Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the electronic industry [1] Core Insights - The investment logic for domestic computing power is evolving from the supply side to the demand side, with AI application demand becoming a new engine for "domestic computing power" [1] - The release of multi-modal large models marks a significant breakthrough, driving the growth of AI applications and consequently the demand for domestic computing power [5] - Key companies such as DeepSeek, Zhiyuan, and Alibaba are demonstrating advancements in AI model compatibility and performance, showcasing the collaborative capabilities of domestic computing power [1][5] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The electronic industry is experiencing a growth trajectory, with significant advancements in AI capabilities and multi-modal applications [5] - The competition is shifting from single-language intelligence to multi-modal generation and understanding capabilities, with domestic companies rapidly catching up to international standards [5] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies for cloud computing power include Cambrian, Haiguang Information, Chipone, Shengke Communication, and Zhaoyi Innovation, with a focus on companies like Aojie Technology and Yutai Micro [2] - For edge computing power, recommended companies include Amlogic, Rockchip, and Hengxuan Technology, with attention to companies like Lexin Technology [2] Key Company Valuations - Cambrian (688256) has a market cap of 554.31 billion, with a projected PE ratio of 325.55 for 2025E [7] - Haiguang Information (688041) has a market cap of 587.13 billion, with a projected PE ratio of 205.37 for 2025E [7] - Chipone (688521) has a market cap of 96.21 billion, with a projected PE ratio of -963.16 for 2025E [7] - Zhaoyi Innovation (603986) has a market cap of 142.33 billion, with a projected PE ratio of 86.01 for 2025E [7] - Amlogic (688099) has a market cap of 46.82 billion, with a projected PE ratio of 44.12 for 2025E [7] - Rockchip (603893) has a market cap of 94.89 billion, with a projected PE ratio of 89.15 for 2025E [7] - Hengxuan Technology (688608) has a market cap of 50.09 billion, with a projected PE ratio of 57.88 for 2025E [7]

申港证券近日发布电子行业研究周报：根据DeepSeek公众号，上周其DeepSeek-V3.1更 新发布，本次升级包含采用混合推理架构，一个模型同时支持思考模式与非思考模式；更高 的思考效率，可更快地输出结果，经过思维链压缩训练后，V3.1-Think在输出token数减少 20%-50%的情况下，各项任务的平均表现与R1-0528持平。 以下为研究报告摘要： 投资摘要： 市场回顾 上周（8.18-8.22）申万电子行业指数上涨8.95%，在申万31个行业中排名第2，跑赢沪深 300指数4.77%。 每周一谈：DeepSeek-V3.1发布国产算力迎发展机遇 DeepSeek-V3.1发布，强化Agent能力，国产算力迎发展机遇。根据DeepSeek公众号，上 周其DeepSeek-V3.1更新发布，本次升级包含采用混合推理架构，一个模型同时支持思考模 式与非思考模式；更高的思考效率，可更快地输出结果，经过思维链压缩训练后，V3.1- Think在输出token数减少20%-50%的情况下，各项任务的平均表现与R1-0528持平；更强的 Agent能力，通过Post-Training优化，新模型在工具使用与智 ...

Group 1: Stock Performance - Huawei's supply chain stocks surged on August 26, with companies like Helitai, Cambridge Technology, and Kaipu Cloud experiencing significant gains, including Helitai's three consecutive trading limits and Cambridge Technology's two consecutive trading limits [1] - Helitai reported a price of 3.72 with a rise of 10.06%, while Cambridge Technology reached 80.17 with a 10.00% increase [1] - Kaipu Cloud's stock price increased by 20.00% to 94.75, reflecting its partnership with Huawei [1] Group 2: Company Announcements - Huawei's supply chain company Huafeng Technology announced a record net profit of 151 million yuan for the first half of the year [1] - Huawei is set to launch a new AI SSD product on August 27, aimed at addressing challenges in AI training and inference [2] - The Huawei Connect 2025 event will take place from September 18-20, 2025, focusing on the theme of "Elevating Industry Intelligence" [2] Group 3: Technological Developments - The new AI SSD from Huawei is designed to overcome the "memory wall" issue in AI training, offering large capacity and improved data throughput efficiency [3] - AI SSDs are specifically optimized for AI workloads, featuring deep customizations in performance architecture and firmware algorithms [3] - Huawei's advancements in computing, storage, and communication may enhance the efficiency of computing resource allocation, potentially accelerating the penetration of domestic computing solutions [3]

Group 1 - DeepSeek released DeepSeek-V3.1, utilizing UE8M0 FP8 Scale parameter precision, designed for the upcoming domestic chip [1][3] - Multiple stocks in the computing sector surged, with notable increases such as 6.29% for SMIC and 17.19% for Haiguang Information [1] - Cambrian Technology, a major domestic AI chip company, reported significant revenue growth, achieving 11.11 billion yuan in Q1 2024, up from 0.26 billion yuan year-on-year [3] Group 2 - Several AI chip manufacturers, including Moer Technology and Suiyuan Technology, support FP8 precision computing, enhancing performance by 20%-30% in large model training [4] - The domestic computing power industry is seeing increased utilization of domestic chips, with companies like iFlytek using fully domestic computing power for large model training [4][5] - Recent reports from securities firms indicate a stable growth in the semiconductor supply chain, with rising wafer foundry capacity and a positive outlook for the semiconductor market [5]

Group 1 - The Chinese computing power industry is expected to see significant developments and events in 2025, including various conferences and expos focused on data and digital economy [1][2][5] - Major companies like Alibaba, Huawei, and Tencent are scheduled to release their financial reports and host developer conferences in 2025, indicating a busy year for the tech sector [2][3] - The 2025 China International Big Data Industry Expo and the World Internet Conference are among the key events that will showcase advancements in computing power and digital technologies [1][5] Group 2 - The timeline for major events includes the China International Industrial Expo and the Huawei Developer Conference, which are expected to attract significant attention from industry stakeholders [1][2] - The anticipated financial reports from leading companies will provide insights into their performance and strategies in the evolving digital landscape [2][3] - The focus on computing power and digital economy at these events highlights the growing importance of technology in driving economic growth in China [1][5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent rotation in the investment focus towards domestic computing power, indicating a shift in investor sentiment and market dynamics [1][2]. Group 1 - Investors previously expressed concerns about the lack of movement in the semiconductor sector and AI applications in software and media [1]. - The current market behavior reflects an extreme rotation, suggesting rapid changes in investment strategies and sector focus [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Positive" and is maintained [9] Core Insights - The industry revenue for 2024 is expected to see a slight increase, with a growth rate at a historical low. The total revenue is projected to reach 699.88 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%, significantly lower than the compound annual growth rate of 5.8% from 2020 to 2023 [4][19] - In 2025 Q1, the industry revenue continues to grow with a recovery in growth rate, totaling 139.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.5% [5][55] - The profit margin is under pressure due to weak demand, with the gross margin for 2024 at 32.3%, down 1.1 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be -140 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 101% [4][21] - The AI sector continues to show strong demand, while the government sector (G-end) is under pressure but shows initial signs of recovery in 2025 Q1. The B-end demand remains stable [6][78] Summary by Sections 2024 Annual Report Overview - The total revenue for the computer industry in 2024 is expected to be 699.88 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 0.9% year-on-year, indicating a significant slowdown compared to previous years [4][19] - The gross margin is projected to decline to 32.3%, reflecting increased competition and pressure on pricing [21] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be -140 million yuan, indicating a severe decline in profitability [21] 2025 Q1 Report Overview - The total revenue for 2025 Q1 is projected to be 139.29 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.5% [5][55] - The gross margin for 2025 Q1 is expected to be 31.2%, down 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, indicating ongoing pressure on profitability [59] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to improve to -470 million yuan, a year-on-year improvement of 80.9% [59][61] Industry Segmentation - The AI sector continues to experience high demand, with revenue growth in IT services, data processing, and artificial intelligence expected to persist [6][78] - The government sector shows initial signs of recovery in 2025 Q1, although it faced negative growth in 2024 [6][78] - The B-end demand remains stable, with certain sectors benefiting from policy support and industrial transformation [6][78] Investment Recommendations - Focus on sectors expected to see early improvements, including cloud infrastructure, domestic computing power, AI agents, and domestic innovation [7]

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨专题报告丨软件与服务 [Table_Title] 重仓超配回暖，拥抱 AI 趋势--计算机行业 2025Q1 基金持仓分析 报告要点 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 宗建树 宋浪 SAC：S0490520030004 SFC：BUX668 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Summary] 2024Q4 长江计算机一级行业基金重仓持股的市值总和约 412.9 亿（2024Q4 为 326.2 亿，环 比提升约 86.8 亿），对应计算机持仓占比为 3.1%，环比 2024Q4 提升 0.6pct。近一年以来 (2024Q2~2025Q1)基金重仓配置计算机的比例直线上升，分季度分别为 1.8%、2.0%、2.5%、 3.1%，25Q1 重仓比例处于 2010 年以来的 42%分位值。值得注意地是，近一年计算机板块重 仓超配比例分别为-2.6%、-3.0%、-3.1%、-2.8%，25Q1 季度重仓超配比例反转向上。展望未 来，建议关注基本面有望率先迎来改善的赛道：云基础资源、国产算力、AI A ...