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资金利率下行 资金面整体均衡
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-10-30 00:25
三季度以来,国内宏观调控力度加大,政策"组合拳"效果逐步显现,货币政策延续适度宽松基调, 为经济回升向好创造了适宜的货币金融环境。 在此背景下,中国外汇交易中心(以下简称"交易中心")最新发布的数据显示,2025年三季度,银 行间本币市场资金面整体均衡,货币市场交易量及余额增加,主要回购利率下行;"反内卷"提升风险偏 好,A股表现强势,利率债增值税新规实施,公募基金费率新规征求意见等因素叠加影响,债券发行环 比增加,交易环比减少,长债收益率震荡上行,曲线走陡;利率互换曲线整体上移,成交环比增加。从 整体成交情况来看,银行间市场成交654.7万亿元,环比增长16.3%,同比增长17.7%。 资金利率全面下行 2025年三季度,央行综合运用多种货币政策工具,保持资金面平稳运行。三季度各月,央行均在公 开市场净投放资金,且中期借贷便利(MLF)与买断式逆回购两大工具各月均为提量续做,持续向市 场注入中长期流动性。 业内人士普遍认为,买断式逆回购操作形成"每月两次,提前公告"的常态化模式,有助于稳定市场 预期,提高政策透明度。此外,9月末,为应对跨季、跨国庆长假的资金需求,央行适时重启14天期逆 回购操作,并调整为" ...
【笔记20250516— “降息”降出“加息”的感觉】
债券笔记· 2025-05-17 12:11
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent market fluctuations and the tendency of investors to engage in "revenge trading" after experiencing losses or missed opportunities, indicating a psychological response to market volatility [1]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The central bank conducted a 1,065 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation, with 770 billion yuan reverse repos maturing today, resulting in a net injection of 295 billion yuan [2]. - The interbank funding market showed a tightening trend in the morning, with the funding rates significantly rising; DR001 and DR007 increased by 22 basis points and 11 basis points, respectively, reaching around 1.63% [2]. - The bond market sentiment was cautious, with the 10-year government bond yield opening at 1.67% and peaking at 1.685%, reflecting a weak issuance sentiment for 20-year bonds [4]. Group 2: Trading Dynamics - The trading volume in the repo market showed a decline, with R001 at 59,107.07 million yuan, down by 6,446.34 million yuan, and R007 at 7,625.09 million yuan, up by 687.90 million yuan [3]. - The overall market saw a slight decline in stock prices, with the sentiment in the bond market remaining cautious and the funding rates fluctuating throughout the day [4]. - The article notes that each "rate cut" tends to create a feeling of "rate hike," indicating a cyclical nature of market reactions to monetary policy changes [5].