Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in performance, with a forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders of 193-214 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 90.99%-111.77%. The non-recurring net profit is expected to be 184-205 million yuan, indicating a growth of 154.98%-184.08% [2][4]. - The growth is attributed to the company's active market expansion and continuous cost reduction and efficiency improvement through process innovation and optimized procurement, enhancing overall profitability [9]. - The company anticipates that the robust demand for electricity, driven by high temperatures and economic growth, will lead to increased investment in the power grid, positively impacting its business [9]. Summary by Sections Company Performance - The company forecasts a net profit of approximately 360 million yuan for 2025, corresponding to a PE ratio of about 32.5 times [9]. Market Context - In the first five months of 2025, the national power grid investment reached 204 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.8%, indicating a significant uptick in investment scale [9]. - The total electricity consumption in the first five months of 2025 was 39,665 billion kilowatt-hours, showing a year-on-year growth of 3.4% [9]. Financial Data - The current stock price is 4.36 yuan, with a total share capital of 267,516 million shares and a net asset per share of 1.68 yuan [6].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - On June 26, the J2509 and JM2509 futures contracts of coke and coking coal continued to strengthen, with the JM2509 contract showing a larger increase, recovering most of the losses since May 23 [5]. - Since early June, coke and coking coal futures have rebounded due to a significant decline in coking coal imports and further production cuts by coking plants. However, there may be a divergence in their future market trends. Coke prices may be restricted by the slow production cuts of steel mills and may not have a significant rebound in the medium term, while coking coal prices may be relatively strong driven by the tightening of imports [10]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1行情回顾与后市展望 (Market Review and Future Outlook) - **Market Review**: On June 26, the J2509 contract of coke closed at 1395.5 yuan/ton, up 1.86%, with a trading volume of 22,795 lots and a position of 51,299 lots. The JM2509 contract of coking coal closed at 819.5 yuan/ton, up 3.60%, with a trading volume of 870,999 lots and a position of 564,662 lots, an increase of 40,404 lots. The KDJ indicators of the J2509 and JM2509 contracts showed a clear golden cross the previous day and then rose in a divergent manner. The MACD red bars of both contracts continued to expand [5][8]. - **Future Outlook**: In the coke market, the production of independent coking plants has decreased significantly in the past two weeks, while the production of steel mills has increased. Port coke inventories are hovering near the lowest level since mid - March, and steel mill inventories have declined for seven consecutive weeks, while coking plant inventories have declined for two consecutive weeks from the highest level since early March. Tonnage coke profits have been in the red for five consecutive weeks, and the third round of price cuts for coke spot prices was implemented in early June, with further price cuts proposed in Hebei and Tianjin on June 20. In the coking coal market, the year - on - year growth of imports from January to April turned negative, but the absolute value of imports remained high. The inventories of raw coal and clean coal in coal washing plants have decreased after a significant increase. The inventory of independent coking plants reached a new low since late March, and port inventories are hovering at a low level since early August last year, while steel mill inventories are being depleted slowly. With steel mills still having relatively sufficient inventories, coking plant inventories are low, and coking coal spot prices are relatively resistant to decline [10]. 3.2行业要闻 (Industry News) - From June 23 - 24, Vice - Premier He Lifeng pointed out during a research trip in Hebei that efforts should be made to consolidate the stability of the real estate market and promote the innovation and development of high - end equipment manufacturing, intelligent photovoltaics, clean energy, and new materials enterprises [12]. - On June 26, the National Development and Reform Commission stated that as of the end of May, the installed capacity of wind and photovoltaic power generation in China reached 570 million and 1.08 billion kilowatts respectively, accounting for 45.7% of the total installed capacity, exceeding that of thermal power. It is estimated that the maximum power load during the peak summer period this year will increase by about 100 million kilowatts year - on - year. The NDRC has taken a series of measures to enhance power supply capacity, and the power supply and demand situation during the peak summer period this year is better than last year [12]. - On June 25, the Ministry of Ecology and Environment reported that as of the end of May, more than 80% of the country's crude steel production capacity had completed ultra - low emission transformation, and key projects for 170 million tons of coking and 30 million tons of cement clinker production capacity had completed ultra - low emission transformation [13]. - According to pre - disclosure information from Shandong Property Exchange Center, Jigang International Logistics Co., Ltd. is挂牌转让60% of the state - owned equity and creditor's rights of Shandong Baode Coal Co., Ltd. [13]. - Fujian Sansteel Minguang Co., Ltd. stated that in 2024, the company organized production and sales based on market benefits. The unit gross profit and sales volume were the lowest in the third quarter and the highest in the fourth quarter. From January to May 2025, the steel market continued the trend of the fourth quarter of 2024, and steel enterprises maintained a certain profit margin. In 2024, the company's iron ore procurement price decreased by 5.61% year - on - year, coking coal by 12.38%, coke by 14.73%, and the comprehensive steel sales price by 9.41% [13]. - On June 26, the coal inventory at Qinhuangdao Port was 5.62 million tons, up 0.54% from the previous day, down 2.26% from the previous week, and down 20.28% from the same period last month [13]. - On June 23, the 2 unit of the 2×1000 MW ultra - supercritical coal - fired power unit of Shandong Energy New Energy Group Lingtai Power Plant was successfully connected to the grid. The project is expected to generate 10 billion kWh of electricity annually after the first - phase two units are put into operation, effectively alleviating the power supply and demand pressure in Shandong during the 14th Five - Year Plan period [14]. - On June 26, the Gansu - Ningxia section of the West - East Gas Pipeline Project IV was successfully put into operation, making the entire pipeline fully operational. The project has an annual gas transmission capacity of 15 billion cubic meters, equivalent to replacing more than 27 million tons of standard coal and reducing carbon emissions by about 50 million tons [14]. - Xiangcai Securities stated that since the beginning of 2025, the coal industry has undergone a reshaping of the supply - demand pattern, and the coal price center has accelerated its decline. Due to the continuous decline in coal prices, some coal mines have cut production. With the approaching of the peak summer period, coal prices are expected to gradually recover [14]. - Dayou Energy's subsidiary, Yima Coal Industry Group Mengjin Coal Mine Co., Ltd., resumed production on June 23 after an accident - related shutdown on May 15 [14]. - As of June 23, Ningxia Coal Industry had completed a "coal transportation from Xinjiang to Ningxia" volume of over 1.5 million tons, an increase of 896,400 tons compared to the same period last year, reaching a record high [14]. - On June 25, the first train of 3,328 tons of Mongolian coal from the Sino - Mongolian cross - border railway, coal trade, and coal mine capacity expansion project departed from the Tavantolgoi Station of the Mongolian Railway Company, marking a solid step in the implementation of the coal trade long - term agreement [14]. - Russia is open to increasing production again at the next OPEC+ meeting if necessary. OPEC+ agreed to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in July [15]. - In May 2025, Russia's coal production was 34.709 million tons, down 3.8% month - on - month and 2.2% year - on - year. From January to May, the cumulative coal production was 180 million tons, up 1.6% year - on - year [15]. - India's coal production is expected to reach a peak of 1.53 billion tons by 2030. In the 2024 - 2025 fiscal year, India's coal production exceeded 1 billion tons for the first time, reaching 1.048 billion tons, a 5% increase from the previous fiscal year. In the first two months of this fiscal year (April - May 2025), the total coal production was 168 million tons, a 3.45% year - on - year increase [15]. - Japan may face a severe power supply crisis in 2050 if power demand surges, aging thermal power plants are not replaced, and nuclear power plants are decommissioned as scheduled. It is estimated that Japan's power demand will increase by 2 - 25% in 2040 and 8 - 42% in 2050 compared to before the COVID - 19 pandemic in 2019 [15]. - South Africa's Thungela Resources expects its coal production in the first half of 2025 to reach 6.4 million tons, slightly higher than 6.2 million tons in the same period last year [15]. 3.3数据概览 (Data Overview) - The report provides a series of data charts, including the spot price index of metallurgical coke in major markets, the spot aggregated price of main coking coal in major markets, the production and capacity utilization rate of coking plants, the production and capacity utilization rate of steel mills' coke, the national daily average hot metal production, the coke inventories of ports/steel mills/coking plants, the tonnage coke profit of independent coking plants, the production and operating rate of coal washing plants, the raw coal and clean coal inventories of coal washing plants, the coking coal inventories of ports/coking plants/steel mills, and the basis between Rizhao Port's quasi - first - grade coke and the September contract, and the basis between Linfen's low - sulfur main coking coal and the September contract [17][18][19].

Group 1 - Guizhou Province is actively promoting the development of the new energy battery and materials industry, aiming to build a comprehensive "Electric Guizhou" ecosystem [1] - By 2024, Guizhou's new energy battery production capacity is expected to reach 38 GWh, with annual production of new energy vehicles at 144,000 units [1] - The industrial output value of the new energy battery and materials R&D production base and the new integrated energy base is projected to be 66.956 billion yuan and 308.65 billion yuan, respectively [1] Group 2 - The city of Bijie has made significant progress in the development of the new energy industry, successfully attracting 20 Fortune 500 companies and 31 investment projects [2] - A 30 billion yuan investment project for a vanadium flow energy storage full industry chain is being developed by Guizhou Zhixi Technology Co., Ltd., aiming to establish a leading production base [2] - Guizhou is implementing innovative strategies to attract related projects, including core component production and ternary precursor production, to enhance the scale and quality of the new energy industry [2] Group 3 - In Guiyang and Guian, the focus is on new energy batteries and materials, advanced equipment manufacturing, and electronic information manufacturing, with tailored strategies for industrial development [2] - The Qianxinan High-tech Zone is prioritizing the development of new energy power batteries and materials, with expectations for the new materials industry output to exceed 50 billion yuan by 2027 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the successful implementation of the world's first ±1100 kV ultra-high voltage direct current transmission project, showcasing China's energy technology innovation capabilities and its role in optimizing energy resource allocation across regions [1][4]. Group 1: Project Overview - The ±1100 kV ultra-high voltage direct current transmission project spans approximately 3,300 kilometers across six provinces in China, converting abundant energy resources from Xinjiang into electricity for the eastern regions [1]. - The project was conceived in 2013 to address the challenge of transforming Xinjiang's energy advantages into economic benefits while meeting the energy demands of East China [1][2]. - The project faced significant engineering challenges, including insulation issues at high voltage levels and energy loss control over long distances [2]. Group 2: Technological Achievements - Over 100 research institutions collaborated for five years to solve multiple global challenges, leading to the successful assembly of the world's first ±1100 kV converter transformer using a "modular" onsite assembly technique [2]. - The project achieved breakthroughs in both transmission distance, exceeding 3,000 kilometers, and reductions in line losses and unit investment costs [2]. Group 3: Economic and Environmental Impact - The project enables the integration of coal, wind, and solar power from Xinjiang, facilitating efficient energy transmission to East China and significantly enhancing the utilization of renewable energy [2][3]. - The transmission capacity of the project is 12 million kilowatts, equivalent to powering 400 million 30-watt light bulbs, with an annual electricity delivery exceeding 62 billion kilowatt-hours [3]. - The project has contributed to a significant reduction in carbon emissions, with approximately 6.5 million tons of CO2 emissions reduced annually for the East China region [4]. Group 4: Future Prospects - The project has established a "wind-solar-fire-storage integration" model in Xinjiang, promoting a balance between clean coal utilization and renewable energy consumption [3]. - The project has positioned itself as a key player in China's energy transition towards greener sources, enhancing the scale and efficiency of energy transmission from the west to the east [4].

Core Viewpoint - The successful launch of the ±800 kV Qinyang converter station marks the completion of China's first large-scale integrated energy base for wind, solar, and thermal power, facilitating the transmission of 36 billion kWh of renewable energy from Gansu to Shandong annually, thus supporting green energy output and economic development in both regions [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The ±800 kV UHVDC project connects Gansu's renewable energy sources to Shandong, providing a robust energy supply for regional development [1]. - The project includes the construction of twelve 750 kV lines and a 330 kV power transmission project, which has achieved record output levels [1]. - The project faced significant construction challenges, including crossing multiple transportation routes and existing power lines, but was completed successfully through local collaboration [2]. Group 2: Local Collaboration and Support - The State Grid Qinyang Power Supply Company prioritized local collaboration as a key political task, addressing over ten thousand issues related to land acquisition and project execution [2]. - A comprehensive service support system was established to ensure smooth project progression, highlighting the importance of local efforts in achieving project goals [2]. - The project has created a win-win situation by aligning power infrastructure development with the revitalization of the Qinyang revolutionary old area [2].

Core Viewpoint - The company held an annual performance briefing for 2024 and the first quarter of 2025, discussing its resource acquisition, project development, and financial performance, highlighting both growth opportunities and challenges in the renewable energy sector. Group 1: Resource Acquisition and Development Plans - In 2024, the company plans to acquire approximately 44 million kilowatts of new renewable resources, including 12.5 million kilowatts from the Xinjiang South Taklamakan Desert base, with an approved scale of about 12.2 million kilowatts [2] - The company is focusing on large-scale wind and solar bases in resource-rich areas and is advancing offshore wind power projects, particularly in Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, and Qinghai [3] - The company aims to implement a "wind-solar-fire-storage" integrated development model to enhance energy transition and ecological governance [6] Group 2: Financial Performance and Challenges - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decline by 14.81% in 2024 due to changes in electricity sales structure, increased depreciation, and impairment provisions totaling 1.45 billion yuan [7] - The company reported a 42 billion yuan recovery from renewable energy price additions in 2024, actively tracking fiscal fund allocations [8] - The overall financing cost for 2024 is expected to be more than 10% lower than the LPR, with a year-on-year decrease of approximately 35 basis points [9] Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The company anticipates a further release of market demand for green electricity in 2025, supported by new policies promoting renewable energy consumption [16] - The green electricity trading volume increased by 48% in 2024, although the overall price saw a decline due to market conditions [15] - The company plans to maintain a stable dividend policy, with a historical payout ratio above 30% [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4] Core Views - The lithium battery industry is expected to enter a 2-3 year upward cycle, with potential improvements in performance and valuation [6][12] - The report highlights the successful listing of CATL on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which could be the largest IPO in Hong Kong in four years, targeting a transaction scale of approximately $5 billion [6][12] - The report recommends focusing on companies involved in solid-state battery technology and suggests several key players in the lithium battery supply chain [6][12] Summary by Sections Lithium Battery Sector - The battery industry index increased by 5.31%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 3.303 percentage points [10] - CATL's stock price rose by 7.24%, while other key players like Yiwei Lithium Energy and Hunan Youneng also saw significant gains [10] - The report emphasizes the upward trend in unit profitability for lithium battery companies in Q1 2025, indicating a potential turning point in supply and demand [6][10] Energy Storage Sector - In April 2025, the total bidding capacity for energy storage projects in China reached 10.2GW/30.2GWh [26] - The average bidding price for energy storage systems has decreased, with a year-on-year decline of 29.88% [27] - The report notes the successful bidding results for a 5GWh energy storage project by State Power Investment Corporation, with significant shares awarded to leading companies [29] Electric Power Equipment Sector - The report highlights the completion of China's first "wind-solar-fire-storage integrated" large-scale comprehensive energy base, marking a significant milestone in the power grid sector [6] - The power grid sector is expected to benefit from domestic stimulus measures, with potential increases in investment due to economic downturns [6] Market Trends - The report tracks the sales of electric vehicles in Europe, noting a 30% year-on-year increase in April 2025 [16] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in Europe reached 26.1%, reflecting a 6.3 percentage point increase year-on-year [16] - The report also provides insights into the pricing trends of key materials in the lithium battery supply chain, indicating a decrease in prices for lithium carbonate and other components [19][21]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Maintain Overweight" [4] Core Viewpoints - The Shandong 136 document details a balanced approach to the entry of new energy into the market, providing stability for existing projects while enhancing competition for new projects [3][12][13] - For existing projects, the mechanism price is set at a cap of 0.3949 CNY/kWh (including tax), which aligns with the coal benchmark price in Shandong [13] - For new projects, a bidding capacity requirement of 125% is established, which increases competitive pressure and accelerates the exit of high-cost projects, pushing for efficiency and cost reduction in new energy projects [3][12][13] - The report recommends focusing on green power operators with a higher proportion of existing projects and better short-term revenue certainty, as well as high-quality flexible power sources like thermal and hydropower [3][12][13] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The report highlights a 1.92% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index and a 2.04% increase in the CITIC Power and Utilities Index during the week of May 6-9 [65][66] - The report notes a decline in coal prices to 643 CNY/ton [14] Key Projects and Developments - The Shandong provincial government has issued a detailed implementation plan for the market-oriented reform of new energy pricing, marking a significant step in the industry [3][12][13] - The report emphasizes the importance of auxiliary service market transactions and price mechanisms, as well as optimizing capacity compensation mechanisms for power generation [13] Key Stocks and Recommendations - The report recommends several stocks for investment, including: - Zhejiang Energy Power (600023.SH) with a buy rating - Anhui Energy Power (000543.SZ) with a buy rating - Guodian Power (600795.SH) with a buy rating - Huaneng International (600011.SH) with a buy rating - New Energy (688501.SH) with a buy rating - New天绿色能源 (600956.SH) with a buy rating [8][78]

Group 1: Energy Infrastructure - The Longdong-Shandong ±800 kV UHVDC project is China's first "integrated wind-solar-thermal-storage" large-scale energy delivery project, capable of transmitting over 36 billion kWh of electricity annually to Shandong, with more than 50% from green energy sources [1][2] - The project will meet approximately 4% of Shandong's annual electricity demand, significantly contributing to ecological protection and high-quality development in the Yellow River basin [1][2] Group 2: Economic Development Initiatives - Shandong has introduced 23 new policies to enhance the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) demonstration zone, focusing on comprehensive reform, major platform construction, economic and trade cooperation, and optimizing the development environment [3][4] - The policies aim to accelerate the development of the SCO demonstration zone, positioning it as a high-level open economic area [4] Group 3: Rural Development - Shandong's government has released 20 measures to promote high-quality rural industries, targeting a per capita disposable income of over 30,000 yuan for farmers by 2027 [5][6] - The focus is on developing six key agricultural sectors and enhancing the processing of agricultural products to increase value and employment opportunities [6] Group 4: Supply Chain and Industrial Upgrades - The "Ten Chains, Hundred Groups, Thousand Enterprises" initiative aims to enhance supply chain resilience and support over 100,000 small and medium-sized enterprises through a structured chain management system [7][8] - The initiative includes the identification of key industrial chains and the development of supportive policies to drive investment and technological upgrades [8] Group 5: Youth Employment and Entrepreneurship - Shandong has implemented 26 measures to promote youth employment and entrepreneurship, focusing on service systems, expanding job channels, and creating supportive environments for young people [9][10] - The measures include establishing youth employment practice bases and promoting new job opportunities tailored for young individuals [9][10]

Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasizes the implementation of the Private Economy Promotion Law through infrastructure support, effective execution, and public awareness [2] - The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security plans to add 17 new occupations, including cross-border e-commerce operation managers, and 42 new jobs, including generative AI system testers [2] Group 2 - The 2024 national property market transaction scale is projected to reach 25.42 trillion yuan [4] - The logistics price index for China's road transport in April is reported at 105 points, indicating a month-on-month recovery [4] - The first "integrated wind-solar-fire-storage" ultra-high voltage project in China has been put into operation [4] Group 3 - The China Consumers Association highlights frequent disputes over deposit refunds in the new energy vehicle industry [5]