CANSLIM行业轮动策略
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主动量化策略周报:CANSLIM 行业轮动策略 12 月配置建议:关注钢铁、银行、建筑、公用事业、电新等行业-20251201
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-01 09:00
证券研究报告 | 2025年12月01日 主动量化策略周报 CANSLIM 行业轮动策略 12 月配置建议: 关注钢铁、银行、建筑、公用事业、电新等行业 核心观点 金融工程周报 本报告对 CANSLIM 行业轮动策略的样本外表现进行跟踪,从多个维度解析 行业景气度情况并最终给出月度行业配置建议,以供投资者参考。 行业轮动因子表现 上月以来(20251103-20251128),超大单资金净流入金额占比和券商金股 行业变动因子表现较好,SUE、PB 和单季度 ROE 增速因子表现较差; 今年以来(20250102-20251128),公募重仓股动量、SUE 和分析师认可 度和因子表现较好,而成交量调节动量、公募基金持仓行业变动和超大单资 金净流入金额占比因子表现较差。 上月组合绩效回顾 上月以来(20251103-20251128),行业轮动组合收益率-1.09%,同期中 信一级行业等权指数收益率-1.16%,组合超额收益率 0.08%。 今年以来(20250102-20251031),行业轮动组合收益率 20.48%,同期中 信一级行业等权指数收益率 20.20%,组合超额收益率 0.28%。 本月组合推荐情 ...
主动量化策略周报: CANSLIM 行业轮动策略 12 月配置建议:关注钢铁、银行、建筑、公用事业、电新等行业-20251201
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-01 06:46
证券研究报告 | 2025年12月01日 主动量化策略周报 CANSLIM 行业轮动策略 12 月配置建议: 关注钢铁、银行、建筑、公用事业、电新等行业 本报告对 CANSLIM 行业轮动策略的样本外表现进行跟踪,从多个维度解析 行业景气度情况并最终给出月度行业配置建议,以供投资者参考。 行业轮动因子表现 上月以来(20251103-20251128),超大单资金净流入金额占比和券商金股 行业变动因子表现较好,SUE、PB 和单季度 ROE 增速因子表现较差; 今年以来(20250102-20251128),公募重仓股动量、SUE 和分析师认可 度和因子表现较好,而成交量调节动量、公募基金持仓行业变动和超大单资 金净流入金额占比因子表现较差。 上月组合绩效回顾 上月以来(20251103-20251128),行业轮动组合收益率-1.09%,同期中 信一级行业等权指数收益率-1.16%,组合超额收益率 0.08%。 今年以来(20250102-20251031),行业轮动组合收益率 20.48%,同期中 信一级行业等权指数收益率 20.20%,组合超额收益率 0.28%。 本月组合推荐情况 我们借鉴 CANSL ...
行业轮动策略周报:CANSLIM行业轮动策略周度配置建议:关注钢铁、银行、化工、电新和建筑等行业-20251018
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-18 13:43
Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of the CANSLIM industry rotation strategy, suggesting a focus on sectors such as steel, banking, chemicals, electric power, and construction for investment opportunities [1][4][14] - The CANSLIM composite score has shown strong performance since 2013, with an average RankIC of 11.6% and a monthly win rate of 64.7%, indicating its effectiveness in distinguishing future industry returns [5][31] Industry Rotation Factor Performance - For the period from October 9 to October 17, 2025, factors such as broker stock changes, net inflow of large orders, and analyst upgrades performed well, while volume-adjusted momentum and price-to-book (PB) ratios lagged [2][16] - Year-to-date performance shows that SUE, analyst recognition, and broker stock changes have been strong, while volume-adjusted momentum and public fund holdings have underperformed [2][16] Last Month's Portfolio Performance Review - The industry rotation portfolio yielded a return of -3.56% from October 9 to October 17, 2025, compared to -2.23% for the CITIC first-level industry equal-weight index, resulting in an excess return of -1.33% [3][21] - Year-to-date, the portfolio has returned 14.70%, while the benchmark index returned 17.59%, leading to an excess return of -2.89% [3][21] Current Portfolio Recommendations - The top five industries based on the CANSLIM composite score are steel, banking, basic chemicals, electric power and new energy, and construction [4][23] - The report provides detailed scoring metrics for each industry, highlighting the importance of various dimensions such as industry crowding, analyst expectations, and fundamental conditions [4][25] CANSLIM Industry Rotation Strategy Construction and Performance - The CANSLIM strategy has demonstrated a robust annualized return of 22.94% since 2013, outperforming the industry equal-weight benchmark by 13.80% [5][36] - The strategy's maximum drawdown is 23.75%, with an information ratio of 1.29 and a monthly win rate of 73%, indicating strong risk-adjusted performance [5][36] Strategy Overview - The CANSLIM strategy incorporates multiple dimensions including industry crowding, analyst expectations, fundamental conditions, smart money flows, price momentum, institutional views, and macroeconomic valuation adjustments [26][30] - Each dimension is quantitatively assessed to guide investment decisions, ensuring a comprehensive approach to industry rotation [26][30]
主动量化策略周报:ANSLIM行业轮动策略10月配置建议:关注钢铁、基础化工、电力设备、银行和电子等行业-20251008
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-08 12:57
证券研究报告 | 2025年10月08日 主动量化策略周报 CANSLIM 行业轮动策略 10 月配置建议: 关注钢铁、基础化工、电力设备、银行和电子等行业 本报告对 CANSLIM 行业轮动策略的样本外表现进行跟踪,从多个维度解析 行业景气度情况并最终给出月度行业配置建议,以供投资者参考。 行业轮动因子表现 上月以来(20250901-20250930),券商金股行业变动、公募重仓股动量和 SUE 因子表现较好,公募基金持仓行业变动、成交量调节动量和超大单资金 净流入金额占比因子表现较差; 今年以来(20250102-20250930),分析师认可度、SUE 和公募重仓股动 量因子表现较好,而公募基金持仓行业变动、成交量调节动量和超大单资金 净流入金额占比因子表现较差。 组合绩效:根据 CANSLIM 复合因子得分从高到低进行排序,选择得分最高 的 5 个行业等权构建组合。2013 年以来组合年化收益 22.94%,相对行业等 权基准年化超额收益 13.80%,相对最大回撤 23.75%,信息比为 1.29,收 益回撤比 0.58,月度胜率 73%,表现优异。 上月组合绩效回顾 上月以来(20250901- ...