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美国“负和博弈”伤害全球经济
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-07-11 03:31
Group 1: Tariff Policy Overview - The U.S. will impose tariffs ranging from 25% to 40% on imports from 14 countries, including Japan and South Korea, starting August 1 [2] - The tariffs are framed as a means to protect American workers and industries, particularly targeting traditional sectors like steel and automotive [3][4] - The policy aims to reduce trade deficits, protect domestic manufacturing, and increase government revenue, with an estimated annual revenue increase of nearly $400 billion from a 10% base tariff [4] Group 2: Economic and Strategic Implications - The tariffs are seen as a tool to reshape the U.S. supply chain, encouraging domestic production and reducing reliance on foreign imports [4][5] - The strategic goal includes countering China's development and reshaping global trade rules, with a focus on technology and supply chain decoupling [5] - The tariffs have led to significant market volatility, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average experiencing sharp declines due to trade war news [6] Group 3: Market Reactions and Effects - The tariffs have resulted in increased costs for U.S. companies, with General Motors reporting over $1 billion in increased costs due to steel tariffs [6][8] - Retail giants like Walmart have warned of price increases of 12% to 15% on certain goods due to tariffs, affecting consumer prices [6] - The steel market has seen prices rise over 30%, but this has led to increased costs for downstream industries, potentially suppressing demand [8] Group 4: Broader Economic Impact - The tariffs have caused a significant shift in global commodity flows, with U.S. soybean prices plummeting due to retaliatory tariffs from China [8] - Energy markets are also affected, with concerns over global economic growth leading to suppressed demand and increased logistics costs [8] - The overall impact of the tariffs has been described as a "negative-sum game," with significant losses for both U.S. consumers and global markets [10]