Pay Later (BNPL)

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Is Sezzle Stock a Bargain After Crashing by 40%?
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-10 01:47
Core Viewpoint - Sezzle has experienced significant volatility in its stock price, with a remarkable 300% gain earlier in the year followed by a 41% decline after disappointing earnings, yet it remains a leader in the buy now, pay later (BNPL) industry with strong growth prospects [1][2][3]. Company Performance - Sezzle reported a 76% year-over-year revenue growth and projects a continued growth rate of 60% to 65% through 2025, outperforming competitors like Affirm, which reported only 33% revenue growth [5][6]. - The company has shown a sequential customer growth rate of 13.7%, significantly higher than Affirm's 24% year-over-year growth in Q4 FY25, and it maintains higher profit margins compared to peers such as PayPal and Block [6][8]. Market Position - Sezzle is successfully taking market share from other BNPL companies, as evidenced by its strong earnings report despite the stock price drop [4][7]. - The company's fiscal guidance has been raised three times, indicating confidence in its ability to capture more market share from fintech competitors [7]. Valuation Comparison - Sezzle trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 29, which is significantly lower than Affirm's 598, presenting a unique investment opportunity within the fintech sector [8][11]. - While PayPal and Bread Financial have lower P/E ratios of 15 and 11 respectively, their growth rates do not match Sezzle's impressive performance [9][10]. Industry Outlook - The BNPL industry is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 27% until 2033, which could benefit Sezzle significantly if the business model remains viable [12][15]. - However, the industry faces risks as it primarily attracts consumers with poor credit, leading to potential defaults as financial strains increase among users [13][14].
Can PayPal's 5% Cash Back on BNPL Fuel Its Growth This Holiday Season?
ZACKS· 2025-10-07 18:01
Key Takeaways PayPal offers 5% cash back on U.S. BNPL online purchases from Oct. 6 through the year's end.Launch of "Pay Monthly" option brings the same rewards and flexibility to in-store shoppers.BNPL use drives higher order values and broader availability across PayPal's major markets.PayPal Holdings (PYPL) recently announced that U.S. customers will earn 5% cash back on PayPal BNPL online purchases, starting from Oct. 6, 2025, through the end of the year. With this move, the company aims to capitalize o ...
BofA Securities Initiates Coverage On Klarna With Buy Rating, $51 Price Target
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-06 18:54
Core Viewpoint - BofA Securities initiated coverage on Klarna with a Buy rating and a price target of $51.00, highlighting its leadership in the Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) market [1] Group 1: Market Opportunity - BofA estimated the total addressable market for BNPL at $2.9 trillion by 2030, with significant growth potential in the U.S. [2] - Analysts noted that Klarna's expanding merchant network presents a major growth opportunity [2] Group 2: Competitive Advantages - Key competitive advantages for Klarna include solid credit performance, a favorable funding structure, and a diverse product suite [2] - The firm emphasized that Klarna's shares are trading at 8x enterprise value to projected 2026 gross profit, indicating a compelling valuation with room for upside [2]
Adobe Expects U.S. Online Holiday Sales Will Top $250 Billion, Up 5.3%
Forbes· 2025-10-06 12:10
Adobe expects U.S. online sales to be up 5.3% this year, at $253.4 billion.gettyAdobe, in its annual online shopping forecast, released today, is predicting that U.S. ecommerce sales will hit $253.4 billion this holiday season, up 5.3% over last year.This season, there are expected to be a record 10 days when consumers spend over $5 billion online within 24 hours. Cyber Monday To See 14.2 Billion In Online SalesCyber Week, the five day period between Thanksgiving and Cyber Monday, is expected to generate 17 ...
PayPal ties BNPL to cash back
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-06 10:33
This story was originally published on Payments Dive. To receive daily news and insights, subscribe to our free daily Payments Dive newsletter. Dive Brief: PayPal Holdings said Monday it’s giving consumers a 5% cash credit on buy now, pay later purchases online and in physical stores through year end as the company looks to expand its “omnichannel” strategy and expand installment lending to more brick-and-mortar merchants. The digital payments pioneer also began offering certain installment loans in ret ...
Klarna Card Gains 1 Million US Users in First 11 Weeks
PYMNTS.com· 2025-09-25 15:26
Core Insights - Klarna has successfully launched the Klarna Card in the U.S., with over 1 million sign-ups within 11 weeks of its July 4 launch [1] - The Klarna Card offers consumers the option to pay instantly with debit or to spread costs over time, combining the features of a debit card with the flexibility of credit [2][3] Company Performance - Klarna reported a year-over-year revenue growth of 20% in Q2, with a notable 38% growth in the U.S. market [5] - The company's growth is attributed to an expanding merchant ecosystem and increased consumer engagement [6] Product Features - The Klarna Card operates on Visa's Flexible Credential, allowing users to switch between debit and Klarna's Pay in 4 payment plans at any Visa-accepting merchant [4] - The card aims to provide simplicity, flexibility, and transparency, which are key factors in its popularity [5][3] Market Strategy - Klarna is rolling out an enhanced version of the Klarna Card in the U.S. following its success in European markets [7] - Strategic partnerships with leading payment service providers and major merchants are crucial for expanding Klarna's reach and accelerating growth [7]
PayPal Sells $7 Billion in BNPL Loans to Blue Owl Capital
PYMNTS.com· 2025-09-24 16:51
PayPal formed a two-year, multibillion-dollar pact with asset manager Blue Owl Capital.By completing this form, you agree to receive marketing communications from PYMNTS and to the sharing of your information with our sponsor, if applicable, in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Terms and Conditions .Complete the form to unlock this article and enjoy unlimited free access to all PYMNTS content — no additional logins required.Under the partnership, funds managed by Blue Owl will purchase roughly $7 billi ...
PayPal Teams Up With Blue Owl In $7 Billion Buy Now, Pay Later Deal
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-24 12:32
Group 1 - PayPal and Blue Owl Capital have entered a two-year agreement for Blue Owl to purchase approximately $7 billion of PayPal's buy now, pay later (BNPL) receivables in the U.S. [1] - PayPal has been offering BNPL services since 2008, with the Pay in 4 product launched in 2020, allowing consumers to split purchases into four interest-free payments over six weeks [2][3] - In 2024, PayPal processed over $33 billion in BNPL payment volume globally, representing a 21% increase from 2023 [4] Group 2 - The BNPL service enhances sales for merchants and integrates well within the PayPal ecosystem, often at lower costs compared to standalone BNPL providers [4] - PayPal's Chief Financial & Operating Officer stated that the agreement aligns with the company's balance sheet-light model for credit [5] - The deal is reflected in PayPal's third-quarter and full-year 2025 guidance for earnings per share and transaction margin dollars [6] Group 3 - PayPal plans to invest $100 million in the Middle East and Africa to foster innovation and support entrepreneurs, aiming to promote inclusive economic growth [6][7] - The investment will be executed through minority stakes, acquisitions, and funding from PayPal Ventures, focusing on scaling local businesses and expanding digital economy access [7] - This initiative follows the launch of PayPal's first regional hub in Dubai, aimed at providing seamless payments and expanded market access [8]
PayPal Announces a Multi-Year Relationship for U.S. Buy Now, Pay Later Receivables with Funds Managed by Blue Owl Capital
Prnewswire· 2025-09-24 11:00
Core Insights - PayPal and Blue Owl Capital have entered into a two-year agreement for Blue Owl to purchase approximately $7 billion of PayPal's "Pay in 4" loans originated in the U.S. [1] - PayPal's "Pay in 4" product allows consumers to split eligible purchases into four interest-free payments over six weeks, enhancing its BNPL offerings [2] - In 2024, PayPal processed over $33 billion in BNPL payment volume globally, reflecting a 21% increase from 2023 [3] Company Strategy - The partnership with Blue Owl is aligned with PayPal's balance sheet-light model for credit and supports the growth of its Pay Later portfolio [4] - PayPal's scale and consumer relationships enable informed credit decisions, enhancing the quality of its BNPL offerings [4] Market Position - PayPal's BNPL solutions are widely available, making it one of the most broadly distributed options in its largest markets [2] - Merchants using PayPal's BNPL can offer flexible payment options that drive higher sales, with average order values over 80% higher than standard transactions [3]
Affirm (NasdaqGS:AFRM) Fireside Chat Transcript
2025-09-23 17:00
Summary of Affirm Fireside Chat - September 23, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Affirm (NasdaqGS:AFRM) - **Industry**: Specialty finance and fintech, specifically focusing on Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) services Key Points and Arguments Financial Guidance and Growth Outlook - **Q1 Guidance**: Affirm expects a high end GMV growth of 37% and a transaction profit growth of 43% for Q1 [4][5] - **Full Year Guidance**: Affirm sets a floor for GMV at $46 billion, implying a year-on-year growth of approximately 25.5% [5] - **Margins**: Adjusted operating income margins are projected at 23-25%, with GAAP operating income margins expected to be between 1-3% for Q1 [5][6] Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Growth - **DTC Performance**: The Affirm card, a key DTC product, saw GMV growth exceeding 130% in Q4 [8] - **Integration with POS**: Strong growth is also observed in point-of-sale transactions, indicating a synergistic relationship between DTC and traditional POS channels [9] Product Mix and Loan Types - **Loan Products**: Monthly 0% loans are expected to continue being the fastest-growing product line, with growth over 90% in Q4 [11][12] - **Consumer Appeal**: 0% loans resonate well with higher-end credit consumers, complementing interest-bearing loans [12] Competitive Landscape - **BNPL Market Growth**: The BNPL category is growing at approximately 25% annually in the U.S., with Affirm leading this growth [15][16] - **Market Penetration**: Affirm has over 8% penetration in U.S. e-commerce, with potential for further growth compared to international markets where penetration can reach 15-20% [16] Economic Resilience and Underwriting - **Transaction-Level Underwriting**: Affirm underwrites every transaction, allowing for agile credit decisioning, which is seen as a competitive advantage [21][29] - **Short Loan Terms**: The average loan term is about 12 months, with a weighted average life closer to 5 months, enabling quick adjustments to economic conditions [22] International Expansion - **UK Market Entry**: Affirm launched in the UK, where the e-commerce market is about one-third the size of the U.S. market, with similar BNPL penetration rates [34][35] - **Partnership with Shopify**: Affirm is in beta with Shopify in the UK, which is expected to drive success in the new market [37][39] Consumer Health and Delinquency Rates - **Delinquency Management**: Affirm reports low delinquency rates compared to traditional credit products, attributed to transaction-level underwriting and a focus on repeat borrowers [31][84] - **Consumer Repayment Rates**: Current repayment rates align with predictions, indicating a stable consumer base [83][84] Funding and Interest Rate Impact - **Interest Rate Sensitivity**: A 100 basis point change in rates is expected to result in a 40 basis point change in revenue less transaction costs [58] - **Funding Structure**: Only 15% of Affirm's funding is floating rate, meaning changes in rates will have a delayed effect on fixed-rate funding [59] Marketing and Customer Acquisition - **Customer Acquisition Costs**: Affirm's customer acquisition costs are effectively negative, primarily driven by merchant partnerships rather than large advertising budgets [75] - **Loyalty Programs**: Affirm is exploring ways to enhance customer loyalty through interest rate adjustments rather than traditional points or rewards systems [80][81] Future Considerations - **Bank Charter Consideration**: Affirm may consider a bank charter in the future for diversification, but it is not currently necessary due to strong capital programs [67] - **Balancing Growth and Profitability**: Affirm aims for operating leverage and margin expansion while pursuing growth opportunities [69][70] Additional Important Insights - **AI Utilization**: Affirm does not use AI for underwriting but employs machine learning for real-time decision-making and operational efficiency [52][56] - **Market Trends**: The company is aware of macroeconomic signals and adjusts its underwriting posture accordingly to maintain stability [84]