证券研究报告：机械设备|深度报告 行业投资评级 强于大市 |维持 行业基本情况 | 收盘点位 | | 2049.28 | | --- | --- | --- | | 52 | 周最高 | 2104.41 | | 52 | 周最低 | 1358.05 | 行业相对指数表现（相对值） 2024-09 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 2025-07 2025-09 -11% -5% 1% 7% 13% 19% 25% 31% 37% 43% 机械设备 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:刘卓 SAC 登记编号:S1340522110001 Email:liuzhuo@cnpsec.com 分析师:陈基赟 SAC 登记编号:S1340524070003 Email:chenjiyun@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 无人环卫专题 商业化项目持续落地，行业迅速扩容 l 投资要点 无人环卫车主要指具有自动化保洁功能，且能代替驾驶员持续执 行作业任务的环卫车，是低速无人驾驶主要场景，安全性、可行性较 高。传统环卫设备主要包括清扫保洁设备、垃圾收集转运设备和垃圾 处理设备。其中清扫 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share robot sector has seen significant attention and stock performance, particularly in the sanitation cleaning robot segment, with companies like Fulongma experiencing substantial stock price increases in 2023 [1][4]. Company Overview - Fulongma Group Co., Ltd., established in 2002 and listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in 2015, is the first main board listed company in China focused on the sanitation sector [4]. - The company operates primarily in two business segments: intelligent equipment manufacturing and environmental service ecosystem operations, continuously expanding its environmental service business [4]. Product Development - Fulongma aims to empower urban service industries through technology, focusing on a full range of products including "intelligent cleaning robots" to provide unmanned operational solutions [5]. - The company has developed the world's first L4-level intelligent cleaning robot based on a skateboard chassis, capable of fully automated operations and high maneuverability [5]. Market Performance - Despite recent stock price surges, Fulongma has faced stagnant revenue growth and declining net profits, with decreasing product gross margins [10]. - As of September 17, 2023, Fulongma reported a backlog of contracts totaling 197.51 billion yuan, providing a solid revenue foundation for the future [14]. Industry Trends - The sanitation industry is undergoing rapid transformation, with the unmanned sanitation robot market experiencing explosive growth. For instance, in Shenzhen, unmanned cleaning robots have significantly reduced cleaning time [15]. - The potential market size for unmanned sanitation services in China is projected to reach 280 billion yuan by 2025, with a specific market for unmanned cleaning vehicles estimated at 105 billion yuan [15][16]. International Expansion - Fulongma has been actively expanding its overseas business, successfully entering the Italian market in 2024 and establishing a presence in key regions along the Belt and Road Initiative [13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 1.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.07%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 119 million yuan, up 42.54% year-on-year. Excluding the impact of the sale of a subsidiary, the net profit increased by 27% [8] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the sanitation and mining equipment sectors, with sanitation equipment revenue increasing by 34% year-on-year to 798 million yuan, and mining equipment revenue from a subsidiary rising by 111% to 641 million yuan [8] - The company is benefiting from the increasing demand for new energy sanitation vehicles, with a 92% year-on-year increase in industry sales and an 18% increase in the company's own sales [8] - The company is also expanding its presence in the new energy mining vehicle market, achieving an 84% increase in sales in this segment [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 2,907 million yuan, 3,799 million yuan, 4,529 million yuan, 5,531 million yuan, and 6,760 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of -18.92%, 30.67%, 19.23%, 22.12%, and 22.22% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 218.40 million yuan in 2023A, 227.08 million yuan in 2024A, 262.44 million yuan in 2025E, 330.24 million yuan in 2026E, and 412.84 million yuan in 2027E, with corresponding growth rates of -43.36%, 3.97%, 15.57%, 25.83%, and 25.01% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is expected to be 0.41 yuan in 2023A, 0.43 yuan in 2024A, 0.49 yuan in 2025E, 0.62 yuan in 2026E, and 0.77 yuan in 2027E [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company has approved a profit distribution plan for the first half of 2025, proposing a cash dividend of 1.00 yuan per 10 shares, amounting to a total distribution of approximately 53.27 million yuan, which represents 44.88% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period [3][19][18]. Company Overview - The company is focused on enhancing its operational quality by divesting from non-core businesses and concentrating on manufacturing sectors such as new energy sanitation equipment and mining equipment [5][6]. - As of the end of the reporting period, the company has undergone a change in its main business focus, now primarily engaging in sanitation equipment, mining equipment, and basic engineering machinery [6]. Financial Data - The company reported a total of 7,019.32 million yuan available for distribution as of June 30, 2025 [19]. - The total number of shares eligible for the dividend distribution is 532,734,346 shares after excluding restricted shares [19]. Important Events - The company has completed the transfer of 85% equity in its subsidiary, which will no longer be included in the consolidated financial statements, allowing for a more focused business strategy [6][5]. - The board of directors has approved the asset impairment provision totaling 26.39 million yuan for the first half of 2025, which will reduce the profit for the period by the same amount [25][27]. Profit Distribution Plan - The profit distribution plan was approved unanimously by the board, and it does not require further approval from the shareholders' meeting [20][21]. - The cash dividend will be distributed based on the total share capital as of the equity distribution registration date, with adjustments made if there are changes in the share capital before that date [18][19]. Asset Impairment - The company has recognized an asset impairment provision of 26.39 million yuan, which includes provisions for receivables and inventory [25][27]. - The impairment assessment was conducted in accordance with accounting standards and reflects the company's commitment to accurately represent its financial condition [25][26].

Group 1 - The company reported a total asset of approximately 4.24 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.73% compared to the previous year [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 42.54% year-on-year, reaching approximately 118.70 million yuan [4] - The operating income for the period was approximately 1.66 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 12.07% compared to the same period last year [4] Group 2 - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.00 yuan per 10 shares, which is inclusive of tax [2] - The company has undergone a significant change in its main business focus, shifting towards sanitation equipment, mining equipment, and basic engineering machinery after the transfer of shares in a subsidiary [9] - The company completed the transfer of 85% equity in a subsidiary to Chengfa Environment Co., Ltd. for a total consideration of approximately 476.97 million yuan [9]

Group 1 - The total amount of contracts for unmanned sanitation projects in the first half of 2025 has reached 7 billion yuan, exceeding the total for the entire year of 2024, indicating strong market growth [1][3] - The market potential for unmanned sanitation vehicles in China is estimated to reach 100 billion yuan, driven by the transition from pilot projects to broader applications in urban areas [1][3] - The unmanned sanitation vehicle market is primarily focused on low-speed unmanned vehicles, addressing issues such as the aging workforce and rising labor costs in sanitation [1][3] Group 2 - The economic analysis shows that a single unmanned sanitation vehicle can replace 3 to 4 workers, leading to labor cost savings of approximately 120,000 to 160,000 yuan [2] - The cost of a single unmanned sanitation vehicle ranges from 200,000 to 300,000 yuan, with a lifespan of 4 to 5 years, making it economically viable under various scenarios [2] - Under different assumptions, the market space for unmanned sanitation vehicles could range from 1,164 billion to 2,910 billion yuan, depending on the replacement rate of sanitation workers [3] Group 3 - The core barrier to entry in the unmanned sanitation industry is the combination of equipment and operational capabilities, which enhances profit elasticity significantly [4][5] - The profit elasticity for unmanned sanitation projects can reach up to 172% based on different replacement rates of traditional labor [5] - The industry is expected to benefit from government policies aimed at improving cash flow and reducing accounts receivable turnover, which have been historically low [4]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Overweight" and has been maintained from the previous rating [6] Core Insights - The report highlights that the unmanned sanitation vehicle sector addresses the aging workforce and rising labor costs in the sanitation industry [4] - The total bidding amount for unmanned sanitation projects in the first half of 2025 has already exceeded the total for the entire year of 2024, indicating a market potential reaching hundreds of billions [5][34] - The report estimates that the market space for unmanned sanitation vehicles could reach up to 1 trillion yuan, with various scenarios predicting market sizes of 1164 billion, 1746 billion, and 2910 billion yuan based on different labor replacement ratios [10][39] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The unmanned sanitation vehicle is a key segment in the low-speed unmanned vehicle market, primarily focusing on cleaning public spaces using advanced sensors and algorithms [10] - In 2024, the sales scale of the low-speed unmanned driving industry in China is projected to be approximately 12.3 billion yuan, with the unmanned cleaning market holding the largest share [10] Economic Analysis - The report calculates significant cost savings from using unmanned sanitation vehicles, estimating a reduction of 25% to 66% in labor costs depending on the vehicle's cost and the number of workers replaced [30][32] Industry Trends - The report notes a rapid increase in the number of projects awarded in the unmanned sanitation sector, with 70 billion yuan in contracts awarded in the first half of 2025, surpassing the total for 2024 [34] - The technology reliability of unmanned sanitation equipment has been validated, with vehicles designed to operate safely and efficiently in various environments [34] Competitive Landscape - The industry is characterized by collaboration between technology companies and sanitation service providers, with a focus on integrating unmanned vehicles into operational scenarios to enhance profitability [46] - The report identifies key players in the market, including companies like Jinjun Environment, Yuhua Tian, and Fulongma, which are actively developing and deploying unmanned sanitation solutions [55][66][74] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that as the unmanned sanitation sector transitions from the initial phase to mass production, companies in this field are expected to experience significant growth in both equipment sales and operational profitability [82]

Summary of the Conference Call on the Sanitation Industry Industry Overview - The sanitation industry is facing challenges such as aging workforce and rising labor costs, making automation technology a pressing need for long-term development. The market size for sanitation equipment is expected to reach 200 billion yuan [1][5][15]. Key Insights and Arguments - In the first half of 2025, the number of projects applying for unmanned sanitation equipment exceeded 90, doubling from 2024, with an expected industry growth rate of 130% for the year, primarily driven by policy support [1][6]. - Unmanned technology significantly enhances corporate performance, with some companies experiencing performance elasticity exceeding 70%. Beneficiaries include companies like Fulongma, Jinjing Environment, Qiaoyin Co., and Yuhua Tian [1][7]. - Small-tonnage intelligent sanitation equipment (under 3 tons) is suitable for closed or semi-closed environments, capable of replacing 2-3 workers. Initial pricing at 300,000 yuan can achieve economic parity in 3-4 years, while a reduction to 200,000 yuan accelerates this to 2-3 years [1][13]. - Large-tonnage L4 unmanned sanitation vehicles (over 6 tons) are designed for open municipal roads, with initial costs around 1 million yuan. Economic viability is not apparent in the short term and requires a price drop to around 600,000 yuan to achieve economic parity in 2-3 years [1][13]. Market Potential - The current operational ratio of unmanned equipment is estimated at 20%, with the small equipment market space around 57.5 billion yuan and large equipment around 76.1 billion yuan, totaling over 100 billion yuan. In a neutral optimistic scenario, the market could reach 200-250 billion yuan [1][15]. - The sanitation unmanned equipment market is expected to approach 10 billion yuan by 2025, with major players including Fulongma, Jingyu, Qiaoyin, Yuhua Tian, Yufeng, and Yutong [2][15]. Current Application Status - By 2024, 82 projects were mandated to apply unmanned sanitation equipment, with over 90 projects in the first half of 2025, indicating a doubling growth rate. Key cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen have policies requiring smart equipment in environmental service contracts [6][9]. Economic Impact on Companies - The introduction of small-tonnage unmanned equipment significantly impacts operational profitability. For instance, Fulongma shows a 177% elasticity in operational profit contribution, followed by Yuhua Tian at 85% and Qiaoyin at 72% [19]. Development Trends - The sanitation industry is undergoing a necessary upgrade from electrification to automation and unmanned technology. The aging workforce and rising labor costs necessitate this shift, with policies driving the adoption of unmanned orders [8][25]. - The market space is substantial, and the industry is at a critical juncture for adopting unmanned technology, with significant policy support from major cities [15][25]. Company Progress - Companies like Yinfeng Environment and Yutong Heavy Industry have made significant advancements in unmanned sanitation technology, with product launches and pilot applications in major cities [17][18]. Conclusion - The sanitation unmanned equipment market is poised for significant growth, driven by policy support and technological advancements. Companies that adapt to this trend are likely to benefit from enhanced operational efficiency and reduced costs, making it a crucial area for investment and development in the coming years [27].

Core Insights - Shanghai Jingyun Environmental Sanitation Equipment Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 1 million RMB, indicating a focus on environmental protection and sanitation equipment [1] Company Overview - The company is led by legal representative Xu Qingsong and operates in various sectors including sales of environmental protection equipment, new energy vehicles, and mechanical parts [1] - The business scope includes a wide range of products such as solar thermal power equipment, photovoltaic devices, and various metal and rubber products [1] Industry Implications - The establishment of this company reflects a growing trend in the market towards environmental protection and renewable energy solutions, aligning with global sustainability goals [1] - The diverse range of services offered, including technical services and urban management, suggests potential for significant market engagement and revenue generation [1]

Group 1 - The fourth China-Africa Economic and Trade Expo is currently ongoing, showcasing a variety of African products and Chinese advanced technologies, attracting significant public interest and participation [1][3][9] - Over 800 types of African products are displayed, including unique items such as Namibian chili sauce, Kenyan flowers, and South African red wine, appealing to local visitors [7][9] - The event has seen a 43.8% increase in signed projects compared to the previous edition, with 279 projects collected and an expected 175 cooperation projects worth $11.39 billion [11] Group 2 - African merchants are particularly interested in Chinese agricultural machinery and technology, which are tailored to meet the needs of African agriculture, enhancing efficiency and labor productivity [9][11] - Environmental protection technologies are also a focus, with companies like Yingfeng Environment showcasing equipment that meets the demands of the African market, leading to discussions on urban environmental improvement projects [11]