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高位震盪格局 長城多空博弈加劇
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-26 20:09
| | | 根據最新數據系統顯示:支持位與阻力位分析表明,即市第一支持位在16.2元,第二支持位在14.7元水平,這兩個位置將成為回調時的重要支撐。上方阻力 則先看19元,突破後有望挑戰21.4元關口。當前技術指標顯示超買嚴重,短期調整壓力較大。 回顧近期窩輪表現,8月20日推薦的看多產品表現優異。匯豐認購證13606和瑞銀認購證13608在隨後兩日均錄得36%升幅,跑贏正股7.28%的漲幅。顯示在上 漲行情中,槓桿產品能提供顯著的收益放大效果,但在超買狀態下需要更加謹慎。 對於當前市況,衍生工具投資者需要格外謹慎。看好的投資者可考慮瑞銀認購證13608,該產品行使價18.82元,提供4.8倍槓桿,其槓桿最高且引伸波幅較 低;或匯豐認購證13606,行使價相同,提供5倍槓桿,溢價和引伸波幅均為最低。但需要特別注意,在超買狀態下投資槓桿產品風險較高。摩通認購證 14482,行使價18.82元,價外0.84%,槓桿4.63倍。 港股週二上午汽車板塊出現分化,長城汽車(02333)升4.97%,報19元。該股在技術面上出現明顯過熱信號,多項指標提示短期回調風險。從技術走勢觀 察,長城汽車目前雖然仍高於所有主要移動平 ...
短線機會與風險 超買狀態下的操作策略
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-26 19:05
回顧昨日(25日)專欄中,有投資者問到洛陽鉬業 (03993.HK)能否繼續調整14元?上週有投資者表示10元有支持,入手認購證,行使價12.75元。Simon:全日收11.92 元,高位見12.09元。走勢從低位7.75元一路上升至今日高位。信號為"買入",阻力位13元和13.6元。如果走勢如同技術信號的方向走,持有行使價12.75元的認購證, 不排除有機會從價外變價內輪。 洛陽鉬業(03993)延續升勢,盤中高見12.13元,突破日線圖的保力加通道頂部11.93元。從技術走勢觀察,洛陽鉬業目前雖然仍高於所有主要移動平均線, 但RSI指標已達到86的超買水平,顯示股價可能面臨技術性調整。股價明顯高於10天線(10.94元)、30天線(9.75元)和60天線(8.60元),這種過度偏離 均線的走勢需要投資者保持警惕。 根據最新數據系統顯示:支持位與阻力位分析表明,即市第一支持位在10.8元,第二支持位在10元水平,這兩個位置將成為回調時的重要支撐。上方阻力則 先看12.5元,突破後有望挑戰13.6元關口。當前技術指標顯示超買嚴重,短期調整壓力較大。 | | | 技術指標呈現明顯過熱信號。RSI指標處於86極高 ...
長城汽車強勢突破 關注關鍵阻力位表現
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-23 12:07
回顧近期窩輪表現,8月19日推薦的看多產品表現驚人。瑞銀認購證13608在隨後兩日錄得26%升幅,滙豐認購證13606也有25%的漲幅,大幅跑贏正股5.2% 的漲幅。這顯示在強勢上漲行情中,槓桿產品能提供顯著的放大收益機會。 在昨日(21日)專欄【港股Podcast】中。有投資者表示長城汽車 (02333.HK)大反彈再破17.86頂,將邁向20,持有認購證18.82元。Simon:股價從 8月初至今,走勢比較理想。挨近12-13元的時候一路上升,今日高見18.3元。收市價升穿保力加通道頂部。信號為"買入"。需要上試第一關19.2 元,突破則挑戰第二阻力21.4元。投資者選擇行使價18.82元的認購證是合適的,比較貼價,雖然槓桿低,當股價升至第一個阻力位後,認購證產 品有機會由價外變價內輪,是有得賺的。 今日(22日)港股早盤汽車板塊氣勢如虹,長城汽車(02333)上午9時55分,股價強勢衝高至18.59元,目前報18.4元,大漲2.28%。從技術走勢觀察,長城 汽車呈現強勢突破格局。股價一舉突破所有主要移動平均線,10天線(15.76元)已轉為即時支撐,30天線(14.15元)和60天線(13.25元)則在 ...
港交所(00388)突破在即?關鍵技術位與高槓桿機會全解析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-04 10:25
Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) shows a stable upward trend, with the stock price reaching 401.2 HKD, reflecting a 1.42% increase, and technical indicators suggest a potential for further gains despite being in the overbought zone [1][9]. Technical Analysis - The stock price has broken through all major moving averages, with the 10-day moving average at 393.4 HKD and the 30-day moving average at 372.1 HKD indicating a bullish alignment [1]. - The MACD indicator remains in a golden cross state, suggesting a strengthening mid-term trend [1]. - The RSI has reached 70, indicating an overbought condition, and the upper Bollinger Band is at 406 HKD, which coincides with current resistance levels, suggesting a possible short-term technical adjustment [1]. - Key support levels are identified at 384 HKD and a stronger support at 360 HKD, while resistance is seen at 406 HKD, with a potential challenge at 418 HKD if broken [1]. Derivative Products Performance - Recent trading data from June 2 to June 4 shows that while HKEX's stock rose by 0.66%, related derivative products exhibited varying degrees of leverage effects, particularly bull certificates [3]. - HSBC bull certificate 53712 increased by 11% over two days, while Societe Generale bull certificate 54739 rose by 10%, highlighting the advantages of bull certificates in a moderate upward market [3][4]. - Call options such as Barclays call option 27807 and HSBC call option 29547 recorded an 8% increase, demonstrating significant leverage effects [4]. Investment Strategies - For bullish investors, HSBC call option 29547 offers a leverage of 8.9 times with a strike price of 450.2 HKD, while Barclays call option 27807 provides a leverage of 9 times with a strike price of 450 HKD, both suitable for medium-term holding [6]. - For bearish investors, HSBC put option 16951 offers a leverage of 9.4 times with a strike price of 333.68 HKD, and UBS put option 16913 provides a leverage of 9 times with the same strike price, both having the lowest premiums and implied volatilities [7]. - UBS bear certificate 52551 has a leverage of 16.2 times with a recovery price of 420 HKD, while JPMorgan bear certificate 53686 offers a leverage of 15.9 times, suitable for bearish market conditions [7].