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智库观点丨邹才能:煤岩气有望成为世界天然气工业的一匹“大黑马”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 01:30
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of developing a new energy system in China, focusing on increasing the share of renewable energy and ensuring a reliable transition from fossil fuels to a new power system [2][10]. Group 1: Energy Independence and Production - The U.S. achieved energy independence in 2019, with a consumption of 2.22 billion tons of oil equivalent and a production of 2.26 billion tons, marking the first time since 1957 that production exceeded consumption [2]. - Global oil and gas production is projected to reach 8.255 billion tons of oil equivalent in 2024, with crude oil at 4.817 billion tons and natural gas at 40,715 billion cubic meters [3]. Group 2: Unconventional Oil and Gas Development - The transition from conventional to unconventional oil and gas is a necessary trend, with China's unconventional oil and gas production reaching 110 million tons of oil equivalent, accounting for 27% of total oil and gas production [3]. - China's unconventional gas production has significantly increased from 2.4% in 2008 to 27% in 2024, with unconventional natural gas production at 1,077 billion cubic meters, representing 44% of total natural gas production [3]. Group 3: Coalbed Methane and Coal Rock Gas - The development of coal rock gas in China has progressed through four geological breakthroughs, leading to significant advancements in exploration and production techniques [4][6]. - China has made strategic breakthroughs in deep coal rock gas exploration, with initial average daily production exceeding 100,000 cubic meters from horizontal wells in the Daqi area since 2021 [5]. Group 4: Innovations in Coal Rock Gas - The coal rock gas revolution includes three major innovations: theoretical innovation defining coal rock gas types, technological innovation in horizontal well development, and management innovation for effective exploration [7]. - The concept of coal rock gas has been introduced as a new type of unconventional natural gas, with unique geological characteristics and development methods [6]. Group 5: Strategic Importance of Energy Development - The strategic significance of building an energy powerhouse in China includes ensuring energy security, achieving carbon neutrality, and supporting modernization efforts [10]. - The unconventional oil and gas sector is seen as a strategic resource for stabilizing oil supply and increasing gas production, with projections indicating that unconventional gas could exceed 50% of total production by 2030 [10][11]. Group 6: Exploration Potential - Major basins in China, such as Ordos, Sichuan, and Tarim, show promising exploration potential for coal rock gas, with estimated resources exceeding 20 trillion cubic meters in the Ordos basin alone [11]. - The global coal rock gas resources are abundant, with countries like the U.S., Russia, and Australia also having significant reserves, indicating a potential new growth area in the natural gas industry [11].
首华燃气(300483):产量同比大增112% 静待业绩拐点到来
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-02 12:45
受益于深层煤层气增储上产,公司将实现"量增+效升"的共振。石楼西区块2024 年来伴随煤层气储量落 实,未来将迎来快速放量,天然气产量预计将分别达9 亿方和12 亿方,而2024 年产量仅4.69 亿方。一 方面,快速上产预计将显著受益于清洁能源补贴政策;另一方面,投资、折旧摊销等成本不断下降,公 司将实现"量增+效升"的协同增长。 事件描述 公司发布2025 年三季报,前三季度公司实现营业收入20.37 亿元,同比增长95.91%,实现归属于上市公 司股东的净利润-161.90 万元,同比大幅减亏;单三季度,公司实现营业收入6.99 亿元,同比增长 64.97%;实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润-998.72 万元,同比减亏。 事件评论 项目稳步推进,产量同比大增112%。2025 年前三季度,公司在石楼西区块的天然气产建工作按计划推 进,产量持续释放,公司天然气产量同比增长 112%,外购气量同比增长69%,天然气销售量同比增长 96%。在产销气量大幅增长的推动下,2025 年第三季度公司实现营业收入 6.99 亿元,同比增长 65%; 实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润-998.72万元、同比减亏 429.1 ...