Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics beyond traditional metrics like P/E ratios, focusing on demand and supply as the core of market behavior [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy is split between low-cost funds and individual stocks, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The author prefers to hold stocks for a minimum of 10 years, indicating a long-term investment approach [1] Group 2: Market Understanding - The market is described as forward-looking, with a need to predict human behavior rather than relying solely on numerical data [1] - The author stresses the importance of understanding sectors, industries, and long-term growth trends to make informed investment decisions [1] Group 3: Current Investment Outlook - The author expresses a bullish outlook on specific companies and assets, including AMD, PLTR, TSLA, broad US equities, and Bitcoin [1]

I sat down with Jeff Park (@dgt10011) to go on a macro global tour — from Argentina to China to London and back to the U.S. — breaking down what’s happening in different economies.We cover why the US dollar, gold, bitcoin, and global swap lines all matter right now. We also discuss market sentiment, bitcoin’s recent price action compared to gold, and whether investors should actually be worried.Enjoy!YouTube: https://t.co/HpOaePgN0nApple: https://t.co/FSG1ZzxsfiSpotify: https://t.co/aVz0xsg8GWTIMESTAMPS:0:0 ...

Market Overview - Indian benchmark indices ended the week with gains of 1.6%, supported by strength in IT and healthcare stocks. The Nifty closed 103.55 points, or 0.41%, higher at 25,285.35, breaking out of a recent consolidation range [1][19]. Earnings Reports - Over 200 BSE-listed companies are set to announce their September quarter results this week, including major players like HCL Technologies, Tech Mahindra, Axis Bank, HDFC Life Insurance, Infosys, Nestle India, Wipro, JSW Steel, Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and UltraTech Cement [2][19]. - Non-Nifty companies such as IDFC First Bank, Yes Bank, Indian Railway Finance Corporation (IRFC), IndusInd Bank, and HDB Financial Services are also expected to report results [5][19]. - The market will react to DMart's earnings announced on Saturday [6][19]. Market Influences - U.S. President Donald Trump's threat to impose additional 100% tariffs on China may impact Asian markets, including India, following China's aggressive export curbs on rare earth minerals [7][19]. - U.S. equities fell sharply on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 878.82 points (1.90%), the S&P 500 down 182.60 points (2.71%), and the Nasdaq Composite down 820.20 points (3.5%) [8][19]. IPO Activity - The primary market is expected to remain quiet, with only one new mainboard IPO, Midwest, opening for subscription. Bidding will conclude for three ongoing mainboard issues and three SME offerings [9][19]. - Anticipated listings include Tata Capital and LG Electronics, scheduled for Monday and Tuesday, respectively, along with eight other companies set to debut during the week [9][19]. Corporate Actions - Key corporate actions include the record date for the 1:10 stock split of Tata Investment Corporation and the rights issue of Utkarsh Small Finance Bank on October 14, and the interim dividend of Rs 11 per share for Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) on October 15 [10][19]. Institutional Activity - Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net buyers last week, purchasing equities worth Rs 3,603 crore over five sessions, with Friday's purchases totaling Rs 459.20 crore [11][19]. - Domestic institutional investors (DIIs) also turned net buyers at Rs 8,391.2 crore for the week, with Friday's purchases amounting to Rs 1,707.83 crore [11][19]. Technical Analysis - Nifty formed a sizable bullish candle with a higher high and higher low on the weekly chart, indicating a continuation of the uptrend. The index closed above its short-term moving averages, retracing over 80% of its previous decline [12][19]. - The index is expected to maintain a positive bias, potentially heading towards 25,450, with further upside towards the June 2025 high of 25,670 if it moves above 25,450 [13][19]. Currency and Commodities - The Indian rupee closed stronger at 88.6850 against the U.S. dollar, compared to 88.7825 in the previous session, aided by RBI intervention [14][19]. - Brent and U.S. crude futures fell sharply, with U.S. WTI crude settling at $58.24 (down $3.27 or 5.32%) and Brent futures around $62.73 (down $3.13 or 4.80%) [16][19]. Investment Trends - With Diwali approaching, there is rising investor interest in gold and silver, while equities have seen pressure, with net inflows into equity mutual funds declining for a second straight month to Rs 30,422 crore in September, a 9% drop from August [17][19]. - In contrast, record sums were poured into gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs), with inflows rising fourfold to Rs 8,363 crore, marking the highest-ever monthly inflow for the category [18][19].

The put-call ratio is a measurement that is widely used by investors to gauge the overall mood of a market. A rising ratio suggests bearish sentiment. https://t.co/ncgOXHDBSJ ...

Market Overview - Nifty continues to form a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, defending the 24,600 level for the third consecutive session, indicating a weak overall structure unless it reclaims 24,800 [1][12] - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq declined on concerns over a potential U.S. government shutdown affecting economic data releases [2][4] - European markets closed slightly higher, with the pan-European STOXX 600 rising 0.5%, marking its best quarterly performance since May [5][12] Sector Performance - In European markets, most sectors saw gains, with media stocks up 1.2% and retail stocks up 1.1%, while industrial and healthcare sectors provided significant boosts to the STOXX 600 [5][6] - In the Indian market, consumer, realty, and IT stocks dragged down the Nifty and Sensex, while auto, banking, and metal shares helped limit losses [11][12] Stock Activity - Tata Investments was among the most active stocks in terms of turnover, with Rs 571 crore, while Vodafone Idea led in volume with 4.23 crore shares traded [8][12] - A total of 141 stocks reached their 52-week highs, while 156 stocks hit their 52-week lows, indicating mixed market sentiment [9][12] - Significant selling pressure was observed in large-cap stocks such as Bharti Airtel, ITC, and Trent, contributing to a negative market close [10][11] Technical Analysis - Immediate support for Nifty is at 24,500, with resistance near 24,800; a cautious stance is advised following the RBI policy outcome and auto sales data [7][12] - Momentum indicators and oscillators have confirmed a bearish crossover on the daily chart, suggesting a potential decline towards 24,400 if the index breaks below 24,600 [1][12]

What drives your #crypto investing decisions these days?• Fundamentals• Technical analysis• Market sentiment• Hype & trends ...

IMPORTANT: this does not imply that fundamentals don't matter!I'm just describing the physics of the situationas you click the "Play" button and let time go by, eventually, people start developing antibodies to the narrative, just like a bacterial infection, and shed themselves free from itbut a virus/narrative that is rooted in fundamentals will have higher retention and will endure over timeput differently: pure narrative will spread much faster in the shorter term, but a narrative rooted in fundamentals ...

Interest Rate Outlook - The market initially anticipated three Federal Reserve rate cuts at the beginning of the year, but expectations have been adjusted downwards to potentially just one cut [3] - The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 96% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut and a 4% probability of a 50 basis point cut [2] - Inflation data, including CPI and PPI, suggests persistent inflationary pressures, potentially hindering the Federal Reserve's ability to implement rate cuts [4] - The Federal Reserve's data-driven approach implies that unfavorable data could further delay anticipated rate cuts [6] Market Sentiment and Risk - The market exhibits signs of frothiness, evidenced by bullish IPOs, record highs in Bitcoin, and upside movements in Ether [7][8] - Market broadening could be a positive sign, as returns have been concentrated in a small segment of the market, making it fragile [9] - Market momentum and sentiment are vulnerable to sudden shifts, and a catalyst could trigger a downturn [10] - Confidence in data, policy, and the functioning of markets is crucial for sustaining market sentiment [12][13] Geopolitical Considerations - While the Russian economy may not directly impact the US economy, a meeting between the US President and the Russian President could influence market sentiment [10][11]

IPO Market Outlook - IPO市场正在复苏，公司一直在等待合适的时机[1][2] - 预计在经历九月和十月的波动期后，市场将进入强势期，有利的监管影响和降息等因素将带来顺风[2] - 拥有良好运营模式的公司可以重返市场，因为公众已经准备好[3] - M&A活动已经活跃起来，许多大型交易正在进行中，为IPO创造了有利条件[6] - 除非出现意外情况，否则预计不会有任何因素会扰乱市场[7] Factors Influencing IPOs - 市场情绪对IPO至关重要，良好的市场情绪有助于定价和价格发现[5] - IPO投资者，特别是机构投资者，着眼于未来，关注公司的基本面[7] - 即将上市的公司拥有强大的基本面[8] Companies to Watch - CLA、Andural和Grock是近期值得关注的IPO公司，它们的估值合理，并且基于长期需求[9] - 这些公司分别位于金融科技、国防科技和半导体等热门领域[9] - 这些公司是真正的、稳固的公司，已经等待了很长时间，并准备上市[12]

Market Sentiment - Crypto investing decisions are driven by fundamentals, technical analysis, market sentiment, and hype & trends [1]