智通财经获悉，中信证券发布研报称，保险资金配置股票的规模正在趋势性上升，截至2025Q3已经达 到3.6万亿元，占保险资金的比例为10%，预期未来保险资金行为将会越来越影响A股市场风格特征。该 行分析了保险资管权益类产品收益与市场风格的历史相关性，发现当两者相关性达到极值时，市场的风 格切换即将发生。截至目前，策略显示成长相对价值风格占优，保险资金配置红利低波风格在下降区 间，配置科技研发风格在上升区间，且均未达到历史极值，成长风格或将延续。 中信证券主要观点如下： 2025年保险增量资金超过6000亿元，政策支持下未来增量可期 3)截至2025年12月19日，成长相对价值风格占优。保险资金配置红利低波风格在下降区间，保险资金配 置科技研发风格在上升区间，均未达到历史极值，成长风格或将延续。 股票型保险资管产品数量持续上升，总体偏向价值风格，2025年后风格明显转向成长 1)2019年以来，保险资管权益类产品数量扩张趋势明显，产品数量由2019年110只稳步增长至2025年超 过260只，期间基本逐年抬升; 2)从保险资管产品的历史收益表现来看，险资持仓的风格特征并非恒定，而是随市场环境呈现阶段性切 换。红利 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中信证券发布研报称，保险资金配置股票的规模正在趋势性上升，截至2025Q3已 经达到3.6万亿元，占保险资金的比例为10%，预期未来保险资金行为将会越来越影响A股市场风格特 征。该行分析了保险资管权益类产品收益与市场风格的历史相关性，发现当两者相关性达到极值时，市 场的风格切换即将发生。截至目前，策略显示成长相对价值风格占优，保险资金配置红利低波风格在下 降区间，配置科技研发风格在上升区间，且均未达到历史极值，成长风格或将延续。 3)2024年下半年以来，政策引导支持险资稳定、持续入市，政策整体呈现系统性、组合式推进特征。 股票型保险资管产品数量持续上升，总体偏向价值风格，2025年后风格明显转向成长 1)2019年以来，保险资管权益类产品数量扩张趋势明显，产品数量由2019年110只稳步增长至2025年超 过260只，期间基本逐年抬升; 中信证券主要观点如下： 2025年保险增量资金超过6000亿元，政策支持下未来增量可期 1)保险资金配置股票的规模呈"先稳后升、加速上行"的特征，截至2025Q3保险资金运用在股票上的余额 快速攀升至约3.6万亿元左右的高位，同时配置股票比例上行至10% ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recovery of the refinancing market in 2025, with an increase in market size and project returns, particularly through targeted placements, which are favored due to lower thresholds for profitability and leverage requirements [2][24]. Market Review 2025 - In 2025, the targeted placement market saw a fundraising scale of 714.13 billion yuan, with state-owned banks contributing 520 billion yuan. The average discount for issued projects was 12.7%, slightly down from previous years, while the average project return improved to 36.3% [2][24]. - The revenue from targeted placements primarily came from issuance discount returns and market returns during the lock-up period, with an average discount return rate of 15.8% in 2025 [2][25]. Funding Preferences - The participation ratio of various investors in targeted placements remained stable, with public funds being the main contributors. In 2025, institutional investors showed a preference for projects with higher discount rates [3]. Outlook for 2026 - The fundraising scale for targeted placements in 2026 is expected to remain stable, with competitive projects estimated to raise around 165 billion yuan. The overall fundraising scale may show a trend of high in the beginning and low later in the year [4][58]. - The expected safety margin for the targeted placement market in 2026 is around 10 percentage points, with average discount rates projected at approximately 13.8%, translating to a discount return of about 16.0% [4][59]. Investment Strategy - The company recommends a growth-oriented investment strategy, utilizing a style rotation approach. Historical backtesting indicates that this strategy has achieved an annualized return close to 30%, significantly outperforming non-screened targeted placement portfolios [5][62]. - The current model suggests a favorable outlook for growth style investments, advocating for the selection of high-quality projects during favorable market conditions [5][62].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the growth of the A-series index, which has become the largest strategy index category with a scale exceeding 2000-3000 billion by the end of 2025 [2][4] - The A-series index includes three main indices: A50, A100, and A500, which represent different market capitalizations: A50 for large-cap stocks, A100 for large and mid-cap stocks, and A500 for large, mid, and small-cap stocks [3][4] - The A500 index is unique as it was launched after the index fund, contrary to the usual practice of launching the index first [4] Group 2 - From April to May 2025, the A-series indices were undervalued for an extended period, but after May 2025, the market saw an increase, bringing these indices back to normal valuations [3] - Among the A-series indices, the A500, which includes small-cap stocks, showed the strongest performance, followed by A100 and A50 [3] - The A-series index funds have been included in personal pension accounts, highlighting their significance despite being newly established compared to older funds [5] Group 3 - The investment strategy suggested involves using the A-series index as a representative of growth style, paired with value style representatives like dividend or free cash flow indices [5] - The classic strategy of combining growth and value can be achieved by using A50 alongside a low-volatility dividend fund in personal pension accounts [5] - It is advised to consider investments in these indices primarily when they are undervalued [6]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes that fund investment is a suitable method for lazy investors and discusses how to effectively implement fund investment strategies [2][3] - It introduces a free course that helps investors understand how to prepare for fund investment and create a solid investment plan [2][3] - The article outlines four types of index funds: broad-based, strategy, industry, and thematic indices, providing guidance on how to select the appropriate type for different investment levels [4][5][6] Group 2 - For novice investors, it is recommended to start with broad-based indices, which include stocks from various industries and have lower volatility risk [5] - Once investors gain some experience, they can explore strategy indices that cater to specific investment needs, such as dividend or value strategies [6] - Industry and thematic indices carry higher volatility and investment difficulty, but can offer significant returns during market upswings; it is advised to limit exposure to any single industry or theme to 15%-20% for better risk management [7]

导读：2022年2月17日，我们发布了第一个主动权益TOP100基金经理榜单后，至今已经有4年的时间。这份榜单是由点拾投资和零城投资每年耗费几个月 时间共同讨论、整理出来的。零城投资主要负责定量的数据分析和研究，点拾投资主要负责定性的基金经理研究。 在过去的4年中，这份榜单被许多业内的机构投资者关注，包括FOF、银行渠道、银行理财子、保险资管、甚至基金经理本人。我们坚信一件事情：优秀 的基金经理，是能跑赢市场和同行，创造超额收益的。从2022到2024年，我们的榜单也连续三年跑赢万得偏股基金指数。 但是2025年很不同，这一年主动权益重新跑赢沪深300，成长风格引领市场，基金经理之间的业绩方差巨大。万得偏股基金指数涨幅33.19%，跑赢的难度 大幅增加。这一年我们很遗憾，没有连续第四年战胜万得偏股基金指数。我们榜单组合2025年的收益率为32.4%，跑输了万得偏股基金指数的33.19%。这 里面有两个原因： 1）我们年初榜单中的一些成长风格基金经理离职，而根据规则基金经理换人后就自动从榜单扣除。他们的离开，导致无法为我们榜单贡献业绩，一部分 拖累了我们榜单的表现。 2）我们在每一个风格和行业，包括成长，价值， ...

导读：2022年2月17日，我们发布了第一个主动权益TOP100基金经理榜单后，至今已经有4年的时间。这份榜单是由点拾投资和零城投资每年耗费 几个月时间共同讨论、整理出来的。零城投资主要负责定量的数据分析和研究，点拾投资主要负责定性的基金经理研究。 在过去的4年中，这份榜单被许多业内的机构投资者关注，包括FOF、银行渠道、银行理财子、保险资管、甚至基金经理本人。我们坚信一件事情： 优秀的基金经理，是能跑赢市场和同行，创造超额收益的。从2022到2024年，我们的榜单也连续三年跑赢万得偏股基金指数。 但是2025年很不同，这一年主动权益重新跑赢沪深300，成长风格引领市场，基金经理之间的业绩方差巨大。万得偏股基金指数涨幅33.19%，跑赢 的难度大幅增加。这一年我们很遗憾，没有连续第四年战胜万得偏股基金指数。我们榜单组合2025年的收益率为32.4%，跑输了万得偏股基金指数的 33.19%。这里面有两个原因： 1）我们年初榜单中的一些成长风格基金经理离职，而根据规则基金经理换人后就自动从榜单扣除。他们的离开，导致无法为我们榜单贡献业绩，一 部分拖累了我们榜单的表现。 2）我们在每一个风格和行业，包括成长，价值， ...

Market Performance - In 2025, A-shares and Hong Kong stocks had their best performance in the last five years, with A-shares rising 24.60% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index increasing by 27.77% [4][9][23]. - The ChiNext Index surged by 50% in Q3, marking the largest quarterly increase in the last decade [7]. - The global stock market also saw an overall increase of 22.43% in 2025 [23]. A-shares Breakdown - The CSI 300 Index rose by 17.66%, while the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 increased by 30.39% and 27.49%, respectively [10][11][12]. - Growth stocks outperformed value stocks in 2025, with the CSI 300 Growth Index up 29.52% compared to the CSI 300 Value Index's 6.41% [20][21]. Hong Kong Market Insights - The Hong Kong stock market outperformed A-shares, with the technology sector rising by 34.97% [23]. - The Hang Seng Dividend Low Volatility Index increased by 18.97%, indicating strong performance across various sectors [23]. Global Market Context - Since the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut on September 19, 2024, global stock indices have risen by 24.62%, with A-shares increasing by 60.66% and Hong Kong stocks by 45.13% [24]. - The easing of monetary policy has led to increased liquidity in global markets, benefiting A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [24]. Investment Strategy Performance - The Index Enhancement Strategy achieved a 23.16% increase in 2025, outperforming both the CSI 300 and CSI 800 indices [28][29]. - The Active Selection Strategy also significantly outperformed the CSI 300, with a 27% increase in 2025 [47]. Investor Returns - By the end of 2025, approximately 88.65% of holders of the Ding series advisory combinations were in profit, significantly higher than the average profit rate of individual investors [53][58]. - The report indicated that 38.2% of advisory investors chose to reinvest, reflecting confidence in the advisory services [54]. Company Achievements - The company maintained a consistent engagement with its audience, providing over 100,000 words of original content and responding to approximately 45,000 inquiries in 2025 [68]. - The company received multiple awards for its advisory services, including the prestigious "Golden Bull Award" for three consecutive years, highlighting its recognition in the investment advisory field [100].

Group 1 - The core view is that A-shares remain a favored asset for investment, supported by valuation, fundamentals, and liquidity factors [1] - From a valuation perspective, the current equity risk premium of A-shares is considered to be within a reasonable range [1] - The fundamental outlook is improving due to the implementation of domestic policies, leading to noticeable enhancements in certain economic indicators [1] Group 2 - The liquidity environment is favorable, with ongoing economic recovery in China and a continuous influx of funds into the stock market driven by increased asset allocation needs from residents [1] - Global allocation funds still have relatively low positions in A-shares, and a weakening US dollar alongside a strengthening RMB will facilitate foreign capital inflow into A-shares [1] - The rise of new productive forces is expected to drive A-share valuations higher, indicating a good opportunity for investment in A-shares [1] Group 3 - The AI industry is identified as a clear trend, with short-term adjustments potentially providing good investment opportunities [2] - Chinese technology products are gaining global attention, which may enhance investor confidence in the application of AI technology [2] - The overall valuation of US stocks is perceived as high, particularly in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices, but a potential "soft landing" for the US economy could maintain a neutral outlook on US stocks [2] Group 4 - Gold is viewed as a valuable investment, driven by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and ongoing global central bank purchases of gold, suggesting further upside potential [2]

更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 开年风格如何判断? 20260104 摘要 Q&A 2026 年 1 月 A 股市场风格的最新观点是什么? 基于四象限风格轮动模型,1月份在成长价值维度上暂时维持对价值风格占优的 判断,但略微向成长风格倾斜。从市场情绪来看,投资者对价值风格偏好较强, 而从市场状态(即风格动量)来看,成长风格略微占优。宏观指标则显示成长和 争 狗 - ● 量化策略综合评分显示,价值风格偏好减弱,但短期内价值风格可能仍占 优。大小盘方面,由看好大盘转为均衡偏小盘,小盘股或中小盘股短期内 可能略微占优,宏观环境和市场情绪是主要驱动因素。 资产配置方面,相对看好国内股票资产,对商品持中性态度,债券相对谨 ● 慎。宏观预期差角度对股票和商品持谨慎态度,对债券中性:左侧择时维 度对股票市场持乐观态度;技术面阻力支撑维度认为市场顶部存在一定阻 力。 行业轮动模型显示目前处于快速轮动状态,12月模型持仓行业跑输基准 . 0.7%,但 2025年全年组合收益率跑赢基准 11 个百分点。2026年 1 月推 荐行业包括银行、建材、计算机。综合金融、煤炭及综合。 紧急积极成长型策略表现最忧 ...