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特朗普担心的事发生,多国排队运出在美黄金,中国成热门存储地
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 08:12
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the global trust in the United States as a safe haven for gold is eroding, leading to a significant shift in gold storage practices among countries, with China emerging as a new safe harbor for gold reserves [3][4][5][6][7][9][11][13][15][17] Group 2 - Countries are increasingly moving their gold reserves from the United States due to a loss of trust, with Germany being one of the first to repatriate its gold, followed by nations like the Netherlands, Austria, Turkey, and Venezuela [4][5][6] - Cambodia's recent decision to transfer part of its gold reserves to a storage facility in Shenzhen, China, symbolizes a broader trend of countries reassessing their gold storage strategies amid concerns over U.S. debt and geopolitical tensions [6][13] - The U.S. is facing a credit crisis, with national debt exceeding $38 trillion and a declining ability to pay interest, leading to a loss of global trust in the dollar as a stable currency [7][9][11] Group 3 - The shift in gold storage reflects a growing trend of de-dollarization, as countries prefer to hold tangible assets like gold rather than relying on U.S. debt instruments [11][17] - China's rise as a global gold custodian is attributed to its stable economy, political independence, and robust financial system, making it an attractive option for countries looking to secure their gold [13][15] - The strategic significance of gold custody for China lies in its potential to reshape the international financial order and establish a more equitable system compared to the U.S. dollar hegemony [15][17]
上海成黄金托管新中心!东盟弃欧美选中国,人民币迎来新机遇!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-06 15:57
Core Viewpoint - The internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) is gaining momentum amid a global trend of de-dollarization, with countries increasingly seeking alternatives to the US dollar for trade payments, particularly through the launch of the digital RMB international operation center in Shanghai [1][14]. Group 1: RMB Internationalization Progress - As of January to August 2024, the amount of goods trade settled in RMB accounted for 26.5% of global cross-border trade [5]. - In August 2024, RMB's share in global payments was 4.69%, maintaining its position as the fourth largest payment currency for ten consecutive months [7]. - The Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) covers 189 countries and regions, facilitating smoother RMB circulation internationally [8]. Group 2: Challenges to RMB Internationalization - The capital account remains insufficiently open, limiting foreign investment in China's bond and stock markets due to quota restrictions [10]. - The liquidity and safety of domestic assets are lacking, with China's government bonds having a market size significantly smaller than US Treasuries [12]. - A limited number of commodities are priced in RMB, with only 4% of imported crude oil settled in RMB in 2024 [12]. Group 3: Gold as a Strategic Asset - Southeast Asian countries are increasingly storing gold in China, which signifies a shift in the global financial landscape and a competition for gold pricing power [3][19]. - The combination of digital RMB and gold provides a new pathway for RMB internationalization, allowing countries to use RMB without converting to USD [14][29]. - The Shanghai Gold Exchange is the largest physical gold trading platform globally, facilitating transactions in RMB and providing services like gold leasing and financing [25]. Group 4: Economic and Geopolitical Implications - The geopolitical climate, particularly post-Russia-Ukraine conflict, has led countries to seek safer asset storage options, with China emerging as a viable alternative [23][25]. - The RMB-gold model could potentially reduce the demand for USD in Southeast Asia by $120 billion annually if 30% of oil trade shifts to this model [31]. - The RMB-gold system aims to enhance the core functions of the RMB as a payment, safe-haven, and reserve currency, gradually breaking the dominance of the USD [33]. Group 5: Impact on Daily Life and Investment - The expansion of RMB usage in international settlements will lower transaction costs for consumers, reducing currency exchange fees [35]. - The promotion of digital RMB will simplify cross-border payments, allowing for seamless transactions without the need for large amounts of foreign currency [37]. - New investment products combining RMB and gold are emerging, offering stable returns and lower risks in the current low-interest-rate environment [40].
黄金存中国更安全?老挝先行,全球30%黄金托管或削美债500亿需求
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-06 01:37
Core Insights - The article discusses the strategic shift in global finance due to gold custody arrangements, particularly involving Southeast Asian countries moving their gold reserves to China, specifically the Shanghai Gold Exchange [1][3]. Group 1: Gold Custody and Strategic Implications - Southeast Asian countries are secretly transferring gold reserves to China, with Laos already storing 3 tons in Shanghai, indicating a significant shift in asset management strategies [1]. - The move is driven by the realization of risks associated with storing assets in foreign countries, highlighted by the U.S. freezing of Russian reserves during the Ukraine conflict [1]. - The price of gold has surged from $1,800 per ounce before the conflict to $3,800 per ounce by 2025, reflecting increased demand and strategic importance [1]. Group 2: Market Advantages of Shanghai Gold Exchange - The Shanghai Gold Exchange has become the world's largest spot gold trading market, with a trading volume of 68,000 tons in 2024, allowing for direct refining and storage in China, thus reducing costs for Southeast Asian gold producers [3]. - The integration of gold custody with the internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) creates a cycle where countries can use gold as collateral to obtain RMB for trade settlements, enhancing trade efficiency [3]. Group 3: Digital Currency and Transaction Efficiency - The introduction of digital RMB has significantly improved transaction efficiency, allowing for instant payments without fees, contrasting with traditional systems that took hours and incurred high costs [4]. - The combination of digital RMB and gold custody further reduces transaction costs and enhances the overall efficiency of cross-border trade [4]. Group 4: Energy Sector Implications - China has established agreements with Saudi Arabia and the UAE for energy transactions in RMB, allowing Southeast Asian countries to use gold stored in China to pay for energy, bypassing the U.S. dollar [6]. - If 30% of oil trade in Southeast Asia adopts this model, it could reduce annual dollar demand by up to $120 billion [6]. Group 5: Broader Economic Impact - The shift towards RMB for cross-border transactions is already benefiting ordinary consumers by reducing currency exchange costs, exemplified by savings on imported goods [7]. - Despite the U.S. dollar still holding 58% of global foreign exchange reserves, the decline in gold reserves at the New York Federal Reserve indicates a potential shift in global financial dynamics [7].
东盟将黄金交中国保存?敲响美元终极丧钟,人民币国际化关键一步
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 15:15
Core Viewpoint - The significant increase in international gold prices, from $1,800 to $3,800, indicates a shift in the global financial order, with gold being re-emphasized as a natural currency amid declining reliance on the US dollar [1][15]. Group 1: Historical Context of Dollar Dominance - The Bretton Woods system established the dollar's dominance by tying it to gold, making it the global hard currency [3]. - The US leveraged military power to enforce the "petrodollar" system, compelling oil-producing countries to transact in dollars, thus sustaining dollar hegemony [3]. - The weakening of US influence in the Middle East and the weaponization of finance have prompted countries to seek alternatives to the dollar [3][15]. Group 2: China's Role in Gold Custody - China is positioning itself as a "gold custodian" for other nations, allowing them to store sovereign gold in China, thereby enhancing its influence in the global gold market [5]. - The People's Bank of China has been accumulating gold, with reserves projected to reach 73.61 million ounces by February 2025, as a strategy to bolster the credibility of the renminbi [7]. Group 3: Renminbi's Position and Misinterpretations - Despite a reported 5.13% decrease in renminbi payments, the currency is still used in over 54% of China's trade, with many transactions bypassing SWIFT in favor of the CIPS system [9]. - The renminbi has become the third-largest financing and payment currency globally, following the euro and dollar, reflecting its growing importance [9]. Group 4: Future Financial Landscape - China's gold custody initiative is not aimed at replicating the Bretton Woods system but rather establishing a new framework for a decentralized global currency system [11]. - ASEAN countries are responding positively to China's gold custody offer, seeking to reduce dependence on the dollar and create a financial system independent of US influence [13]. - The rise in gold prices and China's actions signal a transition towards a multi-currency system, where currencies are linked to real economic value rather than centralized control [15][17].
爆雷!无法提现、实控人失联!黄金门店跑路,投资人:钱拿不回来了
21世纪经济报道· 2025-06-11 08:39
Core Viewpoint - Yongkun Gold, a local Zhejiang enterprise, has faced a sudden collapse in its investment operations, leading to significant investor losses and legal actions against the company [3][17]. Group 1: Company Overview - Yongkun Gold was established over ten years ago and claimed to offer guaranteed returns on gold investments, which built investor trust [3][12]. - The company operates both online and offline investment channels, providing various gold-related products and services [6][9]. - Yongkun Gold's parent company, Yongkun Holdings, is a comprehensive service provider in the gold industry with a registered capital of 120 million yuan [12]. Group 2: Recent Developments - As of May 20, investors reported difficulties in withdrawing funds from Yongkun Gold, and the company's customer service became unresponsive [1][3]. - By May 23, Yongkun Gold and its parent company were placed on the market supervision authority's list of abnormal operations, indicating serious operational issues [3][17]. - The physical stores of Yongkun Gold have closed, with reports of the company moving out of its locations [10][11]. Group 3: Investor Reactions - Investors expressed frustration and confusion at the company's sudden inability to fulfill withdrawal requests, leading to heated disputes with company representatives [4][6]. - Many investors had previously increased their investments based on the company's promises of guaranteed returns and successful past transactions [7][9]. Group 4: Industry Context - The collapse of Yongkun Gold is not an isolated incident; other companies in the gold investment sector have also faced similar issues, highlighting systemic risks in the industry [19][20]. - Common fraudulent practices in the gold investment sector include high promised returns and the use of "gold custody" schemes that lack proper regulatory oversight [20][21]. - Regulatory bodies have issued warnings about the risks associated with unlicensed gold investment schemes, emphasizing the importance of verifying the legitimacy of investment firms [20][21].