高盛发布研报称，上调渣打集团(02888)评级从"中性"升至"买入"，同时上调目标价21%，由168港元升 至203港元。该行认为，尽管渣打集团今年以来港股股价升83%，但认为仍有进一步重估空间。 该行指，渣打集团向股东提供具有吸引力的回报，2026年预期总收益率(股息+回购)达8.4%。该行认 为，凭借强大的资本创造能力，渣打集团长期总派息比率，可望维持在80%。因此将2028-2029年的股 票回购预测从每年25亿美元上调至28亿美元，并将2026-2028年的股息比率从此前的固定21%，分别上 调至25%/30%/35%。修订后的预测显示，2026-2028年的平均总派息比率为75%。该行预计，这种积极 的资本管理策略亦将进一步支持ROTE提升及估值重估。 高盛预计，到今年年底，渣打集团的基础风险调整后股东权益回报率(ROTE)将达14.6%，超管理层13% 的ROTE指引，并在2027年进一步升至15%，2028年则达15.7%。因此，该行预计渣打集团将于2025年 财报或2026年5月举行的投资者日活动中，上调其中期ROTE指引，这或为该股股价的进一步催化剂。 ...

该行指，渣打集团向股东提供具有吸引力的回报，2026年预期总收益率(股息+回购)达8.4%。该行认 为，凭借强大的资本创造能力，渣打集团长期总派息比率，可望维持在80%。因此将2028-2029年的股 票回购预测从每年25亿美元上调至28亿美元，并将2026-2028年的股息比率从此前的固定21%，分别上 调至25%/30%/35%。修订后的预测显示，2026-2028年的平均总派息比率为75%。该行预计，这种积极 的资本管理策略亦将进一步支持ROTE提升及估值重估。 智通财经APP获悉，高盛发布研报称，上调渣打集团(02888)评级从"中性"升至"买入"，同时上调目标价 21%，由168港元升至203港元。该行认为，尽管渣打集团今年以来港股股价升83%，但认为仍有进一步 重估空间。 高盛预计，到今年年底，渣打集团的基础风险调整后股东权益回报率(ROTE)将达14.6%，超管理层13% 的ROTE指引，并在2027年进一步升至15%，2028年则达15.7%。因此，该行预计渣打集团将于2025年 财报或2026年5月举行的投资者日活动中，上调其中期ROTE指引，这或为该股股价的进一步催化剂。 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted operating earnings for the second quarter were $350 million, supported by strong performance from spread products and higher yields in the bond portfolio [17][19] - Total adjusted capital exceeded $5.3 billion, reflecting a 5% increase since year-end 2024 [12][34] - Adjusted operating earnings per share was $4.87, with an adjusted figure of $5.12, up 5% from the prior year's second quarter [19][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Retail annuity sales reached $4.4 billion, a 9% increase over the first quarter and a 4% increase year-over-year [7][10] - RILA account balances increased by nearly 80% from the second quarter last year, with sales approaching $1.4 billion, up 16% from the previous quarter [6][7] - Variable annuity net outflows improved for the second consecutive quarter, totaling $2.2 billion, down 27% from a year ago [10][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average retail annuity AUM increased to $249 billion, up from year-end 2024 [24] - The company experienced a 9.4% return on separate account assets, contributing approximately $19 billion to AUM [45] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains committed to a balanced capital management strategy, focusing on disciplined investments, maintaining a strong balance sheet, and consistent capital return to shareholders [15][14] - Jackson is exploring opportunities for strategic partnerships and risk transfer transactions to enhance shareholder value [50][53] - The company aims to leverage Brook Re for potential M&A opportunities, enhancing capital generation and free cash flow [72][80] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strong and sustainable capital generation supporting future growth initiatives and ongoing capital return to shareholders [12][13] - The need for financial security in retirement is increasingly recognized, positioning annuities as essential tools for clients [15][16] Other Important Information - The company returned $216 million to common shareholders in the quarter, a 60% increase from the previous year [32] - A cash dividend of $0.80 per common share was approved for the third quarter [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Excess capital position and potential uses - Management reiterated the philosophy of generating excess capital, paying it as free cash flow, and returning capital to shareholders [40][42] Question: AUM levels and equity market impact - Strong equity market performance contributed to AUM growth, with solid margins expected despite some variable expense offsets [44][46] Question: Strategic considerations for business remixing - Management is open to strategic partnerships and risk transfer opportunities that enhance shareholder value [50][53] Question: RILA product features and competition - RILA sales increased 16% sequentially, with a competitive product offering that includes income options [60] Question: Risk management of RILA and legacy VA - The company manages RILA and legacy VA products separately, leveraging natural offsets in equity risk [70] Question: Potential for inorganic growth using Brook Re - Management confirmed that Brook Re could be leveraged for M&A opportunities, particularly in acquiring complementary blocks of business [72][80]