment - Investor sentiment appears cautious ahead of the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, with some choosing to hold cash due to uncertainties in overseas factors [1][10] - The market lacks clear industry themes, leading to insufficient overall trading volume, which may limit potential rebounds in technology stocks [10][12] Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that if trading volume exceeds 1.2 trillion yuan post-holiday, technology stocks may see a technical rebound; otherwise, sector rotation may continue [11] - The market is expected to maintain a fluctuating pattern, with indices oscillating between 3,300 and 3,400 points in the short term, while long-term focus remains on sectors benefiting from policy support and technological self-reliance [12][13]