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浙商证券浙商早知道-20250523
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-05-22 23:30
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.2%, the CSI 300 decreased by 0.1%, the STAR 50 dropped by 0.5%, the CSI 1000 declined by 1.1%, the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.0%, and the Hang Seng Index fell by 1.2% on Thursday [4] - The best-performing sectors on Thursday were banking (+1%), media (+0.1%), and home appliances (0%), while the worst-performing sectors included beauty care (-2.0%), social services (-1.8%), basic chemicals (-1.7%), environmental protection (-1.5%), and real estate (-1.4%) [4] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1,102.7 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 3.88 billion Hong Kong dollars from southbound funds [4] Important Insights Fixed Income Credit Bonds - The core viewpoint indicates that the main value of sci-tech bonds lies in contributing incremental value to the bond market, with an expected annual issuance close to 1.9 trillion yuan, which alleviates asset scarcity issues [5] - In terms of pricing, sci-tech bonds have an average yield spread of approximately 10 basis points compared to ordinary bonds issued by the same entity, suggesting that the market pricing for sci-tech bonds has not changed due to policy shifts [5] Macroeconomic Analysis - The core viewpoint highlights that the fiscal situation in April 2025 showed improvement, with national public budget revenue increasing by 1.9% year-on-year (compared to 0.3% in March), and public budget expenditure rising by 5.8% year-on-year (compared to 5.7% in March) [6] - The second budget also improved, with government fund budget revenue growth recorded at 8.1%, returning to positive growth [6] - The report suggests that to address potential uncertainties, the central government has reserved sufficient tools and policy space, including the possibility of issuing special government bonds and special bonds [6]
博时市场点评5月22日:三大指数调整,两市成交缩量
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-05-22 08:27
Market Overview - The three major indices in the A-share market experienced a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3380.19 points, down 0.22% [3] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10219.62 points, down 0.72%, and the ChiNext Index closed at 2045.57 points, down 0.96% [3] - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, only banking, media, and household appliances saw gains, with increases of 1.00%, 0.12%, and 0.04% respectively [3] - A total of 882 stocks rose while 4261 stocks fell [3] Fiscal Data Insights - Recent fiscal data for January to April indicates a continuation of improvement in both total and structural aspects, showing signs of income recovery and optimized expenditure [1] - Government debt issuance has accelerated fiscal spending, particularly in infrastructure-related expenditures, which has supported the economy [1] - April saw a marginal improvement in fiscal revenue compared to the first quarter, with tax and non-tax revenue structures moving towards balance, and land revenue showing signs of recovery [1] - Overall, the improvement in fiscal revenue and expenditure is expected to stabilize the economic fundamentals amid external challenges, potentially boosting domestic consumption [1] Policy Measures for SMEs - A new set of measures to support financing for small and micro enterprises has been jointly issued by several regulatory bodies, aiming to improve the financing environment for these businesses [2] - The measures include encouraging eligible small and micro enterprises to list on the New Third Board and facilitating their transition to the Beijing Stock Exchange [2] - The policy is expected to alleviate liquidity pressures for small businesses in the short term and promote the development of innovative SMEs in the long term, thereby optimizing the economic structure [2] Trade Relations - The completion of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area 3.0 negotiations was announced, which includes new chapters on digital economy, green economy, and supply chain connectivity among others [2] - This development is seen as a significant step towards expanding mutual openness and enhancing regional economic integration between China and ASEAN [2] - The 3.0 version is prioritized in bilateral economic cooperation and is expected to strengthen the institutional framework for trade between the two regions [2]