Core Insights - U.S. stock indices rose over 1.5% on August 22, 2025, following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's indication of a potential interest rate cut next month, leading to increased trader optimism and a notable rise in Wall Street [1][10] Investment Strategy - Investors are encouraged to consider low-leverage stocks such as NatWest Group, Sterling Infrastructure, Luxfer Holdings, Evercore, and Hillman Solutions Corp. as safer investment options due to their lower risk profile [2][10] - The focus on low-leverage stocks is based on the understanding that companies with excessive debt financing may face significant losses during economic downturns [5][6] Low-Leverage Stocks - Leverage refers to the practice of borrowing capital for operations and expansion, typically through debt financing, which can pose risks if returns do not exceed interest costs [4][5] - A lower debt-to-equity ratio indicates improved solvency and reduced financial risk for a company, making it a crucial metric for investors [7][9] Company Highlights - **NatWest Group (NWG)**: Announced a £140 million lending for essential upgrades to the UK's Haweswater Aqueduct, with a projected 20.1% sales improvement for 2025 and a long-term earnings growth rate of 10.9% [15][16] - **Sterling Infrastructure (STRL)**: Reported a 21% year-over-year revenue increase and a 40.8% surge in earnings per share for Q2 2025, with a projected 45.9% earnings improvement for 2025 [17][18] - **Luxfer Holdings (LXFR)**: Achieved a 5.8% increase in adjusted net sales and a 25% rise in adjusted earnings per share for Q2 2025, with a long-term earnings growth rate of 8% [19][20] - **Evercore (EVR)**: Reported a 20.7% increase in adjusted revenues and a 30.4% rise in earnings for Q2 2025, with a projected 15.9% sales improvement for 2025 [20][21] - **Hillman Solutions (HLMN)**: Experienced a 6.2% sales increase and a 6.3% growth in adjusted earnings per share for Q2 2025, with a projected 6.6% sales improvement for 2025 [22][23]

Core Insights - Major U.S. stock indices experienced a decline of nearly 1% on August 5, 2025, due to weaker-than-expected services data and ongoing tariff uncertainties, particularly with Trump threatening tariffs as high as 250% on pharmaceuticals [1][10] - Despite market volatility, low-leverage stocks are highlighted as safer investment options during economic uncertainty, with specific companies recommended for their strong earnings growth and low debt levels [2][10] Market Overview - The U.S. stock market is currently facing challenges due to tariff-related uncertainties and weaker economic data, leading to a lack of confidence among investors [2][10] - The recent wave of corporate earnings that exceeded estimates has been overshadowed by tariff concerns, impacting overall market optimism [1] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to consider low-leverage stocks as a protective measure against potential economic downturns, with a focus on companies that exhibit solid earnings growth and lower debt-to-equity ratios [6][9] - The debt-to-equity ratio is emphasized as a critical metric for assessing financial risk, with lower ratios indicating better solvency [7][9] Recommended Low-Leverage Stocks - **NatWest Group (NWG)**: Collaborating with Google Cloud to enhance growth, with a projected 20.1% sales improvement for 2025 and a long-term earnings growth rate of 10.9% [15][16] - **Zions Bancorporation (ZION)**: Reported a 9% year-over-year increase in net interest income, with a 5% expected earnings growth for 2025 [17][18] - **Luxfer Holdings (LXFR)**: Achieved a 5.8% increase in adjusted net sales and a 25% rise in adjusted earnings per share, with a long-term earnings growth rate of 8% [19][20] - **Kingstone Companies (KINS)**: Declared a quarterly cash dividend, indicating strong financial health, with a projected 37.9% improvement in both sales and earnings for 2025 [21][22] - **Ingredion Inc. (INGR)**: Reported a 1% increase in adjusted operating income, with a long-term earnings growth rate of 11% and a 1% sales improvement expected for 2025 [23][24]

Market Overview - Wall Street ended the first day of July 2025 on a mixed note, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq falling while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained slightly [1] - The contrasting movements in the major stock indices were influenced by opposing forces, including a feud between President Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk, and the U.S. Senate's passage of Trump's tax bill aimed at stimulating economic growth [2] Investment Opportunities - Amid market uncertainty, there is a potential opportunity to invest in low-leverage stocks that are not expensive and can provide a protective shield during turbulent times [3] - Suggested low-leverage stocks include Novartis (NVS), Alamo Group (ALG), ArcelorMittal (MT), Bilibili (BILI), and Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) [3][10] Low-Leverage Stocks - Low-leverage stocks are characterized by a lower debt-to-equity ratio, indicating reduced financial risk and improved solvency [7][8] - Investing in low-leverage stocks is recommended to avoid significant losses during economic downturns [6][7] Company Highlights - **Novartis (NVS)**: Recently completed the acquisition of Regulus Therapeutics, enhancing its drug portfolio. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NVS's 2025 sales suggests a 7.3% improvement from 2024, with a long-term earnings growth rate of 7.9% [15][16] - **Alamo Group (ALG)**: Completed the acquisition of Ring-O-Matic, expanding its product offerings. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ALG's 2025 earnings indicates a 7.2% year-over-year improvement [17][18] - **ArcelorMittal (MT)**: Signed an agreement to sell operations in Bosnia and Herzegovina, allowing a focus on higher-growth areas. The company has a long-term earnings growth rate of 49.8% [19] - **Bilibili (BILI)**: Reported a 24% year-over-year revenue increase and a 58% improvement in gross profit for Q1 2025. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its 2025 sales indicates a 12.1% improvement from 2024 [20][21] - **Sterling Infrastructure (STRL)**: Announced the acquisition of CEC Facilities Group, enhancing its service portfolio in high-growth markets. The company has a long-term earnings growth rate of 15% [22][23]

Market Overview - Major U.S. stock indices ended May 13 on a higher note due to easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China, along with softer-than-expected inflation data [1] - The two nations agreed to a 90-day tariff pause, which has contributed to increased investor optimism [1] Investment Strategy - Positive market sentiment may encourage investors to trade on Wall Street, but the sustainability of this rebound is uncertain due to the temporary nature of the tariff pause and changing global market dynamics [2] - To mitigate potential losses during market turmoil, it is advisable to select low-leverage stocks such as 1st Source (SRCE), Kingstone Companies (KINS), MasTec (MTZ), Dorman Products (DORM), and Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) [2] Understanding Leverage - Leverage refers to the practice of borrowing capital for operations and expansion, typically through debt financing [4] - Excessive debt financing can lead to significant losses, making it crucial for investors to avoid companies with high debt levels [5] Debt-to-Equity Ratio - The debt-to-equity ratio is a key metric for assessing a company's financial risk, with a lower ratio indicating better solvency [7] - Companies with high debt-to-equity ratios may face challenges during economic downturns, despite strong earnings growth [8] Stock Selection Criteria - Stocks should have a debt-to-equity ratio lower than the industry median, a current price of at least $10, and an average 20-day trading volume of 50,000 or more [11] - Additional criteria include a percentage change in EPS greater than the industry median, a VGM Score of A or B, estimated one-year EPS growth greater than 5%, and a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 [12] Company Highlights - **1st Source (SRCE)**: A bank holding company with a net income of $37.52 million for Q1 2025, up 27.38% year-over-year, and a return on average assets of 1.72% [14][15] - **Kingstone Companies (KINS)**: A property and casualty insurance holding company with a 51% year-over-year increase in net premium earned and a 125% surge in EPS for Q1 2025 [16][17] - **MasTec (MTZ)**: An infrastructure construction company with a 6% year-over-year revenue increase and a projected 54.9% improvement in earnings for 2025 [18] - **Dorman Products (DORM)**: A supplier of automotive replacement parts with an 8.3% increase in net sales and a 54% rise in adjusted EPS for Q1 2025 [19][20] - **Sterling Infrastructure (STRL)**: A company specializing in E-Infrastructure and building solutions, reporting a 7% revenue increase and a 29% surge in adjusted EPS for Q1 2025 [21]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the stock market, highlighting the positive performance of major indices due to strong earnings expectations from tech companies, while also emphasizing the importance of investing in low-leverage stocks to mitigate risks during market volatility [1][2]. Group 1: Market Overview - All three major stock indices of Wall Street ended positively on April 24, driven by better-than-expected earnings anticipation from tech giants like Alphabet and Intel [1]. - Investors remain cautious due to recent tariff announcements by U.S. President Trump, which have caused volatility in the global stock market [1][2]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to focus on low-leverage stocks to minimize risks during market downturns [2][6]. - Low-leverage stocks are characterized by lower debt-to-equity ratios, which indicate improved solvency and reduced financial risk [7][9]. Group 3: Stock Selection Criteria - The article outlines specific criteria for selecting low-leverage stocks, including: - Debt/Equity less than the industry median [11]. - Current price of at least $10 [11]. - Average 20-day volume of at least 50,000 shares [11]. - Positive earnings growth compared to the industry median [11]. - VGM Score of A or B combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 [12]. - Estimated one-year EPS growth greater than 5% [12]. Group 4: Company Highlights - **Bilibili (BILI)**: Reported 104 million daily active users in 2024, with a projected 11% sales improvement for 2025 and a Zacks Rank of 2 [13][14]. - **Kingstone Companies (KINS)**: Announced a $70 million agreement to provide replacement policies in New York, with a projected 37.9% sales improvement for 2025 and a Zacks Rank of 1 [15]. - **Engie S.A. (ENGIY)**: Secured a 10-year extension for nuclear reactors, leading to a projected 19.6% earnings improvement for 2025 and a Zacks Rank of 1 [16]. - **ASML Holding (ASML)**: Achieved a 46.3% year-over-year increase in net sales and a 92.9% increase in earnings per share, with a projected 21.5% sales improvement for 2025 and a Zacks Rank of 2 [17][18]. - **Resmed (RMD)**: Reported an 8% revenue increase and a 13% surge in adjusted net income, with a projected 9% sales improvement for fiscal 2025 and a Zacks Rank of 2 [19].