美股收盘：平静归来 标普 500 指数收盘上涨 47 个基点，报 6，965 点，收盘竞价（MOC）有 23.5 亿美元的卖单。 美股收盘：平静归来 标普 500 指数收盘上涨 47 个基点，报 6，965 点，收盘竞价（MOC）有 23.5 亿美元的卖单。 资产管理公司和对冲基金成为 10 亿美元的净买家，主要受科技股（软件板块需求激增）和宏观面需求重叠的 推动，同时金融股的卖盘供应较少。 纳斯达克 100 指数上涨 77 个基点，报 25，268 点。 比特币下跌 29 个基点，报 70，455 美元。 本周开局平静，市场消息面清淡。 市场仍在消化上周剧烈的交易波动，包括巨大的动量波动、"Magnificent 7"表现疲软以及加密货币的下跌等。 软件板块反弹 3%，值得注意的是，本周初我们的交易台几乎没有卖盘供应（对比上周大部分时间的沉重抛售 压力，尤其是周四下午 Anthropic 消息发布后的集中抛售），随着该板块显现企稳迹象，我们持续接到买单指令。 本周将是重要的数据周，即将公布零售销售、非农就业人数（NFP）和消费者物价指数（CPI）。 关于周三公布的非农就业数据：高盛经济团队预计 1 月就业人 ...

In this articleAAPLMSFTMETATSLASPXA Tesla Cyber truck caught in snow that fell across the U.S. over the weekend. Coming into Monday trading, the EV maker's stock was flat year to date and up 10% over the past 12 months. (Getty Images)More than 100 U.S. companies worth a combined $20 trillion report earnings this week, including four Magnificent Seven names: Apple, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Tesla. ...

Core Insights - Microsoft stock has significantly appreciated over the past decade, making early investors financially independent [1] - A $1,000 investment in Microsoft stock in 2016 would have grown to approximately $10,050 by 2026, reflecting a gain of over 900% [3] - Microsoft is part of the "Magnificent 7" tech stocks, which have all reached a market capitalization of over $1 trillion at some point [6] Investment Performance - On January 15, 2016, Microsoft stock closed at an adjusted price of $44.65 per share [2] - By January 15, 2026, the stock is projected to close at $456.66 per share, resulting in a substantial increase [3] - Investors have also benefited from dividends, with the quarterly dividend increasing from $0.36 in fiscal 2016 to $0.91 currently [4] Analyst Ratings - Analysts remain optimistic about Microsoft, with 53 rating it a "Buy" and an average price target of $629.56, with some expecting it to reach $730 per share [5] - Microsoft is the third-largest company in the S&P 500, indicating its significant presence in major investment funds [7]

Core Viewpoint - The suggestion that the Dogs of the Dow could outperform the Magnificent 7 in 2026 is considered ludicrous [1] Group 1 - The Dogs of the Dow refers to a strategy that involves investing in the highest dividend-yielding stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average [1] - The Magnificent 7 includes a group of high-performing tech stocks that have significantly driven market gains [1]

Group 1 - Large-cap tech stocks are expected to make a significant comeback, as the market may be underestimating their potential [1] - Recent market trends show a shift towards industrials and cyclicals, with the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) up 2.80% over the past month, while the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) is down 0.33% [2] - The Magnificent 7, a group of major tech stocks, has seen stalled gains despite strong earnings and cooling valuations [6][11] Group 2 - Investor sentiment can change rapidly, leading to previously strong stocks feeling less favorable [4] - Slimmon argues that the recent sell-off in Big Tech was not due to fundamental issues but rather a shift in investor focus towards safer assets amid rate-cut expectations [11][12] - The Magnificent 7 represents approximately one-third of the S&P 500's weight and nearly 45% of the Nasdaq 100 [8]

Core Insights - The performance of the Magnificent 7 stocks has diverged significantly this year, with Alphabet Inc leading and Amazon.com Inc lagging behind [1][2]. Group 1: Alphabet Inc - Alphabet's stock has increased by 62.26% year-to-date, making it the strongest performer among the Magnificent 7 [2]. - The company's market capitalization is approximately $3.7 trillion, ranking it as the third-largest in the group [4]. - Alphabet's earnings yield is 3.27%, with a PE ratio around 30 and a PEG ratio near 1.6, indicating reasonable valuations for its growth [4]. - The stock has shown recent momentum, rising over 8% in the past month, reflecting a balanced performance [4]. Group 2: Amazon.com Inc - Amazon's stock has only increased by 1.05% year-to-date and has decreased by about 4.4% over the past month, positioning it as the laggard in the group [5]. - The company's price-to-sales ratio is 3.48, the lowest among the Magnificent 7, and its EV-to-EBITDA multiple is around 15.4, also near the bottom of the group [6]. - Amazon's forward PE is near 27, and its earnings yield is above 3%, highlighting a contrast in valuation compared to its peers [6]. Group 3: Market Implications - Alphabet's strong performance, scale, and consistency place it at the forefront of the Magnificent 7, while Amazon's underperformance makes it appear undervalued in a market where other valuations have stretched [7]. - Despite Alphabet's leadership, Amazon may represent a more attractive investment opportunity due to its lower valuation metrics [7].

Core Insights - The performance of the Magnificent 7 stocks has diverged significantly this year, with Alphabet Inc leading and Amazon.com Inc lagging behind [1][2]. Group 1: Alphabet Inc - Alphabet's stock has increased by 62.26% year-to-date, marking it as the strongest performer among the Magnificent 7 [2]. - The company's market capitalization is approximately $3.7 trillion, making it the third-largest in the group [4]. - Alphabet's earnings yield stands at 3.27%, with a PE ratio around 30 and a PEG ratio near 1.6, indicating reasonable valuations for its growth [4]. - The stock has shown recent momentum, rising over 8% in the past month [4]. Group 2: Amazon.com Inc - Amazon's stock has only risen by 1.05% year-to-date and has decreased by about 4.4% over the past month, positioning it as the laggard in the group [5]. - The company trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 3.48, the lowest among the Magnificent 7, and has an EV-to-EBITDA multiple around 15.4, also near the bottom of the group [6]. - Amazon's forward PE is approximately 27, with an earnings yield above 3%, highlighting its contrasting valuation compared to its peers [6]. Group 3: Comparative Analysis - Alphabet is recognized for its performance, scale, and consistency, while Amazon's underperformance makes it appear undervalued in a group where valuations have generally increased [7]. - Despite Alphabet's dominance, Amazon may be perceived as a bargain within the premium segment of the market [7].

Group 1 - Wall Street's 2026 outlooks have been largely posted, with some potentially updated following a data-heavy week that includes payroll reports and CPI updates [1] - Many strategists have referenced the "Magnificent 7," indicating a focus on a select group of high-performing stocks [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of analyzing macro drivers of various asset classes, including stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, and crypto [1]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the "Magnificent 7" tech stocks is declining, leading to a market rotation towards small and micro-cap stocks, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment and risk appetite [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Trends - The "Magnificent 7" stocks have struggled recently, with some like Nvidia facing challenges, while others like Apple reach all-time highs [2][3]. - There is a noticeable rotation of investment from large-cap tech stocks to small-cap and micro-cap stocks, such as those in the Russell 2000, suggesting a shift in market dynamics [3][4]. - The current market sentiment appears to be bullish as investors are moving into riskier assets, including precious metals, as part of a seasonal trend [4][5][6]. Group 2: Precious Metals Outlook - Gold has reached a 7-week high, and silver is hitting record highs, indicating strong performance in the precious metals market [7]. - A significant warning sign is noted when precious metals outperform the stock market for an extended period, reminiscent of conditions before past financial crises [9][10]. - Predictions suggest a potential 15% increase in gold prices, targeting around $5,175, and silver could rise to between $68 and $82 [10][11]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - The current environment is seen as a favorable trading opportunity for precious metals, with expectations of explosive price movements in the near term [12][14]. - Homebuilders are also expected to see a modest rally of about 6% as investors seek familiar sectors during uncertain times [17][18]. - The strategy involves identifying trends and managing positions based on market movements rather than attempting to predict market tops or bottoms [20][21]. Group 4: Long-term Economic Outlook - A severe market correction is anticipated in 2026, with predictions of a significant downturn in equities exceeding 20%, while precious metals are expected to benefit from this shift as capital flows out of stocks [24][26][27].

the action on that meme ETF. We were actually talking about it as a as you know a group all of us how interesting it is that it launched. What do you think that says about retail investor interest and not only the meme trade but just risk in general.>> I think actually that the meme stock ETF is really intended to be a reflection of where retail investors are most interested in at any given point in time. And so what we're seeing is that the meme trade actually has come off significantly since we launched. ...