Core Viewpoint - The domestic retail price of refined oil is expected to decrease significantly, with a predicted reduction of 80 yuan per ton, marking the eighth price cut this year [1]. Price Adjustment Summary - As of October 13, the retail price of refined oil will undergo a new round of adjustments, with the current forecast indicating a drop exceeding 50 yuan per ton [1]. - In 2023, there have been 19 rounds of price adjustments for domestic refined oil, including 6 increases, 6 instances of no change, and 7 decreases [1]. - The average decrease in gasoline and diesel prices compared to the end of last year is 405 yuan per ton and 390 yuan per ton, respectively [2]. International Oil Price Trends - On October 10, WTI crude oil futures fell by 5.32%, reaching the lowest point since May [3]. - The domestic crude oil futures also saw a decline, with the main contract dropping by 4.55%, nearing the May low [3]. - The recent significant drop in international oil prices suggests that there may still be room for further declines [5][6]. Market Analysis - Analysts from Guotai Junan Futures and Zhonghui Futures indicate that the combination of ample supply, weakening demand, and reduced geopolitical risks may lead to further declines in oil prices in the coming week [6]. - The impact of U.S. tariff policies on oil prices is highlighted as a significant factor, with expectations of continued downward pressure [6].

数据日报 国贸期货研究院 农产品研究中心 黄向岚 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 投资咨询号: Z0021658 从业资格号:F03110419 | 粘预期仍处于累库周期:10月国内大豆预期开始去库,明年一季度的豆相供需缺口取决于中美政策变化、需求方面,生猪和禽类养殖辐 | | | --- | --- | | 11 | 斯顿朝维持高存栏。支撑河用需求，但政策导向控生猪存栏和体重，预期影响远月生猪供应。豆粕维价比较高。提货居于高位；本周豆 | | 结 | 柏下游成交谨慎。库存方面，国内大豆库存增至高位、豆粕库存上升，库存水平低于去年同期，但预期仍处于累库周期，饲料企业豆粕 | | 库存天数上升。 | | | 整体来说，出于美盘和贴水综合的进口成本支撑领期下,NO1下方空间预期有限。关注本周USDA9月报告结果。国内现货市场催提现 | | | 象严重,现货基差偏弱。短期盘面震荡调整,以逢低做多为主。 | | | 本报告中的信息均源于公开可获得的资料，国贸期货力求推广可靠，但不对上述信息的准确性及示释担放任何保证。本报告不构 | | | 电 | 成个人投资建议，也未针对个别投资者帮殊的 ...