Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another. Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a ...

Core Viewpoint - The analysis focuses on the performance and trading patterns of crude oil futures, particularly the United States Oil Fund ETF (USO), highlighting its recent underperformance and potential bullish signals. Group 1: Performance Analysis - The USO has underperformed the benchmark since late June [3] - A recent 15% correction from the peak during the Middle East crisis has occurred, with $64 acting as a significant support level [5] - The ETF is currently trading in the middle of the new July 6-month calendar range, which aligns with the 200-day moving average [3] Group 2: Technical Indicators - The momentum remains in a bullish divergence to price, indicating potential upward movement [3] - The ETF is above the 50-day moving average, with the 200-day moving average around $66.20 [4] - A move above the July calendar range high would be considered very bullish [3] Group 3: Trading Strategy - The safest trade is identified as one that clears the $68 level [5] - Holding above the $64 support level is seen as favorable for future performance [5]

• Geopolitical tensions coupled with toppish price actions and failures to break resistance levels (6050 for S&P, 3900 for MSCI World...) is lessening the momentum in stocks. On the positive side, declining realized volatilities, especially in EU & Asia, will work as an offset to the softening signalling, to keep overall positioning more or less unchanged in the coming weeks. Like in credit, CTAs are in no rush to add. • In bonds, CTAs have been moderate duration buyers ($20/25m Dv01) since our last update. ...

以下文章来源于CFC商品策略研究 ，作者CFC商品策略研究 CFC商品策略研究 . 好的研报应该提供打破经验，观念，陈规或惯例的视角，提供自我逻辑审查的意识自觉。阅读体验应该是一次历险，也许是一次漂流，它并不把你带 到任何一个安全的港湾去，但更像是提供一种类似在悬崖边临渊回眸，另做选择的逻辑启发，或自我反讽的邀请。 文 | 田亚雄 来源 | CFC商品策略研究 编辑 | 杨兰 审核 | 浦电路交易员 我用一种最保留的说法说，期货市场正进入一个行易知难的状态，做预设和行动都极端容易，但在当下变局下，过去的应对经验很可能成为某种"负 债"。在此状态中专家型单品种研究者在自己的领域里事无巨细，但之于行情的预判泯然众人。罗列过往的PPT或正简化着思想，历史经验知识提供 阐释和规范，但不能创造先例，反而经验型茧房把思维束缚在某种共识或偏见当中。6月的几大交易主题： 1、煤价托底的成色。 正值国内煤炭季节性需求窗口，截至6月5日，二十五省电厂日耗485万吨/天，周环比+7.5%，库存可用天数 24.4天，周环比-1.6天。市场提前于现货押注上行（截至6月6日，秦皇岛港动力末煤平仓价(山西产)为609元/吨，环比-0.3% ...

Core Insights - TradeCafe has appointed Huey Lin to its Board of Directors, bringing expertise in global logistics and fintech from her previous roles at Flexport, Affirm, and PayPal [1][4][5] - The appointment is timely as TradeCafe aims to digitize the agri-commodity trading ecosystem, addressing inefficiencies in the movement of agricultural products amid increasing global food security concerns and supply chain challenges [2][6] - Lin's operational experience and strategic insights are expected to enhance TradeCafe's global expansion strategy and support its mission to transform the $2 trillion global spot transaction market for physical agri-commodities [6][7] Company Overview - TradeCafe is a technology-driven global marketplace facilitating seamless transactions in the spot market for physical agri-commodities, having facilitated over $3 billion in transactions across more than 80 markets [7] - The platform offers a comprehensive suite of tools for price discovery, transaction management, and end-to-end fulfillment and logistics capabilities, positioning itself as a trusted infrastructure for agri-commodity trading [7]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The short - term nickel and stainless steel markets may continue to fluctuate. The intraday Shanghai nickel has been oscillating at the bottom. There is still short - term support in the Philippine nickel ore market, while the domestic trade benchmark price in Indonesia has slightly declined, and the premium in June has remained stable. The nickel - iron price is still on a downward trend, and due to profit pressure, the procurement intensity of upstream and downstream of nickel - iron is weak with ongoing games. The demand for stainless steel is sluggish in the off - season, some traders are selling at a discount, and the inventory reduction is slow. The nickel salt in the new energy chain has declined due to the impact of nickel prices. Future focus should be on spot trading volume and fundamental drivers [1][4] Summaries by Related Contents Nickel Price Forecast and Management Strategies - **Price Forecast**: The price range forecast for Shanghai nickel is 117,000 - 126,000 yuan/ton, with a current volatility (20 - day rolling) of 15.17% and a historical percentile of 3.2% [3] - **Inventory Management Strategies**: When the product sales price drops and there is a risk of inventory value reduction, it is recommended to short Shanghai nickel futures according to the inventory level to lock in profits and hedge against the risk of spot price decline (using the Shanghai nickel main contract, selling with a 60% hedging ratio, strategy level 2); sell call options (using over - the - counter/on - exchange options, selling with a 50% hedging ratio, strategy level 2); buy forward Shanghai nickel contracts according to the production plan to lock in production costs in advance (using far - month Shanghai nickel contracts, buying according to the procurement plan, strategy level 3) [3] - **Procurement Management Strategies**: When the company has future production procurement needs and is worried about rising raw material prices, it is recommended to sell put options (using on - exchange/over - the - counter options, selling according to the procurement plan, strategy level 1); buy out - of - the - money call options (using on - exchange/over - the - counter options, buying according to the procurement plan, strategy level 3) [3] Market Conditions - **Nickel Market**: The latest value of the Shanghai nickel main - continuous contract is 122,710 yuan/ton (unchanged), the Shanghai nickel consecutive - one contract is 122,200 yuan/ton (up 630 yuan, 0.52%), the Shanghai nickel consecutive - two contract is 122,370 yuan/ton (up 590 yuan, 0.48%), the Shanghai nickel consecutive - three contract is 122,520 yuan/ton (up 530 yuan, 0.48%), and the LME nickel 3M is 15,490 US dollars/ton (up 45 US dollars, 0.43%). The trading volume is 115,890 lots (unchanged), the open interest is 76,246 lots (unchanged), the warehouse receipts are 21,192 tons (up 35 tons, 0.17%), and the basis of the main contract is - 1,690 yuan/ton (up 490 yuan, 40.8%) [6] - **Stainless Steel Market**: The latest value of the stainless - steel main - continuous contract is 12,640 yuan/ton (unchanged), the stainless - steel consecutive - one contract is 12,680 yuan/ton (down 10 yuan, - 0.08%), the stainless - steel consecutive - two contract is 12,710 yuan/ton (up 5 yuan, 0.04%), the stainless - steel consecutive - three contract is 12,670 yuan/ton (down 45 yuan, - 0.35%). The trading volume is 76,193 lots (unchanged), the open interest is 61,030 lots (unchanged), the warehouse receipts are 121,663 tons (down 1,282 tons, - 1.04%), and the basis of the main contract is 690 yuan/ton (up 10 yuan, 1.47%) [7] Inventory Conditions - The domestic social inventory of nickel is 39,375 tons (down 2,178 tons), the LME nickel inventory is 199,092 tons (down 1,014 tons), the stainless - steel social inventory is 983.3 tons (up 15.8 tons), and the nickel pig iron inventory is 31,462 tons (up 1,907.5 tons) [8] Market Influencing Factors - **Positive Factors**: The Philippine government plans to ban nickel ore exports in June 2025, some stainless - steel plants have announced production cuts, and there is still support from the cost of nickel ore [5] - **Negative Factors**: The inventory reduction of stainless steel is slow, stainless steel has entered the traditional off - season of demand, and the demand for precursors in the new energy chain is relatively weak [5]

镍&不锈钢：短期或延续震荡局面 南华新能源&贵金属研究团队 夏莹莹 投资咨询证号：Z0016569 管城瀚 从业资格证号：F0313867 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1290号 沪镍区间预测 沪镍管理策略 | 行为导 | 情景分析 | 策略推荐 | 套保工具 | 买卖方 | 套保比例 | 策略等级（满分 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 向 | | | | 向 | | 5） | | 库存管 理 | 产品销售价格下跌，库存有减值风险 | 根据库存水平做空沪镍期货来锁定利润，对冲现货下跌风 险 | 沪镍主力合约 卖出 | | 60% | 2 | | | | | 场外/场内期 | | | | | | | 卖出看涨期权 | 权 | 卖出 | 50% | 2 | | 采购管 理 | 公司未来有生产采购需求，担心原料价格上 | 根据生产计划买入沪镍远期合约，盘面提前采购锁定生产 卖出看跌期权 | 远月沪镍合约 买入 场内/场外期 | 卖出 | 依据采购计 依据采购计 | 3 1 | | | | 成本 | | | 划 | | | | 涨 | | | ...

SOS Limited Reports 92.6% Surge in Commodity Trading Revenue Amid Strategic Pivot Cryptocurrency Mining Revenue Halves as SOS Focuses on Facility Upgrades and Commodity ExpansionNEW YORK, May 15, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- SOS Limited ("SOS" or the "Company") (NYSE: SOS) today reported its full year financial results for the twelve-months ended December 31, 2024 and that it has filed with annual report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2024 (the "Form 20-F") with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commi ...

Core Viewpoint - Blue Hat Interactive Entertainment Technology has undergone a significant strategic transformation, focusing on the gold industry, which has resulted in a substantial decrease in revenues but notable improvements in asset growth and operational efficiency [1][2]. Financial Performance - Total revenues decreased by 74.59% to $18.72 million in 2024 from $73.69 million in 2023 due to the strategic business transformation [1]. - Total assets grew by 53%, with current assets increasing by 78%, primarily driven by the acquisition of 1 ton of physical gold for approximately $66.49 million [1]. - The net loss was reduced by 56%, from $21.72 million in 2023 to $9.52 million in 2024, indicating improved operational quality [1]. - Gross margin increased from 1.6% in 2023 to 8.3% in 2024, reflecting a significant breakthrough in profit quality [2]. - Net cash outflow from operating activities decreased by 91%, from $9.77 million to $880,000, showcasing enhanced operational efficiency [2]. Strategic Focus - In 2025, the company aims to deepen its presence in the gold industry with three strategic priorities: managing and potentially expanding physical gold reserves, integrating supply chain resources, and developing a digital gold trading platform [3]. - The company seeks to create a transparent and efficient paradigm for gold trading through technology empowerment and business model innovation [3]. Company Background - Blue Hat was previously involved in communication services and AR interactive entertainment but is now transitioning to become a leading intelligent commodity trader, focusing on commodity trading [4].