全文阅读时间约为10分钟。 作者：洪晟、周毅、安梄珍 近期趋势与市场展望 战略路径：适应新现实并确保生存 为应对炼油与石化行业日益严峻的挑战，企业正聚焦于成本削减、产能优化整合与数字化转型。炼油 厂优先推动运营优化与效率提升；而石化企业则将投资转向创新领域，以获取额外利润空间并满足不 断变化的市场需求。 在当今日益复杂且不确定的环境中，运营转型已非可选项，而是关乎生存的关键第一步。企业必须运 用多种杠杆强化运营、提升盈利能力，并建立抵御市场波动与结构性变革的韧性。例如，东亚领先炼 油厂已在2~3年内成功实施端到端数字化转型。这些系统性举措成效显著，实现每桶利润提升0.9至1.3 美元。 对石化企业（尤其在中国）而言，裂解装置竞争力差异显著，且与规模无必然关联。要在这一挑战性 市场中确保长期生存能力，企业需采取全局性主动策略。为保持竞争力并成为"剩"者为王的赢家，企 当前，炼油市场增长放缓，预计到2030年炼油利润率将下降约5%至30%。这一下滑趋势主要由于需求 增长放缓、电动汽车的普及以及炼油产能持续扩张，打破了供需平衡，给行业带来挑战。预计亚洲炼 油厂开工率将显著波动；长期来看，随着产业逐步适应不断演变的市 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the patent application by multiple subsidiaries of Shanshu Technology, focusing on a method for regulating the thermal energy trading market based on linear programming [1][2][3] Group 1: Patent Application - Shanshu Technology has applied for a patent titled "Method, Device, and Electronic Equipment for Regulating Thermal Energy Trading Market Based on Linear Programming," with publication number CN119990663A, filed on February 2025 [1] - The patent aims to optimize the operation mechanism of the thermal energy trading market, enhancing overall market efficiency and stability [1] Group 2: Company Overview - Shanshu Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd. was established in 2016, with a registered capital of 13.003 million RMB, and has invested in 10 companies and participated in 70 bidding projects [2] - Shanghai Shanshu Network Technology Co., Ltd., also founded in 2016, has a registered capital of 10 million RMB and has participated in 8 bidding projects [2] - Guangzhou Shanshu Technology Co., Ltd. was established in 2023 with a registered capital of 1 million RMB, focusing on software and IT services [2] - Shanshu Technology (Nanjing) Co., Ltd., founded in 2023, has a registered capital of 3 million RMB and specializes in professional technical services [2][3] - Fifth Paradigm (Shenzhen) Technology Co., Ltd., established in 2018, has a registered capital of 1 million RMB and focuses on software and IT services [3] - Shanshu Technology (Suzhou) Co., Ltd., founded in 2016, has a registered capital of 1 million RMB and provides professional technical services [3]