世界银行最新报告指出，9月8日和9日尼泊尔多地爆发的大规模示威游行，扰乱了公共和私人基础设施 运行，亦波及旅游、保险等行业，严重削弱投资者信心，并对整体经济造成冲击。报告还认为，2025年 雨季结束延迟，可能进一步影响该国农业生产。 根据该报告，南亚地区2025年整体经济增速预计为6.6%，到2026年将放缓至5.8%。其中，印度预计增 长6.5%，不丹7.3%，孟加拉国4.8%，斯里兰卡3.5%，马尔代夫3.9%。(完) （文章来源：中国新闻网） 中新社加德满都10月7日电 (记者崔楠)世界银行7日发布最新一期的南亚发展报告指出，受政治不确定性 和社会动荡影响，尼泊尔2025/26财年经济增速预计将放缓至2.1%，并可能在-1.5%至2.6%之间波动。 尼泊尔2025/26财年自7月16日开始，尼泊尔政府曾在本财年预算中将经济增长目标设定为6%。 ...

巴西财政部长费尔南多·阿达本周公开批评称，15%的基准利率"甚至不应处于这一水平"，当前经济存在 降息空间。他表示，经济团队正在寻求每年3%以上的 GDP增长率，高利率不仅抑制经济扩张，也威胁 政府在2026年大选年的民众就业和收入目标。 央行行长加布里埃尔·加利波洛（Gabriel Galípolo）此前就通胀目标连续超标向财政部长提交公开信，解 释其原因包括经济过热、汇率波动、电力成本上升及极端气候冲击。加利波洛认为，维持高利率对控制 通胀、保护劳动者购买力至关重要。他强调，"历史经验表明，高通胀才是损害劳动者收入的最大威 胁。在就业和工资保持强劲的情况下，收紧政策仍是必要措施。" 新华财经圣保罗9月26日电 巴西中央银行25日发布的三季度货币政策报告（Monetary Policy Report）将 巴西2025年国内生产总值（GDP）增速预期由2.1%下调至2%。同时，巴西央行首次公布的2026年经济 增速预期仅为1.5%。 报告指出，受持续的高利率政策、全球经济放缓和2025年农业高增长难以延续等因素影响，巴西经济增 长在2026年可能明显减弱。今年下半年，尽管农业和采掘业表现良好，但美国加征关税的 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that there is currently no evidence that higher tariffs on imported goods are causing an overall surge in inflation trends, according to New York Fed President Williams [2] - Williams predicts that interest rate cuts will become appropriate over time, although he did not specify the timing or pace of these cuts [2][3] - The labor market has shown signs of cooling due to high interest rates, with significant slowdowns in job growth since May [2][3] Group 2 - Williams expects the unemployment rate to gradually rise to around 4.5% next year due to the combined impact of trade and immigration policies [3] - Short-term inflation rates may spike above 3%, but are projected to decline to 2.5% by 2026 and further to 2% by 2027, aligning with the Fed's inflation target [3] - The path of interest rates post-September meeting remains unclear, with some officials advocating for a series of rate cuts in the next three to six months [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Canada's GDP growth rate significantly slowed in the second quarter, with a quarter-on-quarter annualized growth rate declining by 1.6%, aligning with the central bank's expectations from July [1] - The economic contraction is primarily attributed to a substantial decline in goods exports and reduced investment by businesses in machinery and equipment [1] - Exports fell by 7.5% in the second quarter due to the impact of U.S. tariffs, with passenger car and light truck exports plummeting by 24.7% [1] Group 2 - Exports of industrial machinery, equipment, and parts decreased by 18.5%, while tourism service exports also saw a decline of 11.1% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The financial performance of Gaoke Bridge (09963.HK) for the six months ending June 30, 2025, was disappointing, with significant revenue decline and continued losses [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue recorded was approximately HKD 38.7 million, representing a year-on-year decrease of about 46.9% [1] - Loss attributable to shareholders for the reporting period was approximately HKD 12.6 million, which is an 8.0% reduction compared to the previous period [1] - Basic loss per share was approximately HKD 0.049, compared to HKD 0.053 for the six months ending June 30, 2024 [1] Industry Context - The Chinese telecommunications industry is facing dual pressures of demand contraction and intensified competition due to global geopolitical fluctuations and a slowdown in domestic economic growth [1] - The challenges and uncertainties faced by fiber optic and cable companies in the current market environment remain significant [1] - The company is vigilant regarding these developments and is continuously assessing their impact while taking necessary measures to mitigate effects on its business [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report The economic growth rate in China showed a marginal slowdown in July, but there's no need for excessive concern as a package of stable - economy policies are gradually taking effect, and more consumption - promotion policies are expected. The uncertainty of a September interest rate cut in the US remains, and attention should be paid to US economic data and Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Annual Meeting [1]. Summary of Each Section 1. Domestic Economic Growth Slowdown in July 1.1 Economic Growth Slowdown in July - In July, economic data indicated a marginal slowdown in economic growth. The total retail sales of consumer goods were 387.8 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.7%, down 1.1 percentage points from the previous month. The added value of industrial enterprises above the designated size increased by 5.7% year - on - year, 1.1 percentage points lower than the previous month. The year - on - year growth rate of fixed - asset investment was 1.6%, a decline of 1.2 percentage points from the previous month [2]. - The marginal decline in the production side in July was affected by seasonal factors, the "anti - involution" policy, and extreme weather. The decline in consumption growth might be related to the early release of some demand by the trade - in policy, and the consumption confidence index has not significantly recovered. Investment in manufacturing, real estate, and infrastructure all showed a marginal downward trend, with decreases of 1.3, 0.8, and 1.61 percentage points respectively from the previous month, and the growth rates dropped to 6.2%, - 12%, and 9.29% [3]. 1.2 Decision - makers' Consumption - Promotion Policies - On August 12, the Ministry of Finance, the People's Bank of China, and the Financial Regulatory Administration jointly issued the Implementation Plan for the Fiscal Interest Subsidy Policy on Personal Consumption Loans, and the Ministry of Finance and eight other departments issued the Implementation Plan for the Interest Subsidy Policy on Loans to Service - Industry Business Entities [7]. - The personal consumption loan interest subsidy policy has a one - year implementation period, covering various consumer areas. It will promote the total retail sales of consumer goods to some extent, but the specific effect is difficult to measure, and its signaling significance is relatively strong. The service - industry business entity loan interest subsidy policy provides a 1 - percentage - point annual interest subsidy for eligible service - industry business entities, with a maximum subsidy of 10,000 yuan per household, mainly benefiting service - industry consumption [8]. 1.3 Uncertainty of a September Interest Rate Cut - The US CPI in July increased by 2.7% year - on - year, lower than market expectations, while the core CPI reached the highest level since February. The PPI in July showed an unexpected performance, with a month - on - month increase of 0.9% and a year - on - year increase of 3.3%. Whether the US will cut interest rates in September remains uncertain, and attention should be paid to US economic data and Powell's speech [14]. 2. Key Economic Data and Events 2.1 Domestic Key Events - Important policies include the public solicitation of opinions on the Implementation Regulations of the Value - Added Tax Law of the People's Republic of China, the simplification of account - opening materials for overseas central - bank - type institutions, and the issuance of consumption - loan and service - industry business - entity loan interest subsidy policies [17]. - Key economic data: Since the start of the summer travel season, the national railway has sent 599 million passengers, a year - on - year increase of 3.9%. In July, automobile production and sales decreased by 7.3% and 10.7% month - on - month respectively, but increased by 13.3% and 14.7% year - on - year. China's July financial data showed that M2 increased by 8.8% year - on - year, and the new social financing in the first seven months was 23.99 trillion yuan, 5.12 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [20]. 2.2 Overseas Key Events - In the US, Trump's team included several people in the list of candidates for the Fed Chair. The US debt exceeded 37 trillion US dollars for the first time. The US CPI in July was 2.7% year - on - year, and the core CPI reached a five - month high. After the data release, traders increased their bets on a September interest rate cut, but the unexpected PPI data dampened the enthusiasm [21][23]. - In Europe, German government said European leaders and Ukrainian President Zelensky would talk to Trump, and the EU hopes to pass the 19th round of sanctions against Russia next month [25]. - Regarding tariffs, Trump stated that gold would not be taxed, India hopes to continue bilateral trade negotiations, and Brazil has sued the US over tariff measures [26]. - Geopolitically, Iraq and Iran signed a security memorandum, Trump hopes to meet Putin again, and there are discussions about a possible new arms agreement between the US and Russia [27]. 3. Key Events and Data to be Focused on Next Week - Key events and data include the US 6 - month Treasury bill auction rate on August 18, China's central bank's 1 - year LPR on August 20, the eurozone CPI on August 20, the US initial jobless claims on August 21, and the US existing - home sales annualized month - on - month on August 21 [28]. 4. Weekly Performance of Major Asset Classes No specific summary of asset price changes is provided in the text, only charts of domestic stock indexes, bond markets, and various commodity indexes are presented.

Economic Growth Overview - The Eurozone's GDP grew by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2025, which is a slowdown compared to the 0.6% growth in Q1 2025 [1][3] - The EU's GDP increased by 0.2% in the same period, slightly above economists' expectations but still lower than the previous quarter's growth [3] Country-Specific Performance - Germany, the largest economy in the EU, experienced a GDP contraction of 0.1% in Q2 2025, marking its first economic shrinkage since mid-2024 [5] - Other countries such as Italy and Ireland also faced economic decline, while only a few countries like France and Spain showed growth [5] Trade and Investment Implications - A new trade agreement between the US and EU has resulted in high tariffs on EU exports, which may weaken the EU's export competitiveness [7] - Increased investment from the EU to the US, along with some companies relocating production to the US due to tariffs, could negatively impact local industry development and employment in Europe, thereby affecting the EU's economic growth outlook [7]

Core Insights - The U.S. ADP employment numbers unexpectedly decreased by 33,000 in June, contrasting with the expected increase of 98,000, and the previous value was revised down from an increase of 37,000 to 29,000 [1] Group 1: Employment Data - The June ADP employment figures reflect the first decline in over two years, indicating a significant downturn in service sector employment [1] - The data suggests that the labor market may face more severe adjustments as economic growth slows [1] Group 2: Economic Implications - ADP's Chief Economist Nela Richardson noted that while large-scale layoffs have not yet occurred, strategies such as hiring freezes and not replacing natural attrition are leading to a contraction in the job market [1] - Employers are becoming increasingly cautious about the impact of trade policies under the Trump administration and are focusing on aligning workforce numbers with the slowing economic activity this year [1]

Core Viewpoint - The issue of immigration is not within the responsibilities of the Federal Reserve, as stated by Powell, highlighting the impact of immigration policies on labor force growth and economic performance [1] Economic Impact - The U.S. President's immigration policies have led to a slowdown in labor force growth [1] - The deceleration in employment growth is contributing to a broader slowdown in economic growth [1] - Economic growth in the U.S. is projected to slow down by 2025, with immigration being one of the contributing factors [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the impact of geopolitical tensions and economic indicators on metal prices, particularly copper, aluminum, and zinc [1][2] - The three-month copper price increased by 0.46% to $9,713 per ton, influenced by a weaker US dollar, while risk aversion due to conflicts in the Middle East limited further gains [1] - The US dollar index fell by 0.1%, making dollar-denominated commodities cheaper for investors holding other currencies [1] Group 2 - Concerns over oil supply in the Middle East have led to rising oil prices, which could negatively affect global economic growth and potentially increase inflation [1] - Recent data indicates a slowdown in US economic growth, with May retail sales declining more than expected, linked to changes in US tariff policies [1] - China's imports of aluminum ore and its concentrates rose by 29.4% year-on-year in May 2025, totaling 17.51 million tons, while the first five months of 2025 saw a 33.1% increase to 85.18 million tons [1] Group 3 - In other base metals, three-month aluminum prices fell by 0.02% to $2,550 per ton, while zinc prices rose by 0.55% to $2,653 per ton [2] - Lead prices increased by 0.18% to $1,979.5 per ton, nickel prices slightly rose by 0.24% to $14,960 per ton, and tin prices saw a 1.11% increase to $32,625 per ton [2]