Core Insights - The Hong Kong banking sector remains robust, with retail banks' pre-tax operating profit increasing by 13.4% in the first half of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, driven by income from foreign exchange and derivatives, as well as increased fees and commissions [1][2] - The overall return on assets for banks rose to 1.27% in the first half of 2025, up from 1.19% in the same period of 2024 [1] Banking Sector Performance - The net interest margin for retail banks narrowed from 1.51% in 2024 to 1.47% in the first half of 2025 due to a decline in Hong Kong dollar interest rates [2] - The three-month Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (HIBOR) dropped by 269 basis points to 1.68% by the end of June 2025, influenced by an expansion in the banking system's surplus liquidity [2] - The total capital ratio for locally registered authorized institutions stood at a high of 24.4% at the end of the first half of 2025, significantly above the international minimum standard of 8% [2] Asset Quality and Loan Performance - The total classified loan ratio slightly increased from 1.96% at the end of December 2024 to 1.97% by the end of June 2025, indicating manageable asset quality risks [2] - The overdue and restructured loan ratio rose from 1.55% to 1.58% during the same period, but overall asset quality remains under control [2] Household Debt and Personal Loans - Household debt grew by 1.8% in the first half of 2025, surpassing the 0.6% increase in the second half of 2024, with residential mortgage loans increasing by 1.2% due to higher property transactions [3] - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) monitors household debt closely, with most being regulated under a macroprudential framework [3] SME Loan Situation - Local corporate loans increased by 2.4% in the first half of 2025, marking the first positive growth since the first half of 2023, with notable growth in loans to the electricity, gas, and information technology sectors [4] - The HKMA and the banking sector continue to support SMEs, with special funding for SMEs exceeding HKD 390 billion [4] - The total amount of loans related to mainland China increased from HKD 387.3 billion at the end of 2024 to HKD 402.3 billion by the end of June 2025, with a decrease in the classified loan ratio from 2.37% to 2.16% [4]

东方兴业控股(00430)发布公告，预期集团于截至2025年6月30日止六个月将取得综合除税前溢利介于约 480万港元至530万港元，相比截至2024年6月30日止六个月则取得综合除税前溢利约330万港元。 集团于本期间的财务表现显著改善主要由于香港银行同业拆息(HIBOR)保持相对较低之水平，让融资成 本有所下降。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company expects a significant increase in pre-tax profit for the six months ending June 30, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024, indicating strong financial performance improvement [1] Financial Performance - The anticipated pre-tax profit for the period is projected to be between approximately HKD 280 million and HKD 320 million, a substantial increase from the HKD 167 million recorded for the six months ending June 30, 2024 [1] - The improvement in financial performance is primarily attributed to an increase in the net fair value gains of financial assets measured at fair value through profit or loss [1] - Additionally, the relatively low level of the Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (HIBOR) has contributed to a decrease in financing costs [1]

集团于本期间的财务表现显著改善主要由于香港银行同业拆息(HIBOR)保持相对较低之水平，让融资成 本有所下降。 智通财经APP讯，东方兴业控股(00430)发布公告，预期集团于截至2025年6月30日止六个月将取得综合 除税前溢利介于约480万港元至530万港元，相比截至2024年6月30日止六个月则取得综合除税前溢利约 330万港元。 ...

星展银行：3个月期港元Hibor到年底将升至2.05% 智通财经7月8日电，星展银行称，香港充裕的流动性使香港银行同业拆息(Hibor)目前处于低位，但未来 数月将逐步反弹，到年底3个月期Hibor将达到2.05%。资深经济学家Samuel Tse指出，由于美元/港元仍 位于7.85附近，香港金管局短期内将继续出手干预。3个月期HIBOR-SOFR利差超过250个基点将使港元 汇率维持在交易区间弱方。由于美元走弱，干预步伐可能仍将保持温和。美联储降息预期也将缓冲港元 利率的上行，预计1个月期Hibor也将小幅走高，到年底将达到1.55%。 ...

Group 1 - UBS forecasts a significant decline in Hang Seng Bank's (00011) earnings per share for the first half of this year due to compression in net interest income (NII) and an expected rise in expected credit loss (ECL) expenses [1] - The bank is currently trading at 1.3 times the one-year forward price-to-book ratio, with a target price of HKD 112 and an estimated dividend yield of 5.4% for 2025 based on the target price [1] - Hang Seng Bank is expected to announce a new share buyback plan alongside its earnings report on July 30, despite a weak profit outlook [1] Group 2 - UBS notes that the Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (HIBOR) has remained below 1% for a month, deviating from seasonal patterns, and predicts HIBOR will stabilize between 2% and 2.5% by year-end [2] - As a result of the low HIBOR environment, UBS has revised down its forecast for Hang Seng Bank's NII for 2025, while slightly increasing the forecast for non-interest income due to potential boosts in net fee income and trading income [2] - UBS has also slightly raised its estimate for ECL expenses for Hang Seng Bank in light of cautious views on non-performing loan (NPL) risks [2]