南方财经21世纪经济报道记者赖镇桃 走在有着"中国科技第一展"的深圳高交会，隐约有种在参加广交会或者香港展会的错觉——因为来逛展 的外国人面孔越来越多。他们会被人形机器人这些国产高科技吸引驻足，不时掏出手机拍照、和机器人 击掌互动；看到合适的展厅再走进去询问，互换联系方式后再拿着一叠资料走出来继续逛。 来自法国的采购商ali maher dalati在香港经营着自己的公司，他告诉21世纪经济报道记者，他已经来过 好多次深圳、广州等内地城市，也参加过全球很多科技和行业展会，但"许多新技术、新产品都是在高 交会才见到"。他坦言，今年关税、保护主义让生意变得难做了，但是一些领域还有新机会在出现，关 税、价格变贵不是问题的全部，我们还有技术和科技。 在高交会现场，记者和几家新能源、人形机器人公司的工作人员聊了聊，他们普遍看好海外市场的增 长，无论是在发达国家还是新兴市场，都面临一些或共性或细分的需求，比如人形机器人出海的一大背 景正是全球人力成本上升和制造业升级，新能源走出去则既要解决中东的风沙也要适应俄罗斯的高寒气 候。这些中企能做的就是精准抓住需求、用技术打磨产品，时至今日，一些竞争规则依旧没有改变。 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Consumer Durables, specifically the white goods sector - **Key Players**: Midea, Haier, Gree, Hisense Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Divergent Performance in 3Q25**: - Midea and Haier reported approximately 10% revenue and profit growth, exceeding expectations - Gree and Hisense experienced significant declines in profits, with Gree reporting a year-over-year profit decline of SD% [1][10] 2. **Domestic Market Dynamics**: - Split AC growth showed notable divergence, with Gree facing a sequential revenue decline while Midea, Haier, and Hisense reported revenue growth [1] - The market anticipates a deceleration in domestic growth into 4Q25 and 2026 due to a higher base, with expected shipment declines of 10% and 5% for major white goods [2][16] 3. **Pricing and Margins**: - Competition remains a key focus, particularly in the AC industry, with less competitive pricing observed compared to previous periods - Despite demand pressures, significant price cuts are not expected due to leading players' focus on profitability and lean inventory [3] 4. **Overseas Growth as a Key Driver**: - Overseas markets, particularly APAC and Europe, are expected to drive growth for Chinese white goods companies, supported by past investments in manufacturing and branding [4][6] 5. **Shareholder Returns**: - Current share prices imply an average dividend yield of 5% to 6% for covered white goods stocks, providing downside protection amid growth concerns [7] 6. **Future Outlook for Key Players**: - Midea and Haier are expected to continue leading the sector with positive growth, while Gree faces persistent pressure due to high domestic market exposure [8] Additional Important Insights 1. **Earnings Revisions**: - Earnings forecasts for Midea and Haier have been raised, while estimates for Gree and Hisense have been lowered to reflect recent performance [14] 2. **Management's Strategic Focus**: - Midea's management aims for revenue growth of MSD-HSD% CAGR from 2026 to 2028, with a focus on market share gains in refrigerators and washing machines, and margin improvements in AC [33][34] 3. **Investment in Technology**: - Midea plans to invest in AI and robotics, focusing on robotic home appliances and humanoid robots, indicating a strategic shift towards automation and advanced technology [34] 4. **Valuation Adjustments**: - Target prices for Midea and Haier have been adjusted based on updated earnings forecasts, reflecting a positive outlook for these companies [35] 5. **Market Sentiment**: - Consumer sentiment has pulled back, but property indicators in the US have shown improvement, suggesting a mixed outlook for consumer durables [31] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the performance of major players in the white goods sector, market dynamics, and future growth strategies.

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Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Xtep International Holdings with a 12-month price target of HK$7.00, indicating an upside potential of 19.9% from the current price of HK$5.84 [10][11]. Core Insights - The company has reiterated its full-year guidance, expecting positive sales growth at the group level, with Saucony and Merrell brands projected to achieve 30%-40% sales growth and over 10% year-on-year net profit growth [2][10]. - Xtep's core business has maintained stable discount levels in the second quarter of 2025, attributed to healthy inventory levels [7][10]. - Management believes that Xtep's established brand recognition and ecosystem provide a competitive advantage in the growing running category [7][10]. Summary by Sections Full Year Guidance - The company expects to deliver positive sales growth at the group level, with Saucony and Merrell brands projected to achieve 30%-40% sales growth and over 10% year-on-year net profit growth [2][10]. Xtep Core - The discount level has remained stable in the second quarter of 2025 due to healthy inventory levels, and the brand is focusing on maintaining stable profit margins [7][10]. Saucony Brand - In the second half of 2025, management anticipates a broader product assortment to meet functional and fashion demands, including new fabrics and an increased focus on women's products, aiming to raise the female sales mix from 10-20% to 30% within the next 1-2 years [4][8]. - The company aims to double Saucony's revenue by 2027 through store expansion, targeting 30-50 new stores annually and enhancing store productivity [4][8].

Summary of Zoomlion Heavy Industry Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Zoomlion Heavy Industry (1157.HK) - **Industry**: China Industrials - **Date of Call**: March 26, 2025 Key Points Industry and Market Position - Zoomlion anticipates a **higher overseas revenue mix** in fiscal year 2025 (F25) through market share gains with **customized and localized products** [3][9] - The company is focusing on **key clients**, ensuring **short after-sales lead times**, and expanding its **overseas network** with over **100 sales/service outlets** in Europe, the US, Latin America, and Africa [3][9] Domestic Market Performance - A **gradual recovery** is expected in the domestic market for F25, with **stable market share** in crane and concrete machinery [4][9] - Continued sales growth is anticipated from **earth-working and agricultural machinery**, driven by new product launches such as **micro excavators, bulldozers, and wheel loaders** [4][9] Financial Projections - The company has communicated targets of **flat domestic revenue** and **20% growth in overseas revenue** for F25, although no quantified guidance was provided [9][10] - Operating cash flow (OCF) is expected to improve due to **higher overseas sales**, **de-stocking**, and **accelerated accounts receivable turnover** in both domestic and overseas markets [5][9] Inventory and Manufacturing - F25 inventory is projected to decline sharply due to **intelligent manufacturing** and the establishment of **overseas bonded warehouses** [5][9] Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include **lower-than-expected infrastructure and property investment growth** and **lower overseas demand** [13][9] - Conversely, there may be **stronger-than-expected replacement demand** driven by emissions standard upgrades and increased demand for excavators and aerial work platform products [13][9] Valuation and Stock Rating - The stock is rated as **Equal-weight** with a price target of **HK$5.00**, reflecting a **21% downside** from the closing price of **HK$6.32** on March 24, 2025 [10][9] Conclusion - Zoomlion Heavy Industry is strategically positioning itself for growth in both domestic and international markets, with a focus on product innovation and customer service. However, it faces challenges that could impact its growth trajectory in the coming fiscal year.