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本期先防守,再寻进攻型机会
Guotou Securities· 2025-06-21 07:55
- The report mentions a "Four-Wheel Drive Model" as part of its analysis framework[5][12] - The model identifies potential opportunities in weak sectors based on metrics such as RS6, momentum (Mom), trend strength (TendS), temperature (Tempe), and new high (Newhigh)[12] - Specific examples include the electronics sector with RS6: 0.47, Mom: 0.14 (0.14 -> 0.21), TendS: 0.22 (0.33, 1, 229), Tempe: 44.4, and Newhigh: 0.03[12] - Another example is the communication sector with RS6: 0.2, Mom: 0.22 (0.11 -> 0.17), TendS: 0.23 (0.33, 6, 40), Tempe: 51.9, and Newhigh: 0.08[12]
Citadel格里芬:市场动荡期“防守策略几乎总是亏钱”,持有现金
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-06-17 00:59
Group 1 - The core message from Ken Griffin, founder of Citadel, is that adopting a defensive strategy in turbulent markets is likely to lead to losses, as it creates a false sense of security [1] - Griffin emphasizes that during times of heightened risk aversion, "safe trades" become overcrowded, making them the most vulnerable to losses [1][2] - Instead of following the crowd into crowded defensive assets, Griffin advocates for maintaining cash flexibility to seize genuine opportunities when they arise [1] Group 2 - Griffin's warnings are rooted in the current challenging market conditions, including unpredictability in Trump's policies and rising geopolitical risks, which have led investors to instinctively seek defensive strategies [2] - He proposes a shift in mindset from "risk aversion" to "risk neutrality," suggesting that decisions closer to risk neutrality are more optimal from a profit perspective [2] - Citadel has successfully fostered a culture that encourages employees to take calculated risks, accepting occasional failures as a pathway to significant victories [3]