Group 1 - The price of crab-eating macaques, a key biological resource for CRO (Contract Research Organization) companies, has surged nearly 2 times, increasing from 50,000 yuan to 140,000 yuan per monkey, leading to a supply-demand imbalance in the market [1][16] - The stock of Longzhou Co., a leading CRO with significant macaque resources, has seen a remarkable increase of over 122% in just 12 trading days, closing at 11.93 yuan with a market capitalization of 6.709 billion yuan [22][24] - Longzhou Co. has attracted substantial investments, including 6.7 million shares from social security funds and over 19 million shares from well-known institutions, indicating strong market interest [21][22] Group 2 - The ETF market has expanded significantly, with an increase of over 2 trillion yuan in total market size this year, driven by continuous capital inflow across various asset classes [25] - The Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF has seen a notable growth of 63.042 billion yuan this year, highlighting the increasing attractiveness of ETFs as an asset allocation tool [25] - The capital market is projected to receive nearly 1 trillion yuan in potential incremental funds by 2027, as financial institutions are expected to increase their equity asset allocation [26] Group 3 - Over 80% of listed securities firms have distributed dividends at least twice this year, with notable performances in total cash dividends from smaller firms [27] - Xibu Securities has implemented three cash dividends totaling 446 million yuan this year, with additional dividends in progress [27] - The highest cash dividend amount this year has been from Guotai Junan, reaching 7.581 billion yuan, followed by Huatai Securities and others [27] Group 4 - Two new companies have been accepted for IPO on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, bringing the total number of new acceptances this year to 210 [28] - As of December 14, there are 266 companies under review across various boards, indicating ongoing market activity [28]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates a noticeable slowdown in the growth of residents' fixed deposits since 2024, while there is a rapid increase in demand for current deposits, bank wealth management products, and non-monetary funds, reflecting a shift in residents' asset allocation [1] - According to the analysis by the research department of CICC, the trend of residents entering the market can be observed through the changing dynamics of their savings [1] - The research department estimates that due to the growth of rights-based products, by 2026, wealth management institutions are expected to increase their equity asset allocation (stocks + mixed equity funds) by 0.8 percentage points to 2.3% [1] Group 2 - By 2027, with continued investment in research resources for equity products, the allocation is expected to further increase to 3.5%, potentially bringing nearly 1 trillion yuan of incremental funds to the capital market [1]

大金融政策和业绩展望 20250520 摘要 • 资本市场增量资金确定性增强，主要来自中长期资金入市，如保险资金增 配权益市场和央行互换便利工具扩容试点，为权益市场带来 1,400 亿增量 资金，IPO 政策变化值得关注。 • 非银行金融机构受益于交易量改善，去年四季度至今年一季度业绩明显提 升，全年 ROE 预计维持高位，但同比增速或将下滑，高质量发展优先于增 长，稳定息差和风险控制至关重要。 • 券商 PB 处于中位数水平，估值上行需等待市场修复和政策支持；保险行 业估值修复空间更大，成本下降和收益率恢复是关键，推荐优质权重股及 红筹股，如人保财险、江苏金租等。 • 现房销售拉长房企现金流回笼时间，降低周转率和 IRR，增加资金占用， 压制净利率，中小项目受影响尤为显著，土地价款和税收延期支付等配套 政策或可缓解冲击。 • 全国现房住宅销售占比显著增加，2024 年达 33%，部分原因是小城市市 场弱势和保障性住房约束，现有 4 亿平方米现房库存压力巨大，优质房企 或受益于行业资金壁垒提高。 • 招商银行作为沪深 300 权重股，受益于主动型基金配置比例重构，高股息 优势使其内生增长稳定，无需再融资，股息 ...