炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：金十数据 每当12月临近，投资者都期待华尔街策略师能提供具有操作性的交易建议。本周，花旗研究部的全球宏 观经济策略团队正是这样做的。 花旗策略师提出了一系列交易建议，并对美联储利率政策和铝产量等市场相关话题进行了预测。 在推荐的交易中，有一项是利用杠杆押注人工智能（AI）交易将继续推动纳斯达克100指数走高。该团 队建议，投资者可以买入将于2026年12月到期的该指数虚值看涨期权。 他们表示，只要资本投资继续增长，且金融系统的流动性保持充裕，投资者就有足够的时间在AI泡沫 膨胀的过程中继续乘势而上。 他们所描述的并非简单的轮动，而是在牛市进入第4年之际，市场呈现出一种看涨的普涨态势。该团队 认为，金融股的表现应优于属于防御性板块的消费必需品股，并建议超配金融股，低配消费必需品股。 "我们认为周期性股票在通胀复苏的经济环境中会有出色表现，"该团队在谈到通胀和经济增长速度双双 回升的情景时如是说。 花旗的下一个主题带来了一丝警示。威尔及其团队指出，美股和债券在中期选举年通常表现疲软。此 外，这种疲软往往出现在第3季度。当执政党继续掌权 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of various industries, with the power equipment sector showing the highest increase at 4.98%, while the beauty and personal care sector experienced the largest decline at 3.10% [3] - The weekly performance of the 31 industries indicates a general upward trend, with most sectors gaining, particularly power equipment, coal, and petroleum and petrochemicals [3] - The consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) data for October show a rebound, with CPI up 0.2% year-on-year and 0.2% month-on-month, while PPI decreased by 2.1% year-on-year but increased by 0.1% month-on-month, suggesting a potential market focus on inflation recovery [4] Group 2 - The medium-term market outlook suggests a slow bull market with a positive view on equity market performance, driven by a shift in economic dynamics and a healthier economic structure expected next year [5] - Investment opportunities are identified in technology sectors such as semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and robotics, while consumer sectors like food and beverage, beauty care, and social services are anticipated to perform well once the fundamentals stabilize [5]

Core Insights - Ghana's recent macroeconomic stability is highly vulnerable to fluctuations in global commodity prices, particularly gold prices [1] - The sustainability of Ghana's economic rebound is critically dependent on sustained high gold prices, presenting a significant and unstable risk factor [1] - A decline in gold prices would substantially reduce Ghana's dollar earnings from its largest export product, leading to decreased foreign exchange inflows and a potential depletion of international reserves [1] Economic Implications - A reduction in foreign exchange inflows could erode Ghana's external buffers and exert pressure on the local currency, leading to significant depreciation [1] - Currency depreciation would increase import costs, potentially triggering a sharp rebound in inflation [1] - To address the resurgence of inflation, the central bank of Ghana may need to adopt a tighter policy stance than currently anticipated by the market, possibly through interest rate hikes [1]