美联储货币政策前景

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黄力晨:降息预期降温 黄金再度承压
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 23:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that strong U.S. non-farm data has diminished expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, leading to a decline in gold prices despite initial support from concerns over new tariffs announced by Trump [1][3] - Gold prices faced resistance at $3340 and $3365, with support levels identified at $3325 and $3300, while a significant drop occurred to a new weekly low of $3287 [1][3] - The market's reaction to Trump's announcement of tariffs ranging from 10% to 70% has created a temporary surge in safe-haven buying, but this was not sustained as the strong non-farm data pressured gold prices downward [1][3] Group 2 - Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend for gold, with the 5-day moving average nearing a death cross and MACD and KDJ indicators also indicating downward momentum [3] - Key resistance levels for gold are identified at $3310, $3320, and $3340, while support levels are at $3287, $3270, and $3247 [3] - The overall market sentiment is influenced by ongoing tariff negotiations and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook, which are expected to impact gold prices in the near future [1][3]
万乾论金:5.27黄金晚间行情走势分析及操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-27 11:52
Group 1 - The international gold market experienced significant selling pressure, with spot gold prices dropping below the critical psychological level of $3300 per ounce, reaching a low of $3390 due to a rebound in the US dollar index and easing international trade tensions [2] - Despite a slight recovery to around $3308 driven by bargain buying, market attention remains focused on international trade dynamics, US fiscal policy outlook, and Federal Reserve monetary policy [2] - Short-term gold price movements are influenced by the US dollar, interest rate expectations, and economic data, with the $3300 level being crucial for market sentiment [2] Group 2 - The gold price faced downward pressure as it tested trendline resistance multiple times without breaking, leading to a decline and breaking the support level at $3320 [4] - On the daily chart, gold prices are consolidating at high levels around $3350, with MACD indicators showing bearish pressure, and the Bollinger Band's middle line support at $3287 is critical [4] - The four-hour chart indicates a shift from a five-wave to a three-wave structure, suggesting a corrective phase, with key resistance at $3320 and potential further declines towards the $3270-$3250 range [5]
印尼央行行长:在美国,不仅经济增速可能放缓,通胀也可能上升,影响美联储的货币政策前景。
news flash· 2025-04-23 08:03
Core Viewpoint - The Governor of Bank Indonesia indicates that in the United States, not only could economic growth slow down, but inflation may also rise, impacting the monetary policy outlook of the Federal Reserve [1] Group 1 - Economic growth in the U.S. is at risk of slowing down [1] - Inflation in the U.S. may experience an upward trend [1] - These factors could significantly influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions [1]