反胁迫工具(ACI)

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特朗普这下弄巧成拙?欧洲做好最坏准备:谈判破裂就对美加税!德国态度强硬,实属意外
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 12:18
Group 1 - The core point of the news is the escalation of trade tensions between the US and the EU, particularly due to President Trump's announcement of a 30% tariff on EU imports starting August 1, which has led to a potential trade war [1][3] - The US has already imposed high tariffs on EU steel and aluminum products (50%) and automobiles (25%), with a baseline tariff of 10% on nearly all other goods [1][3] - The EU is preparing to retaliate with tariffs on nearly €100 billion worth of US goods, including Boeing aircraft, machinery, soybeans, US cars, and bourbon whiskey, which could affect one-third of US exports to the EU [3][6] Group 2 - The EU is considering activating the "Anti-Coercion Instrument" (ACI), which would allow it to impose trade and investment restrictions on countries that attempt to coerce EU member states [5][6] - Germany's stance has shifted from cautious to more aggressive in response to US tariffs, with leaders warning that escalating tariffs could severely impact Germany's export-driven economy [6][7] - The ongoing trade tensions have led to a significant decline in German exports to the US, with a 7.7% drop in May, marking the lowest level in over three years [6][7] Group 3 - Both the US and EU are showing a willingness to negotiate, with US Commerce Secretary expressing confidence in reaching an agreement, while the EU emphasizes the importance of negotiations [7][9] - The EU's strategy involves a combination of negotiation and readiness to impose retaliatory tariffs, aiming to achieve a more favorable position in talks [9] - Significant differences remain between the US and EU regarding tariff rates and market access, complicating the path to a potential agreement [9]
如果欧美谈崩了,会发生什么?
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-07-25 05:57
Core Viewpoint - The EU is preparing a robust countermeasure strategy as the deadline for trade negotiations with the US approaches, which could escalate transatlantic trade disputes and significantly impact both economies [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Impact of Tariffs - Current US tariffs of approximately 10% on EU goods have resulted in about a 0.4% GDP loss for the EU [2]. - If a 15% tariff agreement is reached, this loss is expected to rise slightly to 0.5% [2]. - In the worst-case scenario, if the US imposes a 30% punitive tariff, the effective average tax rate would increase to about 21%, leading to a GDP decline of 0.7% for the EU [2]. Group 2: EU's Two-Step Retaliation Plan - The EU's retaliation strategy consists of two phases: the first involves imposing tariffs on a total of €930 billion worth of US imports, potentially at rates as high as 30% [3]. - The second phase includes the potential activation of the Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI), targeting US financial and digital services [3]. Group 3: Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI) - The ACI, established in November 2023, serves as a trade "defensive weapon" aimed at deterring third countries from exerting economic pressure on the EU [4][5]. - Unlike traditional trade dispute tools, the ACI allows for broader measures, including restrictions on foreign direct investment and access to financial markets [4]. Group 4: Risks of ACI Activation - Utilizing the ACI against US financial and digital services could lead to "significant self-harm" for the EU, given its reliance on US technology service imports [6]. - Any US countermeasures in response to ACI activation could severely disrupt European business activities [6].
德法敦促欧盟准备对美国采取贸易报复措施
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-07-24 18:18
Group 1 - Germany and France are urging other EU member states to support retaliatory measures against US tariffs, aiming for a strong EU stance before the August 1 trade agreement deadline [1] - Germany previously advocated for negotiations with the Trump administration to lower US export tariffs but has shifted to a tougher approach, while France has consistently pushed for retaliatory tariffs to pressure US companies [1] - The EU is considering the use of the never-before-used Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI), which would allow the EU to block US companies from public tenders, revoke intellectual property protections, and impose import/export restrictions [1] Group 2 - The EU plans to impose a package of tariffs on US imports worth €21 billion starting August 6, with a second round of retaliatory measures targeting US goods valued at €72 billion set for a vote on the same day [2] - The EU Commission is preparing a third list of measures targeting the services sector, including taxes on digital services and online advertising revenue [2] - The EU Commission's trade spokesperson stated that any countermeasures will not be implemented before August 1, as the focus remains on negotiations [2]
欧盟“备战”特朗普关税威胁:若无法达成协议 将对1000亿欧元美国商品征收30%关税
智通财经网· 2025-07-23 12:48
Core Points - The European Union plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on approximately €100 billion (about $117 billion) worth of U.S. products in response to President Trump's threat of a 30% tariff on EU exports starting August 1 [1] - The EU will combine previously approved tariffs on €21 billion worth of U.S. goods with an additional proposed €72 billion tariff list into a single package [1] - The EU's strategy includes continuing negotiations while preparing for retaliatory measures, with a focus on maintaining a strong position against the U.S. [3][4] Group 1 - The U.S. products affected by the tariffs include Boeing aircraft, American-made cars, and bourbon whiskey, with the tariffs set to match Trump's 30% threat [2] - The euro has continued to decline against the dollar, dropping 0.3% to €1 = $1.1723 following the news [3] - Germany is willing to support the activation of the EU's "Anti-Coercion Instrument" (ACI) if no agreement is reached, indicating a strong stance among EU member states [3] Group 2 - The ACI is one of the EU's most powerful trade tools, designed for deterrence and requiring a qualified majority of member states to activate [3] - The European Commission is in discussions with member states regarding the ACI, with some advocating for immediate activation while others prefer to wait and observe developments after August 1 [4] - Ongoing negotiations between EU and U.S. representatives are scheduled to continue, with the EU aiming to break the deadlock before the deadline [4]
准备动用“核选项”?为反制特朗普,欧盟或将启动史上“最强工具”!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-23 12:09
Group 1 - The European Union plans to impose a 30% tariff on approximately €100 billion ($117 billion) worth of U.S. goods in response to U.S. tariffs, which will include products like Boeing aircraft, American-made cars, and bourbon whiskey [2] - The EU's response includes merging two previously approved tariff lists targeting $210 billion and $720 billion of U.S. products into one comprehensive plan [2] - The tariffs are set to take effect next month if no agreement is reached and the U.S. implements its tariffs after the August deadline [2] Group 2 - EU member states, including Germany, are adopting a tougher stance in response to the U.S.'s hardline negotiation tactics, with Berlin willing to support the activation of the EU's "Anti-Coercion Instrument" (ACI) if no agreement is reached [5][6] - The ACI is designed as a deterrent and would allow the EU to initiate broad retaliatory actions, including new taxes on U.S. tech giants and targeted restrictions on U.S. investments [7] - The EU is prioritizing ongoing negotiations with Washington to resolve the tariff dispute before the August deadline, with representatives scheduled to continue talks [7]
8月关税大限逼近,欧盟再度“亮剑”反击:拟对1000亿欧元的美国商品征收30%关税
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-07-23 11:58
Group 1 - The EU is preparing a high-intensity countermeasure plan in response to the US tariff threats, potentially imposing a 30% retaliatory tariff on approximately €100 billion (about $117 billion) worth of US products if the US follows through with its tariff announcement [1] - The first round of countermeasures includes a consolidated tariff list of €210 billion worth of US products and an additional €720 billion proposed for taxation, affecting US exports such as Boeing aircraft, American-made cars, and bourbon whiskey [4] - Germany's stance has shifted towards a harder line in negotiations, with support from France for strong countermeasures, indicating a significant shift in the EU's trade strategy from negotiation to a more aggressive response [4][6] Group 2 - The EU's primary goal remains to achieve a mutually beneficial agreement with the US, emphasizing the importance of US sincerity in negotiations [6] - As the deadline for negotiations approaches, internal resistance within the EU is growing, particularly as Germany's patience has worn thin due to the 30% tariff threat [5][6]
欧盟准备千亿欧元“无协议”计划,以应对美国30%的关税
news flash· 2025-07-23 11:04
Core Viewpoint - The European Union is preparing a €100 billion (approximately $117 billion) "no-deal" plan in response to the potential 30% tariffs imposed by the United States on a wide range of EU exports if negotiations fail [1] Group 1 - The EU plans to impose a 30% tariff on U.S. products worth approximately €100 billion if U.S. President Trump follows through on his threat after August 1 [1] - The European Commission spokesperson indicated that the EU will merge the previously approved tariff list of €21 billion and an additional proposed list of €72 billion into a comprehensive plan [1] - U.S. export products, including Boeing aircraft, American-made cars, and bourbon whiskey, will face tariffs matching the 30% threat from Trump [1] Group 2 - The tariffs are expected to be ready for implementation next month, contingent on the failure of negotiations and the U.S. enforcing its tax measures after the August deadline [1] - A government official mentioned that Berlin is even willing to support the activation of the EU's "Anti-Coercion Instrument" (ACI) in the absence of an agreement [1]
关税大限将至,德国态度180度转变!联合法国敦促欧盟准备对美国采取贸易报复措施
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-07-23 06:38
Core Viewpoint - The EU is adopting a tougher stance against the US in response to President Trump's announcement of a 30% tariff on EU imports starting August 1, marking a significant shift from negotiation to potential retaliation [1][2]. Group 1: EU's Response Strategy - Germany and France are leading efforts to unify EU member states in support of retaliatory measures against US tariffs, moving from a previously conciliatory approach to a more aggressive stance [2]. - The EU is considering the activation of the "Anti-Coercion Instrument" (ACI), described as a "trade nuclear weapon," which would allow the EU to restrict US companies from participating in EU government procurement and limit trade between the US and EU [3]. Group 2: Retaliatory Measures - If the US proceeds with the planned tariff increase, the EU is prepared to implement a first round of retaliatory tariffs on approximately €21 billion worth of US products, including chicken and jeans, starting August 6 [4]. - A second round of retaliatory measures is being prepared, targeting around €72 billion worth of US goods, including Boeing aircraft and bourbon whiskey, with a vote planned before August 6 [4]. - The EU is also developing a third round of measures aimed at the service sector, which may include taxes on digital services and online advertising revenue [4].
欧美贸易战一触即发 白银行情再破39关口
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-23 06:36
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the impact of the EU's response to US tariff policies, which has led to fluctuations in silver prices, with spot silver closing at $39.29 per ounce, up 0.94% on July 22 [1][2] - The latest data from the CFTC indicates that silver ETF holdings increased to 15,158.37 tons as of July 22, reflecting a rise of 152.58 tons from the previous day, suggesting a bullish sentiment in the market [1][2] - The EU is considering using its "Anti-Coercion Instrument" (ACI) against the US, which may involve retaliatory measures such as restricting US companies' access to the EU financial services market and public procurement projects [2][3] Group 2 - The ACI is designed to allow the EU to retaliate against third countries that attempt to coerce member states through economic means, potentially affecting a market worth €2 trillion annually [3] - The EU has prepared a set of tariff measures targeting $24.5 billion worth of US goods, with further evaluations on imposing additional measures on $72 billion worth of US exports due to failed negotiations [3] - Silver prices are showing strong bullish momentum, with potential targets of $39.50 and $40.00 if the price breaks above the annual high of $39.12, while key support levels are identified at $38.50 and $37.30 [4]
美欧贸易协议前景黯淡,欧盟考虑"核选项"反制
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-07-21 13:04
Core Points - The transatlantic trade agreement is on the verge of collapse due to the U.S. demanding harsher trade terms, including increasing the baseline tariff on most European goods from 10% to 15% or higher [1][2] - The EU is considering activating its "Anti-Coercion Instrument" (ACI) as a strong response, which would allow the EU to restrict U.S. access to its service sector, public procurement, and investment [1][4] Group 1: U.S. Demands and EU Response - The U.S. has indicated that the current 25% tariff on automobiles will remain unchanged and may impose a 100% tariff on pharmaceuticals [1][2] - The EU had previously been optimistic about reaching an agreement, with plans to lower tariffs and increase purchases of U.S. energy products and advanced semiconductors [2][6] - The U.S. has rejected the EU's proposal for a "standstill" arrangement to prevent new tariffs after an agreement is reached, citing national security concerns [2][6] Group 2: Internal EU Dynamics - Germany's position has shifted towards a more hardline stance, aligning with France and other EU members who advocate for stronger measures against the U.S. [3][5] - The EU is preparing two sets of retaliatory tariff plans, one targeting $24.5 billion worth of U.S. goods and another for $72 billion, covering a wide range of American products [5] Group 3: Potential for Agreement - Despite rising tensions, EU officials still prefer a negotiated solution and do not plan to initiate retaliatory actions before the August 1 deadline [6] - The activation of the ACI reflects the seriousness of the situation, requiring support from 15 member states representing 65% of the EU population to proceed [6]