Core Viewpoint - Nuveen anticipates that the second half of 2025 will face dual pressures of economic slowdown and policy uncertainty, prompting investors to reassess asset allocation strategies focusing on robust fundamentals, defensive characteristics, and spread advantages to enhance return potential and mitigate risks [1][2] Global Economic Outlook - The global investment committee of Nuveen expects potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in September and December, but inflation driven by tariffs may lead to a pause in easing [1] - The European Central Bank is expected to pause after previous rate cuts, while the Bank of Japan is likely to raise rates once [1] Asset Allocation Strategy - Nuveen recommends focusing on assets driven by spreads and reducing reliance on risk-free rates, with municipal bonds attracting long-term investors due to a steep yield curve [1] - The real estate market is gradually recovering after two years of stagnation, with strong demand observed in medical office spaces, grocery retail properties, and affordable housing [1] Stock Market Insights - Large U.S. tech companies are benefiting from the expansion of AI, increased demand for data centers, and power generation, leading to an upgrade in market positioning [1] - Defensive sectors such as finance and infrastructure are highlighted, while European equities present long-term value; emerging markets are becoming less attractive due to trade policy impacts [1] Investment Strategies - Nuveen advises investors to adopt a broadly diversified and actively managed strategy to navigate policy changes and economic slowdowns [2] - Preferred loans and securities are favored for their attractive valuations and solid credit quality, while investment-grade corporate bonds are viewed less favorably due to narrowing spreads [2] Real Estate Sector Focus - Nuveen continues to explore opportunities arising from demographic and educational diversity, with a positive outlook on medical, industrial, and residential sectors [2] - The office market faces challenges, with vacancy rates expected to improve but recovery still requiring time; real estate bonds currently offer valuation advantages over real estate stocks [2] Infrastructure Investment Preferences - Nuveen prefers public-private projects, particularly in electricity, utilities, and energy storage investments [2] - Agricultural land assets are seen as an inflation hedge, although returns are expected to slow in 2025, especially for grain crops affected by tariff pressures [2]

黄仁勋最新演讲刷屏。 黄仁勋说，现在我们正在了解如何扩展AI，未来必须关注训练和扩展构建的AI模型。他介绍了AI扩展定律（scaling law）的发展演化，从预训练扩展、训练后 扩展到测试时间扩展，即"长思维"。他强调AI扩展定律加速发展，计算需求激增。 北京时间3月19日凌晨，英伟达CEO黄仁勋在加州圣何塞举行的英伟达GTC 2025上发表主题演讲。演讲聚焦英伟达的最新硬件，未来的技术路线图，以及机器 人前景等热门话题。 不过，资本市场对于这场演讲的反应似乎较为平淡。截至周二收盘，英伟达股价收跌3.43%，盘后续跌0.56%。 生成式人工智能时代到来 不同往届GTC上来就先介绍英伟达的硬通货，本次开场，黄仁勋先用约40分钟解读了Agentic AI（生成式人工智能）时代。 在他看来，英伟达踩中AI风口的十几年。AI已经经历了三代技术范式的转移。从最初的意识AI（Perception AI），到现在的生成式AI（Generative AI），再 到目前的代理式AI（Agentic AI）时代，接下来将是物理AI（Physical AI），也就是机器人的时代。 现场图片（来源：英伟达） 黄仁勋强调，Agent ...