Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the expertise of Chen Wenyang, a fund manager at Dongfanghong Asset Management, in multi-asset allocation through FOF (Fund of Funds) strategies, aiming for long-term stable performance while navigating market fluctuations [1][2][14]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - Chen Wenyang emphasizes the importance of multi-asset allocation as a foundation for FOF investment management, advocating for diversification to achieve a higher risk-return ratio [7][12]. - The FOF team at Dongfanghong employs a comprehensive process for strategy design, asset selection, and fund management, leveraging team collaboration to enhance research capabilities [2][12]. - Chen's approach involves identifying assets with high odds and reasonable win rates, focusing on those with upward trends to optimize returns [11][9]. Group 2: Performance Metrics - The "Dongfanghong Yihe Stable Pension Two-Year FOF" managed by Chen has ranked 5th out of 25 and 8th out of 61 in its category for five-year and three-year returns, respectively, showcasing its competitive performance [3][15]. - The fund's performance metrics indicate a net value growth rate of 4.26% in 2020, 3.40% in 2021, and a recovery of 6.57% in 2024, reflecting its resilience through various market conditions [15][16]. Group 3: Asset Allocation Insights - Chen's strategy includes a mix of domestic and international assets, such as overseas bond funds and gold ETFs, to enhance risk-return profiles [9][10]. - The FOF's top holdings as of Q3 2025 include multiple gold ETFs and S&P 500 ETFs, indicating a strategic focus on global asset diversification [10][9]. Group 4: Fund Management Philosophy - The article underscores the significance of a robust investment philosophy, where Chen prioritizes stable returns over high-risk, high-reward strategies, particularly in fixed-income fund selection [13][11]. - The FOF team utilizes both quantitative and qualitative research methods to evaluate fund managers, ensuring a thorough understanding of their investment logic and consistency [12][13].

Group 1 - The report introduces a quantitative model solution for addressing the issue of value and growth style switching, based on the combination of odds and win rates [1][8] - Last week's market performance showed a growth style portfolio return of 3.01%, while the value style portfolio return was 1.51% [1][8] Group 2 - The estimated odds for the current growth style is 1.10, while the value style is estimated at 1.08, indicating a negative correlation between relative valuation levels and expected odds [2][14] - The current win rates indicate that 58.26% favor the growth style, while 41.74% favor the value style, based on seven win rate indicators [3][16] Group 3 - The latest investment expectation for the growth style is calculated at 0.22, while the value style's investment expectation is -0.13, leading to a recommendation for the growth style [4][18] - Since 2013, the annualized return for the style rotation model based on investment expectations has been 27.12%, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.99 [4][19]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of value investing as a foundation, balancing risk and position control, and dynamically adjusting strategies to safeguard wealth in a fluctuating market environment [1]. Investment Philosophy - The investment philosophy is particularly suited for investors who lack the time to monitor market dynamics, do not have their own trading systems, and possess limited analytical skills [4]. - The investment approach is summarized as value investing, focusing on balancing risk and position control while dynamically adjusting to seize opportunities [5]. Timing and Analysis - Timing in stock trading can be approached from various angles, including technical analysis, fundamental analysis, market sentiment, and a comprehensive strategy. There is no absolute method for timing, and investors should consider multiple factors based on their risk tolerance and investment goals [5]. - A foundational investment framework is established, starting with stocks that exhibit a certain level of trading activity, followed by fundamental analysis to identify suitable candidates [6]. Valuation and Margin of Safety - The assessment of margin of safety and valuation involves both subjective and objective elements. Investors rely on experience and intuition for qualitative factors, while quantitative methods based on financial data provide a more objective valuation [7]. - Daily investment practices include using relative and absolute valuation methods combined with fundamental analysis to determine stock valuations [7]. Stock Selection Logic - A time hypothesis is set for investments, and if a stock does not appreciate, a reassessment of the broader market direction and the stock's trend and volume is conducted to decide on potential removal from the portfolio [9]. - A risk warning mechanism is established, setting key risk indicators such as significant price support levels and major negative news to issue alerts for timely action [10]. Industry Preferences and Commonalities - There is no specific industry preference; however, stocks are selected based on trading volume, with a tendency to favor current hot topics when conditions are similar [11]. Importance of Odds and Win Rates - Both odds and win rates are crucial in investment strategies, with their importance varying based on the investment context. A balanced approach is necessary, with a focus on win rates for stable returns and odds for high returns [11]. Dividend Significance - Dividends are highlighted as an important aspect of investment, reflecting a company's profitability and providing stable returns. Reinvesting dividends can lead to compounding effects, making them significant in long-term and value investing [12].