（原标题：金价站上3600美元之后奔向5000？美联储信誉博弈下的黄金狂潮） 现货黄金再创新高，期货黄金冲上3600美元/盎司。截至2025年9月2日，黄金已经连涨6个交易日，现货 黄金续刷历史新高；纽约黄金期货冲上3600美元，2025年以来累涨36%。黄金和白银成为今年表现最好 的资产，大幅超越全球主要权益资产，也远领先于其他商品。 黄金今年已成为表现最强劲的主要大宗商品之一，涨幅超过30%并于本周初创出历史新高。央行增持、 美联储降息预期以及特朗普对美联储施加更多控制等因素共同推动了这轮上涨行情。 近日，高盛团队在最新报告中指出，美联储独立性受损的情形下，市场将面临通胀上升、股债双跌以及 美元储备货币地位削弱的多重冲击。相比之下，黄金作为不依赖机构信任的价值储存工具，将成为投资 者的避风港。高盛警告称，如果美联储公信力受损，投资者仅需将极小部分美债持仓转向黄金，金价就 可能飙升至每盎司近5000美元的惊人水平。 高盛的预测折射出的是，美联储政策预期、地缘风险与央行资产重配的共振，而美联储信誉变化，成为 黄金未来走向的关键。 当前，黄金上涨的有三大核心驱动力。首先是全球央行持续购金，为金价提供底部支撑。其 ...

美联储巴尔金：美联储始终专注于维护其信誉，并将采取行动加以捍卫。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The credibility of the Federal Reserve in maintaining price stability is crucial, and any doubts about its credibility could lead to an increase in long-term interest rates [1] Group 1 - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell emphasized the importance of the Fed's credibility in price stability [1] - A potential loss of credibility for the Federal Reserve could result in rising long-term interest rates [1]

Core Viewpoint - The credibility of the Federal Reserve in maintaining price stability is crucial, as any doubts about its credibility could lead to an increase in long-term interest rates [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Federal Reserve Credibility - The Federal Reserve's reputation is essential for ensuring price stability in the economy [1] - A loss of credibility could result in rising long-term interest rates, impacting economic conditions [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell emphasizes the need to maintain the credibility of the Federal Reserve regarding inflation, stating that any doubts about its credibility could lead to an increase in long-term interest rates [1] Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's credibility is crucial for managing inflation effectively [1] - A loss of credibility could result in higher long-term interest rates, impacting economic stability [1]

Core Viewpoint - The credibility of the Federal Reserve in achieving price stability is deemed extremely important by Chairman Powell [1] Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's commitment to maintaining price stability is a key focus for the organization [1]