Core Viewpoint - The company maintains a "Buy" rating and has raised its adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory driven by a strategic focus on AI and operational efficiency [1][2] Financial Performance - H1 revenue decreased to 822 million RMB, down 20.8%, while adjusted net profit was 10.35 million RMB, a turnaround from a loss of 160 million RMB in the same period last year, primarily due to a strategic shift towards AI and the optimization of product structure [1] - H1 gross margin improved to 52.2%, an increase of 6.2 percentage points, attributed to business structure optimization and cost reduction efforts [1] - Adjusted net profit margin reached 1.3%, up 16.8 percentage points, indicating enhanced profitability [1] Business Segmentation - Revenue breakdown for H1 includes: self-owned brand sports products at 397 million RMB, online membership and paid content at 337 million RMB, and advertising and other revenues at 88 million RMB [1] - The average monthly active users reached 22.486 million, with subscription members at 2.787 million, reflecting a subscription penetration rate of 12.4%, an increase of 1.3 percentage points [1] AI Development and Strategy - The company achieved significant milestones in AI, including the implementation of multi-agent systems and iterations of core AI coaching functionalities [2] - The AI coach, Kaka, reported over 150,000 daily active users, with a notable retention rate of 50% for the AI dietary record feature, indicating strong user engagement [2] - The advertising business is focusing on the K-MARS urban running event, leveraging grassroots popularity to target core running demographics and establish a scalable foundation [2]

"下半年在AI+及服装品类增量加持下收入有望重新企稳回升，同时明年有望释放更大业绩弹性。"报告 预计，Keep公司 25-26 年经调整净利润为 0.7亿元、1.7亿元，维持推荐评级。 责任编辑：郭栩彤 当前，Keep AI 教练初见成效，根据上半年业绩报告，Keep AI 7月DAU已达15万+，AI引致收入 100w+。随着后续AI教练功能模块的逐步完善，预计年底 AI教练DAU有望突破100万。 方正证券在报告中认为，明年随着AI教练功能逐步完善，有望贡献业绩增量，管理层初步预计明年AI 教练有望贡献收入增量2.3亿元/100w AI用户月活。 日前，运动科技公司Keep（03650）发布25H1 业绩，经调利润扭亏为盈，AI教练进展顺利，此外发力 服装品类。方正证券发布跟踪报告称，Keep后续收入端有望止跌回暖，利润持续改善。"维持推荐评 级"。 报告指出，Keep下半年有望重回增长态势，后续 AI 释放增量下有望贡献弹性。鉴于公司上半年主动战 略收缩低效业务，但下半年随着 AI 功能及服装产品线逐步完善，公司将配合重新做合理的费用投放， 预计收入将重回增长态势，同时经调净利率有望继续改善至 5%以上 ...

方正证券发布研报称，25年上半年KEEP(03650)主动收缩业务&用户，挤干水分以盈利为核心导向，且 更多是公司内生改善驱动;下半年在AI+及服装品类增量加持下收入有望重新企稳回升，同时明年有望释 放更大业绩弹性。该行预计公司25-26年经调净利润为0.7亿元、1.7亿元，维持"推荐"评级。公司25H1经 调利润扭亏为盈，AI教练进展顺利，此外发力服装品类。2025秋冬新品于9/5上新，后续收入端有望止 跌回暖，利润持续改善。 该行表示，KEEP下半年有望重回增长态势，后续AI释放增量下有望贡献弹性。鉴于公司上半年主动战 略收缩低效业务，但下半年随着AI功能及服装产品线逐步完善公司将配合重新做合理的费用投放，预 计收入将重回增长态势，同时经调净利率有望继续改善至5%以上水平。明年随着AI教练功能逐步完 善，有望贡献业绩增量，管理层初步预计明年AI教练有望贡献收入增量2.3亿元/100wAI用户月活。 ...

Core Insights - Keep has achieved profitability for the first time in the first half of 2025, driven by a strategic shift to an AI-focused business model [1] - The company has successfully restructured its AI infrastructure and optimized its product offerings, leading to an adjusted net profit of RMB 0.10 billion and a gross margin increase of 6.2 percentage points to 52.2% [1] - The fitness industry in China is experiencing rapid growth, with online and AI-driven solutions expected to unlock new commercial opportunities [1] Group 1 - Keep's "All in AI" strategy integrates hardware and software, creating a synergistic ecosystem that enhances user experience and drives sales [2] - The company aims to improve user satisfaction and average revenue per user (ARPU) through a diverse product matrix centered around AI coaching [2] - Keep's current market valuation is considered low compared to mainstream SaaS products, with significant upside potential as new AI coaching subscriptions are expected to generate over RMB 200 million in annual recurring revenue (ARR) by 2026 [2]

Core Viewpoint - Keep has reported a significant financial turnaround in the first half of 2025, achieving a revenue of 821.8 million yuan, a decline year-on-year, but marking its first positive net profit of 10.35 million yuan and an increase in gross margin to 52.2% [1] Industry Context - The fitness technology sector has evolved over the past decade, transitioning from basic tracking devices to online courses and home fitness hardware, but struggled to enhance user engagement [2] - The introduction of AI has transformed the landscape, addressing the need for personalized guidance in fitness, which traditional apps failed to provide [2] AI Integration in Keep's Strategy - Keep's "All in AI" strategy integrates AI across all business aspects, including the launch of an AI coach named "Kaka" that offers personalized training plans, dietary advice, and performance analysis [3] - The application of AI has improved operational efficiency, contributing to Keep's gross margin increase to 52.2% in the first half of 2025 [3] User Engagement and Value Growth - Keep aims to expand its services from mere training to comprehensive health management, incorporating diet, sleep, and recovery into its offerings [4] - Despite a decline in monthly active users to 22.49 million from 29.66 million year-on-year, the membership penetration rate increased to 12.4%, and the average monthly revenue per active user rose to 6.1 yuan [4] Market Expansion Potential - AI enables Keep to reach a broader audience, including middle-aged and elderly users, and expand fitness activities beyond home workouts to outdoor sports [5] - The AI coach has shown commercial potential, with over 150,000 daily active users and a 50% next-day retention rate for its dietary tracking feature [5] Competitive Advantage - Keep's decade-long experience has provided it with a vast database of over 400 million user behaviors, giving it a competitive edge in AI model training and application [6] - The successful implementation of AI in Keep's operations reflects a significant shift in how fitness services are delivered and experienced by users [6]

Core Viewpoint - Keep has successfully transitioned to profitability by fully embracing AI, marking a significant shift in its business model and positioning in the market [2][4][12]. Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, Keep reported total revenue of 820 million RMB, with a gross profit of 429 million RMB and a gross margin of 52.2%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of approximately 6.2 percentage points [5]. - The adjusted net profit reached 10.35 million RMB, indicating a turnaround from previous losses attributed to heavy investments in AI and new strategic initiatives [2][8][9]. Strategic Transformation - Keep's pivot to AI is not merely a trend but a strategic necessity that has led to structural improvements in its operations and financials [21]. - The introduction of AI Coach, a personalized training assistant, has significantly enhanced user engagement, with over 150,000 daily active users reported in July [13][14]. - Keep's business model has shifted from content subscription to service subscription, where users pay for results and experiences [31]. User Engagement and Retention - The AI features have led to higher user retention rates, with a 50% retention rate for the AI diet tracking function and an overall daily active user retention rate of 79% [14]. - Keep's monthly active users reached 22.49 million, with 2.8 million monthly subscription members, indicating a robust user base [30]. Market Positioning and Future Outlook - Keep's long-standing infrastructure and user base provide a competitive advantage in the AI space, allowing for rapid product development and market adaptation [25][26]. - The company is positioned to leverage AI to create a comprehensive ecosystem that integrates training plans, nutritional analysis, and behavioral guidance, enhancing user experience and loyalty [40][42]. - The shift towards an "AI SaaS" or "AI application platform" model reflects a broader trend in the market, where traditional applications are redefined through AI capabilities [44].

Core Insights - Keep reported a revenue of 822 million RMB for the first half of 2025, with an adjusted net profit of 10.35 million RMB and a gross profit of 429 million RMB, resulting in a gross margin increase from 46.0% to 52.2% compared to the same period last year [1] - The average monthly active users and average monthly subscription members for the first half of 2025 were 22.49 million and 2.8 million, respectively, with a membership penetration rate of 12.4%, up from 11.1% in 2024 [1] - The company is undergoing a strategic transformation from a content-driven platform to an AI-enabled, data-driven fitness intelligence service, with significant progress in deploying AI infrastructure and restructuring core tools into AI coaching services [1] Revenue and Strategic Changes - The revenue contraction is attributed to a strategic decision to optimize product categories and channels, focusing on high-potential categories like equipment, apparel, and wearables while reducing low-margin businesses [2] - The CEO emphasized that the introduction of AI Coach will lead to comprehensive user growth, as the company shifts back to reasonable growth budgets and investments [2] - The launch of multi-functional AI tools and the expansion of AIGC content will attract diverse user demands, further increasing the user base [2] AI Development and Future Projections - As of July, Keep's AI daily active users (DAU) ranged from 150,000 to 200,000, with expectations to exceed 1 million by the end of the year [3] - The AI revenue has already surpassed 1 million RMB, and projections indicate that AI annual recurring revenue (ARR) could exceed 200 million RMB by 2026 [3]

Core Insights - Keep reported a revenue of 822 million RMB for the first half of 2025, with an adjusted net profit of 10.35 million RMB and a gross profit of 429 million RMB, resulting in a gross margin increase from 46.0% to 52.2% compared to the same period last year [1] - The average monthly active users and average monthly subscription members for the first half of 2025 were 22.49 million and 2.8 million respectively, with a membership penetration rate of 12.4%, up from 11.1% in 2024 [1] - The average revenue per monthly active user increased to 6.1 RMB in the first half of 2025, showing significant growth [1] Financial Performance - The company underwent a strategic transformation from a content-driven platform to an AI-enabled, data-driven fitness intelligence service in the first half of 2025 [1] - CEO Wang Ning explained that the revenue contraction was largely due to a strategic decision to optimize product categories and channels, focusing on high-potential categories like equipment, apparel, and wearables while reducing low-margin businesses [2] - As of July 2025, Keep's AI daily active users exceeded 150,000, with the AI diet tracking feature showing a 50% next-day retention rate and an overall app daily active user retention rate of 79% [2] Future Projections - The company anticipates that AI daily active users could reach over 1 million by the end of 2025, with AI revenue surpassing 1 million RMB to date [2] - Keep forecasts that AI Annual Recurring Revenue (AIARR) could exceed 200 million RMB in 2026 [2]

Core Insights - Keep reported a revenue of 822 million RMB for the first half of 2025, with an adjusted net profit of 10.35 million RMB and a gross profit of 429 million RMB, resulting in a gross margin increase from 46.0% to 52.2% compared to the same period last year [1] - The average monthly active users and average monthly subscription members reached 22.49 million and 2.8 million respectively, with a membership penetration rate of 12.4%, up from 11.1% in 2024 [1] - The company is undergoing a strategic transformation from a content-driven platform to an AI-enabled, data-driven fitness intelligence service, with significant progress in deploying AI infrastructure [1] Revenue and Strategic Changes - The CEO explained that the revenue contraction is largely due to a strategic decision to optimize product categories and channels, focusing on high-potential categories like equipment, apparel, and wearables while reducing low-margin businesses [2] - The introduction of AI Coach is expected to lead to comprehensive user growth, as the company shifts back to reasonable growth budgets and investments [2] - The launch of AI multifunctional tools and the expansion of AIGC content categories are anticipated to attract a diverse user base, including sports like tennis, golf, and swimming [2] AI Development and Future Projections - As of July, Keep's AI daily active users (DAU) ranged from 150,000 to 200,000, with expectations to exceed 1 million by the end of the year [3] - The AI revenue has already surpassed 1 million RMB, and projections indicate that AI annual recurring revenue (ARR) could exceed 200 million RMB by 2026 [3]

Core Insights - Keep reported a revenue of 822 million RMB for the first half of 2025, with an adjusted net profit of 10.35 million RMB and a gross profit of 429 million RMB, resulting in a gross margin increase from 46.0% to 52.2% compared to the same period last year [1] - The average monthly active users and average monthly subscription members for the first half of 2025 were 22.49 million and 2.8 million, respectively, with a membership penetration rate of 12.4%, up from 11.1% in 2024 [1] - The company is undergoing a strategic transformation from a content-driven platform to an AI-enabled, data-driven fitness intelligence service, with significant progress in deploying AI infrastructure and restructuring core tools into AI coaching services [1] Revenue Strategy - The CEO of Keep explained that the revenue contraction is largely due to a strategic decision to optimize product categories and channels, focusing on high-potential categories like equipment, apparel, and wearables while reducing low-margin businesses [2] - The introduction of AI Coach is expected to lead to comprehensive user growth, as the company shifts back to reasonable growth budgets and investments [2] - The launch of AI multifunctional tools and the expansion of AIGC content categories are anticipated to attract a diverse user base, including sports like tennis, golf, and swimming that were previously underserved [2] AI Growth Projections - As of July, Keep's AI daily active users (DAU) ranged from 150,000 to 200,000, with expectations to exceed 1 million by the end of the year [3] - Keep's AI revenue has already surpassed 1 million RMB, and projections suggest that AI annual recurring revenue (ARR) could exceed 200 million RMB by 2026 [3]