Downturn Resilience
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How Low Can AMD Stock Go?
Forbes· 2025-12-15 17:45
Lisa Su, chairwoman and CEO of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), delivers the opening keynote speech at Computex 2024, Taiwan's premier tech expo, in Taipei on June 3, 2024. (Photo by I-Hwa CHENG / AFP) (Photo by I-HWA CHENG/AFP via Getty Images)AFP via Getty ImagesAdvanced Micro Devices (AMD) shares have decreased by 18.6% over the course of 21 trading days. This recent downturn stems from revived worries concerning intense competition in AI and Oracle's capital expenditure troubles, yet steep declines such as ...
Intel Drops, But How Much Worse Can It Get?
Forbes· 2025-12-08 16:55
SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA - JULY 16: The Intel logo is displayed on a sign in front of Intel headquarters on July 16, 2025 in Santa Clara, California. Intel is laying off nearly 4,000 employees in offices across the United States in the coming weeks as part of a company-wide cost-cutting push led by new CEO Lip-Bu Tan. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)Getty ImagesIntel (INTC) stock decreased by 7.4% within a single day. This recent decline indicates renewed worries about Intel maintaining its networking ...
What If OPEN Stock Plummets?
Forbes· 2025-12-02 15:00
Core Insights - Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) stock has experienced an 8.2% decline in a single day, raising concerns about the company's resilience amid shifting real estate conditions and challenges in capital-intensive iBuying [2] - The company is valued at $7 billion with $4.7 billion in revenue, currently trading at $7.14, indicating a very weak operational performance and low valuation [2][3] Financial Performance - Revenue growth over the last 12 months is reported at -4.5%, with an operating margin of -4.3% [2] - The company's Debt to Equity ratio stands at 0.3, and the Cash to Assets ratio is 0.36, reflecting its liquidity position [2] Valuation Metrics - Opendoor Technologies stock is trading at a P/E multiple of -18.7 and a P/EBIT multiple of -32.7 [8] - Historically, the stock has returned a median of -37.3% within a year after sharp declines since 2010 [8] Stock Performance Analysis - The stock has seen a dramatic decline of 97.3% from its peak of $35.88 on February 11, 2021, to $0.97 on December 27, 2022, while the S&P 500 experienced a peak-to-trough drop of only 25.4% during the same period [9] - The highest price achieved since the decline was $10.52 on September 11, 2025, with the current trading price at $7.14 [9] - The stock also declined by 41.3% from a high of $26.48 on October 14, 2020, to $15.55 on November 2, 2020, compared to a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500, although it fully recovered to its pre-crisis peak by December 9, 2020 [9] Market Resilience Consideration - Concerns arise regarding the stock's resilience if the market experiences a downturn, with potential further declines of 20-30% to $5 being a critical threshold for investor confidence [4]
How Low Can Oracle Stock Sink?
Forbes· 2025-11-25 15:40
Core Insights - Oracle shares have decreased by 29.3% over the past 21 trading days, raising concerns about stagnant cloud profit margins and AI investment risks [2] - The company is valued at $566 billion with $59 billion in revenue, currently trading at $200.28, and reported a 9.7% revenue growth over the last 12 months with an operating margin of 31.6% [2] - Oracle's stock has shown resilience during past economic downturns, outperforming the S&P 500 in terms of decline extent and recovery speed [3] Financial Performance - Oracle's current valuation metrics include a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 45.5 and a price-to-EBIT (P/EBIT) ratio of 31.3 [5] - The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 and a cash-to-assets ratio of 0.06, indicating strong liquidity [2] Historical Stock Performance - During the 2022 inflation shock, Oracle stock experienced a 41.1% decline from a peak of $103.65 on December 15, 2021, to $61.07 on September 30, 2022, but fully rebounded by May 25, 2023 [6] - The stock fell 28.6% from a peak of $55.73 on February 12, 2020, to $39.80 on March 12, 2020, recovering to its pre-crisis peak by July 2, 2020 [6] - In the 2018 correction, Oracle stock saw a 19.2% decline from a peak of $52.97 on March 9, 2018, to $42.82 on June 20, 2018, and fully recovered by March 13, 2019 [7] - During the 2008 global financial crisis, the stock fell 41.1% from a peak of $23.52 on August 8, 2008, to $13.85 on March 9, 2009, but regained its pre-crisis high by December 18, 2009 [7]
Can Twist Bioscience Drop More?
Forbes· 2025-11-17 14:25
Core Insights - Twist Bioscience (TWST) stock has experienced a significant decline of 10.1% in one day, raising concerns about potential deeper issues beyond temporary weakness [2] - The company is valued at $1.6 billion with a revenue of $362 million, and its stock is currently trading at $26.87 [2] - Revenue growth over the past year is reported at 22.7%, but the operating margin stands at -39.3% [2] - The stock is trading at a P/E multiple of -18.9 and a P/EBIT multiple of -9.5, indicating moderate operational performance and valuation, leading to it being considered fairly priced [3] Financial Position - The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 and a cash-to-assets ratio of 0.39, suggesting a strong liquidity position [2] - TWST stock has historically underperformed compared to the S&P 500 during economic downturns, with a notable decline of 94.5% from its peak of $207.97 on January 20, 2021, to $11.49 on May 2, 2023 [7] - The stock has not yet returned to its pre-crisis high, with the highest price since then being $58.88 on July 23, 2024 [7] Market Performance - The stock dropped 43.9% from a high of $35.15 on March 6, 2020, to $19.71 on March 18, 2020, compared to a 33.9% decline for the S&P 500 [7] - In December 2018, TWST stock declined by 47.6% from a peak of $31.08 to $16.30, while the S&P 500 experienced a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8% [8] - Despite these declines, the stock has shown the ability to fully rebound to its pre-crisis peaks in previous instances [8]
Salesforce Stock: Buy Or Wait?
Forbes· 2025-11-07 14:30
Core Insights - Salesforce (CRM) shares have decreased by 5.3% in one day, influenced by a broader decline in technology indices and insider share sales [1] - The stock is currently trading at $239.27, with a market capitalization of $229 billion and revenue of $40 billion [7] - Historical trends suggest that buying during dips can be beneficial, as the stock has returned a median of 60.5% within a year after significant dips since 2010 [7] Company Overview - Salesforce provides customer relationship management technology and a platform that supports connected experiences across various industries, including financial services, healthcare, and manufacturing [5] - The company has shown revenue growth of 8.3% over the last 12 months, with an operating margin of 21.2% [7] Financial Metrics - Salesforce has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.05 and a Cash to Assets ratio of 0.16, indicating strong liquidity [7] - The stock is currently trading at a P/E multiple of 34.3 and a P/EBIT multiple of 27.3 [7] Historical Performance - CRM stock experienced a decline of 58.6% from a high of $309.96 on November 8, 2021, to $128.27 on December 16, 2022, while the S&P 500 had a peak-to-trough drop of 25.4% during the same period [8] - The stock fully rebounded to its pre-crisis peak by March 1, 2024, and surged to a peak of $367.87 on December 4, 2024 [8] - In previous downturns, CRM stock has shown resilience, recovering fully from declines of 35.7% during the Covid pandemic and 24.8% during the 2018 correction [10]
Seagate Stock Declined 13% In A Week. Have You Assessed The Risk?
Forbes· 2025-10-09 14:30
Core Insights - Seagate Technology (STX) stock has decreased by 12.6% over the past 5 trading days, raising concerns about its valuation and potential investment decisions [1][3] - The company plans to lay off 3,000 employees as part of a restructuring plan aimed at saving $110 million annually [3] - STX has shown a tendency to underperform compared to the S&P 500 during economic downturns, indicating potential risks for investors [3][8] Company Performance - Seagate Technology is valued at $48 billion with current revenue of $9.1 billion, trading at $224.35 [7] - The company has experienced a revenue growth of 38.9% over the last 12 months and maintains an operating margin of 21.1% [7] - STX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.1 and a Cash to Assets ratio of 0.11, indicating strong liquidity [7] Valuation Metrics - The stock is currently trading at a P/E multiple of 32.8 and a P/EBIT multiple of 26.3, suggesting it may be overvalued [7] - Historically, STX has provided median returns of 65.7% within a year following significant dips since 2010 [7] Historical Performance During Crises - STX stock dropped 58.2% from a peak of $116.02 on January 4, 2022, to $48.49 on November 3, 2022, while the S&P 500 saw a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% [8] - The stock fully recovered to its pre-crisis peak by May 27, 2025, and reached a maximum of $256.84 on October 1, 2025, currently valued at $224.35 [8] - In previous crises, STX stock has shown significant declines, such as a 35.6% drop during the 2020 Covid pandemic and an 89.1% drop during the 2008 financial crisis, but it has historically recovered to pre-crisis levels [10]
AMD Stock Increased 30% Over A Week. Have You Thoroughly Assessed The Risk?
Forbes· 2025-10-08 14:35
Core Insights - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock has increased by 30.7% over the past 5 trading days, raising concerns about its valuation and potential risks of a decline [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $343 billion and reported $30 billion in revenue, with a revenue growth of 27.2% over the last 12 months [4] - AMD's stock has historically underperformed compared to the S&P 500 during economic downturns, indicating potential vulnerability [2][5] Financial Performance - AMD's operating margin is currently at 8.3%, and the stock is trading at a P/E multiple of 121.1 and a P/EBIT multiple of 138.6 [4] - The stock experienced a significant drop of 65.4% from a high of $161.91 on November 29, 2021, to $55.94 on October 14, 2022, while the S&P 500 saw a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% during the same period [5] - Despite past declines, AMD has shown resilience, fully regaining its pre-crisis peak by January 18, 2024, and reaching a high of $211.51 on October 7, 2025 [5] Historical Context - During the COVID-19 pandemic, AMD stock fell 34.3% from a high of $58.90 on February 19, 2020, to $38.71 on March 16, 2020, compared to a 33.9% decline for the S&P 500, but it recovered to its pre-crisis peak by July 22, 2020 [7] - In 2018, AMD stock decreased by 49.1% from a high of $32.72 on September 14, 2018, to $16.65 on December 24, 2018, while the S&P 500 had a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8%, with AMD recovering its peak by June 10, 2019 [7] - The stock experienced a dramatic decline of 91.2% from a high of $20.35 on January 1, 2007, to $1.80 on November 25, 2008, compared to a 56.8% decline for the S&P 500, but it fully recovered by August 21, 2018 [7]
Buy Or Fear Carnival Stock?
Forbes· 2025-09-30 13:10
Core Insights - Carnival's stock (NYSE: CCL) fell 4% on Monday and has decreased by 9.5% over the past 21 trading days despite better-than-expected quarterly results, primarily due to weaker forecasts for net yield, a key metric for revenue from passengers [1] Financial Performance - Carnival is valued at $39 billion with $26 billion in revenue, currently trading at $29.40 [7] - The company has experienced a revenue growth of 7.1% over the last 12 months and maintains an operating margin of 16.4% [7] - Carnival's stock has historically returned a median of 9.1% within a year following sharp declines since 2010 [7] Stock Performance and Market Comparison - The stock has seen significant declines in the past, including a drop of 79.6% from a peak of $31.31 on June 2, 2021, to $6.38 on October 10, 2022, compared to a peak-to-trough drop of 25.4% for the S&P 500 [8] - The stock fully rebounded to its pre-Crisis peak by August 26, 2025, and has since risen to a peak of $32.49 on August 28, 2025, currently trading at $29.40 [8] - Historical performance shows that Carnival's stock has consistently underperformed compared to the S&P 500 during various economic downturns, both in terms of the extent of decline and recovery speed [4] Debt and Liquidity - Carnival displays a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.72 and a Cash to Assets ratio of 0.03, indicating its financial leverage and liquidity position [7]
Constellation Brands: How Low Can STZ Stock Go?
Forbes· 2025-09-11 13:45
Core Insights - Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ) has experienced a 15.3% decline in shares over the last 21 trading days due to a lowered fiscal 2026 sales and earnings outlook, primarily driven by decreased demand for its beers among the Hispanic population in the U.S. [2] Group 1: Company Performance - Constellation Brands is a $25 billion company generating $10 billion in revenue, with shares currently priced at $142.90 [6] - The company reported a last 12-month revenue growth of -0.5% and an operating margin of 31.7% [6] - The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.46, indicating a relatively low level of debt, while the cash-to-assets ratio is extremely low [6] Group 2: Historical Stock Performance - During the 2022 inflation shock, STZ's stock fell 20.1% from a high of $261.05 on December 2, 2022, to $208.68 on January 5, 2023, compared to a 25.4% decline for the S&P 500 [7] - The stock fully regained its pre-crisis peak by July 19, 2023, and reached a high of $272.80 on July 31, 2023, before currently trading at $142.90 [7] - In the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, STZ fell 49.3% from a high of $208.34 on February 20, 2020, to $105.64 on March 23, 2020, while the S&P 500 experienced a 33.9% decline [9] - The stock fully recovered to its pre-crisis peak by December 3, 2020 [9]