晨报 铝锭 成材：重心下移 偏弱运行 铝锭：长假扰动开工 关注库消走势 投资咨询业务资格： 以伊冲突 负责人：赵 毅 从业资格号：F3059924 投资咨询号：Z0002978 电话：010-62688526 从业资格号：F3078638 投资咨询号：Z0018248 电话：010-62688555 从业资格号：F3038114 投资咨询号：Z0014834 电话：010-62688541 从业资格号：F3059529 投资咨询号：Z0018932 电话：010-62688516 从业资格号：F03127144 投资咨询号：Z0020161 电话：021-20857653 成文时间： 逻辑：云贵区域短流程建筑钢材生产企业春节期间停产检修时间大多 在 1 月中下旬，复产时间预计在正月初十一至正月十六左右，停产期间预 计影响建筑钢材总产量 74.1 万吨。安徽省 6 家短流程钢厂，1 家钢厂已 于 1 月 5 日开始停产；其余大部分钢厂均表示将于 1 月中旬左右停产放假， 证监许可【2011】1452 号 逻辑:昨日沪铝偏强运行。宏观美联储周三公布的 9 月会议记录显示， 美联储官员们一致认为美国就业市场面临的风 ...

明泰铝业（601677）(601677.SH)发布公告，公司2025年前三季度铝板带箔产量118.08万吨，2025年前三 季度铝板带箔销量117.47万吨。 ...

10月9日，万顺新材涨5.15%，截至发稿，报6.33元/股，成交1.54亿元，换手率3.41%，总市值56.83亿 元。 资料显示，汕头万顺新材集团股份有限公司位于广东省汕头保税区万顺工业园，成立日期1998年3月6 日，上市日期2010年2月26日，公司主营业务涉及铝箔/铝板的生产及销售业务、纸制品、光电产品、包 装材料等的加工、制造、研发以及纸类物资贸易业务等。主营业务收入构成为：铝加工产品89.05%， 转移纸7.04%，其他业务1.27%，复合纸1.24%，贸易业务0.94%，功能性薄膜业务0.45%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，广发基金旗下1只基金重仓万顺新材。广发中证2000ETF（560220）二季度持有股数5.79万 股，占基金净值比例为0.59%，位居第八大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约1.79万元。 广发中证2000ETF（560220）成立日期2023年9月8日，最新规模5370.22万。今年以来收益36.11%，同 类排名1500/4221；近一年收益48.92%，同类排名941/3848；成立以来收益45.08%。 广发中证2000ETF（560220）基金经理为夏浩洋。 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that the Federal Reserve's resumption of interest rate cuts may lead to increased foreign investment in China's export-advantaged assets, particularly in high-end manufacturing sectors such as new energy, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals [1][13] - The "anti-involution" policy in China is expected to enhance the financial returns of the manufacturing sector, with a focus on high-end manufacturing capital expenditure (CAPEX) expansion since 2019, which solidifies global export competitiveness [2][14] - The report suggests that cross-border capital is accelerating its return to China, leading to a "re-inflation bull market" as China's net export scale rises and the RMB enters a long-term appreciation cycle [3][15] Group 2 - The report anticipates a shift in the A-share bull market towards consumption-driven growth, moving from an investment-driven model to one where consumption becomes the primary economic driver [4][16] - It highlights a potential "ice-fire conversion" in market dynamics, where technology sectors may lead the rally, followed by export-oriented high-end manufacturing, and eventually consumer sectors [5][17] Group 3 - The report recommends a stock portfolio for October 2025, including companies such as Dongfang Tower (Chemicals), Huafeng Aluminum (Non-ferrous), China Hongqiao (Non-ferrous), Luoyang Molybdenum (Non-ferrous), Dongfang Tantalum (Non-ferrous), Xinnengda (Electric New), Betta Pharmaceuticals (Pharmaceuticals), Yifeng Pharmacy (Pharmaceutical Retail), Bai'ao Intelligent (Military), Hikvision (Computers), and Luxshare Precision (Electronics) [6][11]

3 7%的增长 根据ICC鑫椤锂电数据库统计， 今年 1-8 月电池铝箔总产量为 31.7 万吨，同比增长 37% 。 从供应格局来看，老大哥还是老大哥，鼎胜新材以 32% 的市占率居于头位。 关注公众号，点击公众号主页右上角" ··· "，设置星标 "⭐" ，关注 鑫椤锂电 资讯~ 本文来源：鑫椤锂电 随着 8 月 30 日鼎胜新材（五星铝业母公司） 25 年半年报的披露，所有已上市电池铝箔企业的业绩得以 全览。 回头看，苦干半年，一把辛酸泪。往前看，苦海无涯，拐点难盼。 在这个即将迎来全年排产最高峰 10 月的临界点，和构思 26 年生产计划的前夕，我们想写一篇文章，回顾下今年电池 铝箔已过的岁月、展望明年的可能性。 而在产能端， 我们统计目前国内电池铝箔的有效产能为 86.9 万吨，其中鼎胜新材是唯一一家产能超 20 万吨的企 业。 从产能利用率来看，行业整体存在着一定的闲置产能。 行业内部则有所分化，头部玩家产能利用率较高，而近几年新进入的玩家，开工状态相对一般。 高集中度带来高议价权 | | | 主要电池铝箔上市公司25H1经营情况 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

Group 1: Industry Development - The city of Dengfeng has developed two main industries: aluminum processing and equipment manufacturing, along with strategic emerging industries represented by new materials [1] - The company Cijin Technology (Henan) has 19 invention patents and produces semiconductor packaging materials and frequency devices, filling multiple domestic gaps in applications such as communication and automotive [1] - Liu Ning emphasized the importance of enhancing original innovation capabilities and increasing R&D investment to promote the continuous innovative development of the new materials industry [1] Group 2: Cultural Heritage and Tourism - The historical building complex "Heaven and Earth in the Middle" in Dengfeng includes 8 sites and 11 historical buildings, recognized as an important world cultural heritage [2] - Liu Ning highlighted the need to protect, inherit, and promote Chinese cultural treasures, aiming to enhance the influence of Mount Song and develop it into a world-class cultural tourism destination [2] - The focus is on systematic protection and revitalization of cultural relics, as well as deepening the integration of culture and tourism to make the tourism industry a pillar industry [2] Group 3: Economic and Social Development - Liu Ning called for the implementation of Xi Jinping's important speech during his visit to Henan, focusing on the "1+2+4+N" target task system to develop leading county industries and build a modern industrial system [3] - The current weather conditions have affected the "three autumn" production, and relevant departments are urged to coordinate and implement precise measures to ensure food security [3] - With the upcoming "Double Festival," local authorities are responsible for enhancing governance and ensuring a safe and orderly tourism market [3]

据了解，陇西县有三个通信基站受损，正在抢修。陇西油库无明显受损，距震中100公里内有15家矿山 企业、4家铝加工企业，目前正常。其他情况正在进一步排摸核查中。（总台记者 王妍 邢博） 今天上午5时49分在甘肃定西市陇西县发生5.6级地震。地震发生后，甘肃省抗震救灾指挥部启动四级应 急响应，定西市抗震指挥部办公室启动三级响应，陇西县和文峰镇已派出50多名干部开展灾情核查。初 步了解，文峰镇桦林村土房围墙倒塌较多，砖木结构房屋面瓦有掉落现象，暂无人员伤亡报告。 ...

Core Insights - In July 2025, China's imports of unwrought aluminum and aluminum products reached 360,000 tons, marking a year-on-year increase of 38.2%, with an import value of $1.016 billion, up 39.2% compared to the previous year [1] - Conversely, China's exports of unwrought aluminum and aluminum products totaled 540,000 tons in July 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 7.6%, with an export value of $1.837 billion, down 6% year-on-year [1] Import Data - The import quantity of unwrought aluminum and aluminum products in July 2025 was 360,000 tons [1] - The import value for the same period was $1.016 billion [1] - The year-on-year growth rates for imports were 38.2% in quantity and 39.2% in value [1] Export Data - The export quantity of unwrought aluminum and aluminum products in July 2025 was 540,000 tons [1] - The export value for this period was $1.837 billion [1] - The year-on-year changes for exports showed a decline of 7.6% in quantity and 6% in value [1]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the given content Group 2: Report's Core Views - The view on finished products is that they will run in a volatile and consolidating manner, with the price center moving down and running weakly [1][3] - The view on aluminum ingots is that they are expected to maintain a high - level operation in the short term, with prices supported by pre - holiday stocking [1][4] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Finished Products - Yunnan and Guizhou short - process construction steel enterprises will stop production for maintenance from mid - January, with an estimated impact of 741,000 tons on building steel production. In Anhui, 6 short - process steel mills will stop production, with a daily impact of about 16,200 tons [2][3] - From December 30, 2024, to January 5, 2025, the transaction area of newly built commercial housing in 10 key cities was 2.234 million square meters, a 40.3% week - on - week decrease and a 43.2% year - on - year increase [3] - Finished product prices hit a new low recently, with a pessimistic market sentiment in the context of weak supply and demand. This year's winter storage is sluggish, providing little price support [3] Aluminum - The supply of the aluminum market has a small increase due to the climbing of replacement capacity, and the supply - demand pattern is improving marginally. The operating rate of domestic aluminum downstream processing enterprises increased by 0.8 percentage points to 63.0% [3] - The aluminum cable sector is the main driving force, with the operating rate rising by 1.8 percentage points to 67%. The operating rates of primary aluminum alloy and aluminum plate and strip sectors increased by 1% and 0.8% respectively. The aluminum profile operating rate remained flat at 54.60%, and the aluminum foil industry has limited upward momentum [3] - On September 25, the electrolytic aluminum ingot inventory in domestic mainstream consumption areas was 617,000 tons, a decrease of 21,000 tons compared with Monday and last Thursday. Short - term downstream purchasing increased, and the spot premium was firm [3] - In the medium - term, aluminum consumption is generally warming up, with stable growth in the automotive industry, growth expectations in the power industry, and marginal improvement in the construction industry [3]

Market Updates - The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges announced the holiday trading schedule for the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, with a market closure from October 1 to October 8, resuming on October 9 [2] - The China Foreign Exchange Trading Center announced the optimization of the "Swap Connect" mechanism under the guidance of the People's Bank of China, including a dynamic adjustment mechanism for quote providers and an increase in the daily net limit to 45 billion yuan starting October 13, 2025 [2] - The fourth Global Digital Trade Expo signed 45 major projects with a total investment of 64.87 billion yuan (including 300 million USD), focusing on digital economy and artificial intelligence [2] Industry Insights - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association's Copper Industry Branch expressed strong opposition to "involution" competition in the copper smelting industry, which has led to persistently low processing fees for copper concentrate [4] - Tianfeng Securities emphasized that the key to "anti-involution" in the copper smelting industry lies in optimizing capacity, including phasing out outdated capacity and enhancing efficiency through advanced smelting technologies [5] Company Announcements - Pingmei Shenma Group notified Pingmei Co. that the Henan Provincial Government decided to implement a strategic restructuring of Henan Energy Group and Pingmei Shenma Group [9] - China Railway recently won multiple major engineering contracts totaling approximately 50.215 billion yuan, accounting for about 4.34% of the company's projected revenue for 2024 [10] - China Oil Engineering announced that its subsidiary signed an EPC contract worth 2.524 billion USD (approximately 18.032 billion yuan) for a seawater pipeline project in Iraq [11] - Baili Tianheng's drug Iza-bren has been included in the list of breakthrough therapeutic varieties by the National Medical Products Administration, with seven indications already recognized [12] - New Nuo Wei's drug for Alzheimer's disease has received approval for clinical trials, marking a significant milestone in the development of biosimilars in China [13] - Jihong Co. expects a net profit of 257 million to 270 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 95.07% to 105.31% [14] Institutional Activity - Four institutional seats purchased a total of 106 million yuan in Heng Erda, which represents 12.1% of the total trading volume [15] - One institutional seat bought 134 million yuan in Inspur Information, accounting for 1.3% of the total trading volume [16]