Group 1 - The report highlights the allocation value of equity assets based on the "see-saw effect" between stocks, bonds, and commodities, suggesting a favorable outlook for equity investments [5][7] - Global stock markets mostly declined in the week ending August 1, 2025, while major commodity futures saw mixed results, with oil and gold prices rising, and copper and aluminum prices falling [5][6] - The U.S. non-farm payroll data for July showed a significant slowdown in job growth, with only 73,000 jobs added, which was below expectations, raising concerns about the labor market [9][10] Group 2 - In the domestic equity market, growth stocks outperformed, with an average daily trading volume of 1.787 trillion yuan, while 6 sectors rose and 25 sectors fell [6][18] - The report notes that the recent volatility in commodity prices has not been mirrored in stock prices, indicating a potential divergence in market behavior [7] - The U.S. employment data revealed a concerning trend, with revisions showing a cumulative reduction of 253,000 jobs in May and June, leading to increased market skepticism regarding the reliability of U.S. economic data [11][12] Group 3 - The report discusses the impact of the U.S. employment data on market expectations for interest rate cuts, with a significant increase in the probability of a rate cut in September following the disappointing job numbers [15][16] - The report also mentions the restoration of VAT on interest income from newly issued government bonds starting August 8, 2025, which may affect bond market dynamics [17] - The analysis indicates that the service sector drove job growth in July, while the production sector remained weak, reflecting broader economic challenges [12][13]

Group 1 - The report highlights a positive outlook for equity assets based on the "see-saw effect" between stocks, bonds, and commodities, indicating that recent volatility in commodity prices has not aligned with stock movements, suggesting a potential opportunity in equities [8][9]. - The domestic equity market shows a preference for growth sectors over consumption, finance, and cyclical sectors, with a daily trading volume of 17,870 billion yuan, slightly down from the previous week [18]. - The report notes that the political bureau meeting emphasized the need for regulatory measures to curb disorderly competition, which is expected to benefit midstream and downstream industrial prices and enhance long-term corporate profitability [8][9]. Group 2 - The report indicates that the U.S. labor market is showing signs of weakness, with non-farm payroll data significantly below expectations, which has led to increased expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [24]. - The report discusses the recent performance of major commodities, noting that crude oil and gold prices have risen, while copper and aluminum prices have declined, reflecting mixed market conditions [11][12]. - The report emphasizes that the recent PMI data indicates a slowdown in both manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors, highlighting ongoing economic pressures despite some positive signals from policy adjustments [22].