以下文章来源于阿尔法工场Green ，作者雾亥 阿尔法工场Green . 聚焦清洁能源行业，提供最新的绿色能源公司资讯、技术创新和ESG行业趋势。 导语：以规模制造、成本控制见长的风电装备企业进入海工体系，面临挑战呈几何指数级增长。 "赶海"大潮，正重塑中国风电制造的竞争格局。 对于风电塔筒龙头天顺风能来说，对这并非一次常规意义上的扩产或补链，而是其"陆转海"战略 转型方向进一步明确。 借助本次定增，天顺风能拟加码海上风电装备制造、重型海工码头及特种运输船舶等领域，在阳 江、射阳等七大沿海区域布局海工基地，同时开拓欧洲等海外市场，并战略收缩低毛利陆上业 务。 12月13日，天顺风能（002531.SZ）披露2025年度向特定对象发行A股股票预案，募集资金总 额不超过19.5亿元，扣除发行费用后将全部用于长风新能源装备制造基地扩建项目、天顺（射 阳）风电海工智造项目（二期）、天顺（阳江）重型风电海工装备智能制造项目（一期）、阳江 港吉树作业区 #J8泊位码头工程项目 、特种运输船舶购置项目、补充流动资金。 | . . | . V . | = . | | --- | --- | --- | | | 1- | S ...

Demand: Onshore Wind Capacity Supported, Positive Outlook for Offshore Growth - In 2025, onshore wind capacity is expected to exceed 100GW, with a year-on-year growth of over 25% [2][11] - For offshore wind, the expected capacity for 2025 is between 8-10GW, with a year-on-year increase of 30%+ anticipated for 2026 [12][11] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period is projected to see an average annual installation of 110-120GW for onshore wind and over 20GW for offshore wind [11][12] Offshore Cable: Voltage Levels Increasing, Leading Players Strengthening - The market size for offshore cables is expected to reach 10.7 billion yuan in 2025, a 62% increase year-on-year, with a compound annual growth rate of 26% from 2025 to 2030 [2][11] - The gross margin for 220kV cables remains stable at 35-40%, while higher voltage cables show promising margins of 45-55% [2][11] Tower and Pile: Domestic Profitability Turning Point, International Expansion Opportunities - Domestic capacity utilization rates have rapidly increased since Q2 2025, indicating a profitability turning point for related companies [2][11] - Internationally, companies are expanding their market share with significant profitability from single pile deliveries [2][11] Wind Turbines: Price Stabilization and Profitability Improvement Expected in 2026 - Wind turbine prices have stabilized, with a rebound of over 5% in bidding prices, leading to improved profitability for domestic manufacturers expected in 2026 [2][11] - Offshore orders and deliveries for wind turbine companies are significantly increasing, with offshore margins exceeding domestic margins by 5-10 percentage points [2][11] Investment Recommendations: Positive Outlook for Offshore Sector - The upcoming deep offshore projects are expected to catalyze growth, with a potential upward adjustment in mid-to-long-term installation levels [2][11] - Recommended stocks include those in the offshore wind sector such as 大金重工, 东方电缆, and others, as well as wind turbine manufacturers like 金风科技 and 明阳智能 [2][11] European Offshore Wind: Accelerated Planning Amid Energy Crisis - Following the energy crisis due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, European countries are ramping up offshore wind planning, with auction volumes expected to increase significantly [2][21] - The average annual compound growth rate for European offshore wind installations is projected to reach 21% from 2025 to 2030 [2][37]

Summary of Wind Energy Conference and Q&A Industry Overview - The wind energy industry, particularly offshore wind (海风) and onshore wind (陆风), is experiencing optimistic growth trends. The domestic offshore wind installation target has been raised to 30GW, with significant growth in the European market, especially in floating offshore wind technology [1][2]. Key Points on Offshore Wind Development - A three-year action plan has been initiated in China to advance 100GW of deep-sea projects and reserve an additional 100GW of sites. This indicates a substantial increase in domestic offshore wind installation capacity from the previous 15-20GW to 30GW [2]. - The expected installation volume for 2025 is estimated at 8-10GW, with grid connection volume around 7GW. For 2026, the installation volume is projected to reach 10-12GW, with an acceleration starting in 2027, raising the central target to 20GW [5]. - Key projects include a 2GW project in Zhejiang and a 3GW project in Hainan, both progressing well and providing demonstration effects for future projects [5]. - Major companies like 大金 (Dajin) have maintained a leading position with 29% of overseas delivery share in the first half of the year, with expectations for increased shipments in the second half [5]. Key Points on Onshore Wind Development - The onshore wind sector is also showing positive signs, with grid connection results nearing 100GW. Demand expectations for the next year have shifted from pessimistic to slight growth or stability [6]. - Wind turbine prices have increased by at least 5% since May 2025, with some companies reporting increases of 5-8% or more, which is expected to significantly impact 2026 performance [3][9]. - The urgency for negotiating component prices has decreased compared to last year, with expectations for prices to remain stable [10][11]. Technological Upgrades - The wind energy sector is undergoing significant technological upgrades, including the adoption of new bearing types to improve quality and efficiency. For instance, 5-8MW models are expected to gradually adopt tapered roller bearings (TRB) [12]. Recommended Companies - For offshore wind, recommended companies include 大金 (Dajin) and 东方电缆 (Oriental Cable), along with 海立中天 (Haili Zhongtian) benefiting from both domestic and international markets [2][13]. - In the onshore wind sector, recommended companies include 金风 (Goldwind), 运达 (Yunda), 明阳 (Mingyang), and 三一 (Sany) [13]. - In the components sector, companies like 新相联 (Xinxianlian) and 惊雷 (Jinglei) are highlighted due to their technological advancements [13]. Additional Insights - The overall sentiment towards the wind energy sector remains optimistic, with expectations for both onshore and offshore segments to contribute positively to the market in the coming years [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the wind power industry [3] Core Viewpoints - The wind power industry is entering a new cycle of prosperity, with significant growth expected in both offshore and onshore wind projects, driven by domestic and international factors [10][12] - The second half of 2025 is anticipated to see a comprehensive release of performance, with three major catalysts identified: the initiation of deep-sea offshore wind projects, accelerated exports, and recovery in wind turbine profitability [19][102] Summary by Sections Medium to Long Term: New Cycle of Prosperity - Domestic wind power economics are significantly improving, with a positive trend in installed capacity during the 14th Five-Year Plan [12] - The report highlights that overseas offshore wind power has vast potential, with countries in Europe and Asia-Pacific setting ambitious installation targets for 2030 [16][17] Short Term: Performance Release in H2 2025 - The report forecasts that wind power installations in 2025 could reach 110 GW, with onshore installations expected to hit 100 GW and offshore installations potentially doubling to 10 GW [22] - The industry is expected to enter a phase of accelerated prosperity, supported by the seasonal increase in project initiations [23] Catalysts for Growth - **Catalyst 1**: Acceleration of deep-sea offshore projects, with significant capacity planned across various provinces, totaling approximately 128.3 GW [28][32] - **Catalyst 2**: A turning point in offshore wind installations is expected in 2026, with domestic companies actively pursuing international orders [60] - **Catalyst 3**: Recovery in profitability for wind turbines is anticipated, driven by stable pricing and reduced competition [67][93]

Core Insights - The first large-scale land-based wind power project in China, featuring 10 megawatt generator units, has officially commenced commercial operations [1] Group 1 - The project is located in the Inner Mongolia Energy Urat Middle Banner and has a total capacity of 1.5 million kilowatts [1]

Summary of TianShun Wind Power Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: TianShun Wind Power - **Industry**: Wind Power and Marine Equipment Key Financial Highlights - **H1 2025 Performance**: - Non-recurring net profit: 5.183 million yuan, down 77.8% YoY [3] - Total revenue: 2.19 billion yuan, down 3.1% YoY [3] - Q2 revenue: 1.26 billion yuan, non-recurring net profit: 2.128 million yuan [3] - **Marine Equipment**: - Revenue: 210 million yuan, net profit: 10.44 million yuan [2] - Q2 losses due to project delays [5] - **Power Generation**: - Revenue: 690 million yuan, net profit: 230 million yuan, gross margin: 65.5% [6] Segment Performance Marine Equipment - **Delivery**: 25,000 tons in H1 2025, with a significant increase expected in Q3 [2][5] - **Challenges**: Project delays led to Q2 losses despite strong revenue [5] - **Future Outlook**: Expected to achieve breakeven with an annual delivery target of 150,000 tons [2][9] Land Equipment - **Tower Business**: Revenue of 810 million yuan with a loss of 13.79 million yuan in H1 2025 [3][5] - **Blade Business**: Revenue of 360 million yuan with a loss of 77.33 million yuan [3][5] - **Profitability Outlook**: Expected profitability in the tower business by 2025, while blade business may not turn profitable until 2026 [2][27] Power Generation - **Performance**: Generated 2.02 billion kWh, with a revenue of 690 million yuan and a net profit of 230 million yuan [6] - **Future Projections**: Expected annual revenue of approximately 600 million yuan [2][17] Strategic Developments - **Project Indicators**: Secured 1,180 MW of wind power project indicators, with 860 MW approved and under construction [7] - **Market Focus**: Shift towards offshore wind power, with plans to abandon onshore projects [4][15] - **New Facilities**: New base in Yangjiang expected to contribute to production capacity [9][31] Market Dynamics - **Domestic Market**: Demand locked in at over 7 billion yuan, capturing more than half of the market share [4][11] - **International Expansion**: Continuous overseas market development since 2021, with expectations for order fulfillment in the coming years [4][12] - **Competitive Position**: Strong competitiveness in both domestic and international markets for jacket products [4][11] Future Outlook - **Marine Projects**: Anticipated delivery of major marine projects by the end of the year, with a total expected delivery of 150,000 tons [8][24] - **Revenue Projections**: Expected to start 7 billion yuan of marine infrastructure projects in 2026, primarily in Guangdong [31][32] - **Cost Management**: Focus on maintaining stable cash flow and avoiding losses during the transition to offshore business [15][27] Additional Insights - **Cost Structure**: New pricing mechanisms for zero-carbon businesses have minimal impact on profitability [17] - **Production Strategy**: Adjustments in production strategy to focus on high-value special ship orders, maintaining a net profit margin above 20% [25] - **Capacity Utilization**: Current capacity utilization is around 70-80%, with expectations for full production in 2026 [33] This summary encapsulates the key points from the TianShun Wind Power conference call, highlighting financial performance, segment analysis, strategic developments, market dynamics, and future outlook.