证券研究报告 2026 年 2 月 25 日 星期三 【A 股市场大势研判】 A 股马年开门红 市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 4117.41 | 0.87% | 35.34 | | | 深证成指 | 14291.57 | 1.36% | 191.38 | | | 沪深 300 | 4707.54 | 1.01% | 47.14 | | | 创业板 | 3308.26 | 0.99% | 32.31 | | | 科创 50 | 1465.37 | -0.34% | -4.97 | | | 北证 50 | 1535.43 | 0.37% | 5.66 | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万一级涨幅前五 | | | 申万一级跌幅前五 | 热点板块 n | 涨幅前五 | 热点板块跌幅前五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 石油石化 | 5.53% | 传媒 | -3.20 ...

Core Viewpoint - Transsion Holdings has experienced a decline in stock price and profitability, with a notable drop in revenue and net profit for the first nine months of 2025 compared to the previous year [2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On January 23, Transsion Holdings' stock rose by 2.03%, reaching 63.43 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 371 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.51%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 73.02 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has decreased by 4.13%, with a 4.18% drop over the last five trading days, an 8.21% decline over the last 20 days, and an 18.45% decrease over the last 60 days [1]. - The net inflow of main funds was 24.63 million CNY, with large orders accounting for 27.31% of purchases and 24.06% of sales [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Transsion Holdings reported a revenue of 49.54 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.33%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.15 billion CNY, down 44.97% year-on-year [2]. - Cumulative cash dividends since the A-share listing amount to 13.23 billion CNY, with 10.62 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Transsion Holdings increased to 25,600, a rise of 13.86%, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 12.18% to 44,576 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 19.84 million shares, a decrease of 12.34 million shares from the previous period [3].

Core Viewpoint - Transsion Holdings experienced a decline in stock price, with a current trading price of 67.12 yuan per share and a market capitalization of 77.268 billion yuan, indicating a challenging market environment for the company [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Transsion Holdings reported a revenue of 49.543 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.33% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 2.148 billion yuan, showing a significant year-on-year decline of 44.97% [2]. Stock Market Activity - As of January 15, 2025, Transsion Holdings' stock price has increased by 1.45% year-to-date, but has seen a decline of 1.76% over the past 20 days and 12.23% over the past 60 days [1]. - The trading volume on January 15, 2025, was 5.44 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.69% [1]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Transsion Holdings increased to 25,600, a rise of 13.86% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 12.18% to 44,576 shares [2]. Dividend Distribution - Since its A-share listing, Transsion Holdings has distributed a total of 13.230 billion yuan in dividends, with 10.620 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the fourth largest circulating shareholder, holding 19.844 million shares, a decrease of 12.3365 million shares from the previous period [3]. - E Fund's SSE STAR 50 ETF and Huaxia's SSE STAR 50 Component ETF were also among the top shareholders, with both experiencing reductions in their holdings [3].

Group 1 - The MLOps concept has seen a rise of 4.62%, ranking fifth among concept sectors, with 15 stocks increasing in value, including Keda Guochuang which hit the daily limit of 20% [1] - Top gainers in the MLOps sector include Tuorisi, Xinghuan Technology, and Runhe Software, with increases of 15.22%, 11.04%, and 6.98% respectively [1] - The sector experienced a net inflow of 1.32 billion yuan, with eight stocks receiving net inflows, and five stocks exceeding 50 million yuan in net inflow [2] Group 2 - The leading stock in terms of net inflow is Tuorisi, which saw a net inflow of 816 million yuan, followed by Keda Guochuang and Runhe Software with net inflows of 378 million yuan and 354 million yuan respectively [2] - The net inflow ratios for Tuorisi, Keda Guochuang, and Yuxin Technology are 11.23%, 7.09%, and 6.98% respectively, indicating strong investor interest [3] - The trading turnover rates for the top stocks in the MLOps sector include Tuorisi at 29.20%, Keda Guochuang at 38.38%, and Runhe Software at 14.22% [3]

Group 1 - The cloud office concept rose by 4.52%, ranking 6th among concept sectors, with 43 stocks increasing, including Guangyun Technology which hit the daily limit up by 20% [1] - Notable gainers in the sector included Tianyuan Dike, Huichang Technology, and Liandi Information, with increases of 18.61%, 17.02%, and 13.48% respectively [1] - The sector saw a net inflow of 1.662 billion yuan, with 27 stocks receiving net inflows, and 7 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflow, led by People’s Daily with 683 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - The top three stocks by net inflow ratio were People’s Daily at 22.86%, Tianyuan Dike at 21.02%, and Geer Software at 18.31% [3] - The trading volume for People’s Daily was 68.281 million yuan, while Tianyuan Dike had a trading volume of 58.546 million yuan [3] - Guangyun Technology had a trading volume of 31.964 million yuan with a daily increase of 20% [4]

北京商报讯（记者 马换换 王蔓蕾）1月14日，A股三大股指开盘集体震荡走高，上证综指剑指4200点。 盘面上，MLOps概念、Kimi概念、拼多多概念等板块涨幅居前，仅银行、保险、航空机场、能源金属 四大板块飘绿。 截至当日午间收盘，上证综指、深证成指、创业板指分别收涨1.2%、1.98%、2.24%，分别报4188.24 点、14449.57点、3396.35点。 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market has shown strong performance with the Shanghai Composite Index recording a 17-day consecutive rise, closing at 4165.29 points, up by 1.09% [1] - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached a historical high of 3.64 trillion yuan, marking a significant increase in market liquidity [4] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors include Media (up 7.80%), Computer (up 7.26%), and National Defense & Military Industry (up 5.66%) [1] - Conversely, the sectors with the poorest performance were Oil & Petrochemicals (down 1.00%), Coal (down 0.47%), and Real Estate (down 0.29%) [1] Concept Indices - The leading concept indices were Sora Concept (up 10.43%), MLOps Concept (up 9.88%), and AI Corpus (up 9.18%) [2] - The underperforming concept indices included Rental and Sale Rights (down 0.08%) and Animal Vaccines (down 0.04%) [2] Policy Developments - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has issued guidelines to enhance the planning and investment direction of government investment funds, aiming for more precise management and improved efficiency in fund utilization [3] - The NDRC's new measures are expected to significantly impact the effectiveness of fiscal funds and guide social capital towards national strategic goals [3] Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the strong market performance will continue, driven by factors such as the appreciation of the yuan, increased foreign capital inflow, and the demand for insurance funds [4] - It is suggested to focus on sectors like non-ferrous metals, TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), machinery equipment, and coal for potential investment opportunities [4]

Group 1: Strong Individual Stocks - As of January 12, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.09% to close at 4165.29 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.75% to 14366.91 points, and the ChiNext Index climbed by 1.82% to 3388.34 points [1] - A total of 197 stocks in the A-share market hit the daily limit up, with the top three strong stocks being: - Leike Defense (002413) with 9 consecutive days of limit up and a turnover rate of 38.24% [1] - Goldwind Technology (002202) with 5 consecutive days of limit up and a turnover rate of 11.28% [1] - Yanshan Technology (002195) with 6 days of limit up and a turnover rate of 16.63% [1] - The detailed data for the top 10 strong stocks includes: - Shaoyang Hydraulic (301079) with 4 days of limit up and a turnover rate of 45.61% [1] - Xue Ren Group (002639) with 4 days of limit up and a turnover rate of 40.08% [1] - Other notable stocks include: Zhanpeng Technology (603488), Xinke Mobile (688387), Kunlun Wanwei (300418), Hengwei Technology (603496), and Anji Food (603696) [1] Group 2: Strong Concept Sectors - The top three concept sectors based on A-share performance are: - Sora Concept (Wensheng Video) with a rise of 10.43% [2][3] - MLOps Concept with an increase of 9.88% [2][3] - AI Corpus with a growth of 9.18% [2][3] - Other notable concept sectors include: - Zhipu AI with a rise of 9.0% [3] - Xiaohongshu Concept with an increase of 8.79% [3] - Kuaishou Concept with a growth of 8.65% [3] - Multimodal AI with an increase of 8.25% [3] - ChatGPT Concept with a rise of 7.96% [3] - AIGC Concept with an increase of 7.93% [3] - Huawei Ascend with a growth of 7.82% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The multi-modal AI concept has seen a significant increase of 8.25%, ranking as the 7th highest in terms of growth among concept sectors, with notable stocks experiencing substantial gains [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - A total of 138 stocks within the multi-modal AI sector rose, with companies like Zhongcheng Technology and Tianrun Technology hitting a 30% limit up, while Fushi Holdings, Tuolisi, and Meiri Interactive reached 20% limit up [1]. - Stocks with notable gains include: - Yangshan Technology up 10.05% - Sichuan Changhong up 9.96% - Tuolisi up 20.02% [3][4]. - The stocks with the largest declines include ST Zhizhi down 3.04%, *ST Shengxun down 1.25%, and Honghe Technology down 0.59% [1]. Group 2: Capital Inflow - The multi-modal AI sector attracted a net inflow of 11.976 billion yuan, with 90 stocks receiving net inflows, and 35 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflow [2]. - The top stocks by net inflow include: - Yangshan Technology with 1.485 billion yuan - Sichuan Changhong with 1.139 billion yuan - Tuolisi with 781 million yuan [2][3]. - The highest net inflow ratios were seen in companies like Yili Media at 70.24%, Liou Co. at 65.15%, and Vision China at 48.00% [3].

Group 1 - Kuaishou concept stocks rose by 8.65%, ranking 6th in concept sector gains, with 46 stocks increasing in value [1] - Notable gainers in the Kuaishou concept include Zhongwen Online and Meiri Interactive, both reaching a 20% limit up, while Liou Co., Zhejiang Wenlian, and Shengguang Group also hit the limit up [1] - The Kuaishou concept sector saw a net inflow of 2.847 billion yuan, with 36 stocks receiving net inflows, and 9 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflow [1] Group 2 - The top net inflow stocks in the Kuaishou concept include Zhongwen Online with 632 million yuan, followed by Meiri Interactive with 368 million yuan, and Zhidema with 238 million yuan [2] - The net inflow ratios for leading stocks are as follows: Yilv Media at 70.24%, Liou Co. at 65.15%, and Vision China at 48.00% [2] - Other notable stocks with significant net inflows include Sanwei Communication and Shengguang Network, with net inflows of 224 million yuan and 102 million yuan respectively [3]