2025年，中美生物制药产业的发展似乎有些"时差"。 今年前三季度，尤其上半年，中国生物制药板块在BD热潮的催化下迅速修复估值，IPO窗口也随之打开，生物医药企业赴港上市的热潮延续至今。 Atlas Venture合伙人Bruce Booth将中国生物医药板块热度高涨列为今年最值得关注的现象之一。他指出，不论是港交所还是生物医药板块，都呈现出流动 性充沛、市场情绪乐观的态势。 相较于此，美股生物制药板块受制于宏观环境波动，走势和估值水平一度陷入低迷。直到第四季度，得益于宏观风险消散、投资者"避险"AI热潮，以及制 药企业的强劲盈利表现，板块整体才有所回弹。 中国创新药走出"独立行情"的2025年，Bruce Booth看到，在目前对于全球生物制药行业至关重要的几个问题中，中国当居其首，临床试验数量、BD交易 等方面大放异彩的背后，其实是人才、成本效益和监管改革的协同优势形成了发展机会；西方药企需要迎难而上，做出更快、更便宜、更好的创新。 以下为他的2025年度回顾及2026年展望全文： 但有几个问题的确有其正当性。药品定价就是其中之一。我们必须改革全球药品定价体系。过去四十年，美国一直比其它富裕发达国家支付更 ...

Core Viewpoint - Wave Life Sciences' obesity candidate drug WVE-007 shows promising mid-stage results from its Phase I INLIGHT trial, leading to a significant stock price increase [1] Group 1: Trial Results - The Phase I INLIGHT trial involved 32 subjects who received a single 240mg subcutaneous injection of WVE-007 [1] - After 12 weeks, visceral fat decreased by 9.4% (p=0.02), total body fat reduced by 4.5%, and lean body mass increased by 3.2% (approximately 4 pounds) [1] - Overall weight decreased by only 0.9% due to muscle gain offsetting fat loss [1] Group 2: Drug Efficacy - Serum Activin E levels reached a maximum suppression of 78% at 43 days post-injection, with efficacy maintained for over 85 days [1] - The results support the potential for annual or biannual dosing of WVE-007 [1]

Core Insights - Novo Nordisk's new injectable obesity drug, amycretin, shows significant weight loss potential, outperforming current market leaders [1][4] - In early trials, participants receiving the highest dose of amycretin lost an average of 24.3%, compared to 1.1% in the placebo group, surpassing Eli Lilly's Zepbound (22.5%) and Novo's own Wegovy (15%) [1][4] - The company is under pressure to demonstrate its drug pipeline can compete effectively against Eli Lilly, especially after a nearly 50% drop in stock price over the past year [1] Drug Development and Efficacy - Amycretin combines the active ingredients of Wegovy and Ozempic with the hormone incretin to enhance satiety [4] - An oral version of amycretin also showed promise, with participants in the highest dose group losing an average of 13.1%, compared to 1.2% in the placebo group [4] - The absence of a plateau in weight loss during the 12-week trial suggests potential for greater weight loss in longer trials or real-world applications [4] Competitive Landscape - The positive results for amycretin are crucial for Novo Nordisk, especially following disappointing results from another obesity drug, CagriSema, which led to a significant stock price drop [5] - Analysts remain optimistic about Eli Lilly's oral obesity drug, orforglipron, which achieved an average weight loss of 14.7% in a 36-week phase 2 study [5] - Novo Nordisk has submitted an approval application for the oral version of Wegovy, based on trial data showing an average weight loss of 16.6% over 64 weeks [5]