华泰证券指出，在光伏产业链盈利承压、全球银价上涨的背景下，银浆为光伏电池降本的关键环节。考 虑到银包铜浆、电镀铜、铜浆等贱金属替代产业化进程加速，看好2025H2-2026Q1头部一体化组件率先 完成量产导入，有望驱动产业链加速技术迭代，预计2027年全球新型浆料市场空间达105亿元，对应 2025-2027年CAGR为124%。头部浆料企业技术储备深厚，与下游一体化组件龙头联合开发，有望凭 借"系统方案+定制化配套"提升市场份额。 ...

Core Insights - The report from CITIC Securities highlights the urgent need for cost reduction in photovoltaic conductive pastes due to rising silver consumption and increasing silver prices, with new types of pastes expected to capture significant market share by 2030 [1][2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Photovoltaic conductive pastes are crucial for the metallization of solar cells, directly affecting their efficiency and output power, with silver paste currently dominating the market [2] - Silver paste accounts for 27% of the total cost of photovoltaic cells, with silver constituting over 97% of the paste's cost, making it the highest non-silicon cost component [2] - The shift from P-type to N-type cell technology, particularly with the application of LECO processes, has increased the unit consumption of silver paste, further driving up demand [2] Group 2: Cost Reduction Strategies - Cost reduction strategies for conductive pastes are categorized into process silver reduction and material silver reduction, with the former involving new grid line designs and printing process optimizations [3] - New grid line designs like 0BB and multi-busbar can significantly reduce silver paste consumption, while advanced printing techniques can lower consumption by 20-40% [3] - Despite these advancements, traditional screen printing remains the dominant method, holding over 98% market share [3] Group 3: Material Substitution - The substitution of cheaper metals like copper, aluminum, and nickel for silver is a key direction for cost reduction in photovoltaic cell metallization [4] - Copper, being the second-best conductor after silver and costing only 1% of silver, is the primary choice for substitution, with various technologies like silver-coated copper and electroplated copper being explored [4] - The commercialization of high copper/pure copper pastes is expected to accelerate, with projections for mass production by Q4 2025 [4] Group 4: Industry Landscape - The photovoltaic conductive paste market is characterized by a "two strong" supply structure, with Daqo New Energy and JinkoSolar leading the global silver paste supply, holding 27.1% and 26.9% market shares respectively [5] - The demand for silver-coated copper pastes is projected to reach 1,166 tons by 2030, corresponding to a market space exceeding 3.5 billion [5] - The market for copper pastes is expected to reach 13.76 billion by 2030, indicating a significant growth opportunity with a projected CAGR of approximately 60% from 2025 to 2030 [5]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights significant growth in the photovoltaic sector, with a 150% year-on-year increase in new installations, reaching 197.85 GW from January to May 2025 [4] - Wind power installations also saw substantial growth, with a 801% year-on-year increase in May, totaling 26.32 GW, supported by policy incentives [4] - The report emphasizes the ongoing advancements in the lithium battery supply chain, particularly in solid-state battery development, indicating a strong future outlook for the sector [7] Summary by Sections Photovoltaic Sector - New installations in the photovoltaic sector reached 197.85 GW from January to May 2025, marking a 150% increase year-on-year [4] - In May alone, 92.92 GW of new capacity was added, reflecting a 105.48% month-on-month increase and a 388.03% year-on-year increase [4] - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in material innovation and high-efficiency battery technologies [4] Wind Power Sector - The report notes that wind power installations reached 46.28 GW in the first five months of 2025, a 134% year-on-year increase [4] - The significant growth in installations is expected to support the performance of companies in the supply chain during Q2 [4] - The report recommends monitoring companies involved in offshore wind projects, as government policies are expected to catalyze further growth [4] Lithium Battery Sector - Companies in the lithium battery supply chain are advancing solid-state battery technologies, with several firms achieving significant milestones in energy density and production [7] - The report highlights that Ganfeng Lithium has established a comprehensive solid-state battery layout, achieving breakthroughs in energy density and cycle life [7] - The report suggests focusing on companies that are well-positioned in the solid-state battery ecosystem and those providing innovative solutions in the supply chain [7] Energy Storage Sector - The report indicates that energy storage markets in Europe are experiencing a surge in policy support, creating structural investment opportunities [7] - Various European countries are implementing significant subsidies and regulatory changes to enhance energy storage capabilities [7] - The report recommends focusing on companies that are positioned to benefit from these developments in the energy storage market [7] Overall Industry Outlook - The report concludes that the electric power equipment industry is experiencing positive fundamental changes and potential catalysts, maintaining an overall "Recommended" rating for the sector [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended (Maintain)" [1] Core Views - The report highlights the continuous increase in wind turbine prices and the extension of the ITC subsidy for energy storage in the United States, indicating a positive outlook for the power equipment industry [4][6] Summary by Sections Recent Trends - The power equipment sector has shown a performance of -3.8% over the last month, -11.0% over the last three months, and a positive 9.0% over the last year, compared to the CSI 300 index which has seen -1.3%, -3.2%, and 9.8% respectively [3] Key Events and Insights - In the photovoltaic sector, there is a notable cautious sentiment regarding terminal demand, with a focus on the trend of replacing precious metals and new technological catalysts. The SNEC photovoltaic exhibition held in Shanghai from June 11-13, 2025, is expected to drive inquiries for distributed orders, although actual transaction prices have not increased [4][5] - In the wind power sector, turbine prices have continued to rise, with the average bidding price for new turbine models increasing by 5% to 8% compared to previous bids. The report anticipates a recovery in profitability for main manufacturers starting in the second half of 2025 [4][5] - The energy storage segment is bolstered by favorable policy changes, such as the U.S. Senate's revision of the "Big and Beautiful" bill, extending the ITC phase-out date to 2034, which supports long-term economic viability [6][7] Company Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in high-efficiency battery technologies and those benefiting from the rising demand in the wind and energy storage sectors, including names like New Strong Union, Weili Transmission, and Goldwind [4][5][6]